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深圳特区外出租车市场需求分析和预测
引用本文:李猛,孙喜梅,韩彪.深圳特区外出租车市场需求分析和预测[J].交通与计算机,2009,27(4):59-62.
作者姓名:李猛  孙喜梅  韩彪
作者单位:深圳大学经济学院,深圳,518060
基金项目:广东省高校人文社会科学规划研究项目 
摘    要:深圳特区外出租车需求量预测是深圳市出租车规划的一项重要内容,其需求受到该地区经济发展水平、人口数量、土地规模、人口密度、产业布局等多种因素的影响。为提高预测精度和可靠性,在综合多种预测模型特点的基础上,对深圳特区外出租车目前需求量和远景规划量进行了预测。经定量和定性分析,认为目前深圳特区外出租车投放总量控制在5000辆较适宜。

关 键 词:预测模型  经济发展水平  需求规模  土地规模

Demand Analysis and Forecast of Taxi outside Shenzhen Special Economic Zone
LI Meng,SUN Ximei,HAN Biao.Demand Analysis and Forecast of Taxi outside Shenzhen Special Economic Zone[J].Computer and Communications,2009,27(4):59-62.
Authors:LI Meng  SUN Ximei  HAN Biao
Institution:College of Economics;Shenzhen University;Shenzhen 518060;China
Abstract:Taxi demand forecast outside Shenzhen Special Economic Zone is an important part of taxi program in Shenzhen City.In general,the demand of taxi running outside Shenzhen Special Economic Zone is affected by several key factors including the level of economic development,population,land size,population density,industrial distribution,etc.In fact,there are a lot of ways to forecast the demand of taxi.However,different forecast models contain different mechanisms and each model reveals the nature from different...
Keywords:forecast model  level of economic development  demand scale  land size  
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