| 基于灰色理论的道路交通事故预测模型综述 |
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| 引用本文： | 舒怀珠.基于灰色理论的道路交通事故预测模型综述[J].道路交通与安全,2009(6). |
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| 作者姓名： | 舒怀珠 |
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| 作者单位： | 浙江义乌工商学院土木系 |
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| 摘 要： | 交通事故预测模型是进行交通安全控制的关键问题之一。重点介绍了目前几种主要的基于灰色系统理论的道路交通事故预测模型:基本灰色预测GM(1,1)模型、残差灰色预测模型、灰色Verhulst预测模型、灰色马尔可夫预测模型、灰色神经网络预测模型,并指出各模型的适用条件和优缺点,为相关研究提供参考。
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| 关 键 词： | 交通事故 灰色模型 预测模型 |
Summarize on the Forecast Models of Road Traffic Accident Base on Gray Theory |
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| Shu Huaizhu.Summarize on the Forecast Models of Road Traffic Accident Base on Gray Theory[J].Road Traffic & Safety,2009(6). |
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| Authors: | Shu Huaizhu |
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| Institution: | Shu Huaizhu(Department of civil,Yiwu Industrial & Commercial College,Yiwu 32000,Zhejiang) |
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| Abstract: | Road traffic accident forecast is one of key problems in traffic safety control.several kinds forecast models of road traffic accident base on grey theory are emphatically introduced at present They are grey forecast models GM(1,1), Residual Error Grey Forecast Model,Grey Verhulst Forecast Model,Grey-markov Forecast Model,Grey Neural Network Forecast Model,the applicable condition,advantage and disadvantage on these models were pointed out. |
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| Keywords: | traffic accident grey model forecast model |
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