| 影响十堰市汽车保有量的因素分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 曾智,陈延寿.影响十堰市汽车保有量的因素分析[J].汽车科技,2011(3):74-77. |
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| 作者姓名： | 曾智 陈延寿 |
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| 作者单位： | 湖北汽车工业学院经济管理学院,十堰,442002 |
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| 基金项目： | 湖北省教育厅科学研究项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 汽车保有量与社会经济发展水平有密切的关系,通过建立计量经济学模型寻求汽车保有量和社会经济有关指标的函数关系,可以较为准确地预测十堰市短期内的汽车保有量。根据统计数据回归分析,影响十堰市汽车保有量的主要因素有:社会消费品零售总额、城镇居民可支配收入和社会固定资产投资。
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| 关 键 词： | 汽车保有量 回归分析 预测 |
Analysis on the Automobile Population in the City of Shiyan |
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| ZENG Zhi,CHEN Yan-shou.Analysis on the Automobile Population in the City of Shiyan[J].Automobile Science and Technology,2011(3):74-77. |
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| Authors: | ZENG Zhi CHEN Yan-shou |
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| Institution: | (The College of Economy and Management,Hubei University of Automotive Technology,Shiyan 442002,China) |
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| Abstract: | There is a close relationship between automobile population and the development of local economy.We set up an econometric model to find the function of automobile population and other economic variable,and forecast the automobile population in a short time.Based on the statistic data of Shiyan,we find that gross industrial output,disposable income of urban residents and investment in fixed assets are the key factors which have a importance influence on automobile population. |
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| Keywords: | automobile population regression analysis forecast |
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