| 基于区域产业特性的货物运输需求模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 柯林春,吴群琪,袁长伟.基于区域产业特性的货物运输需求模型[J].公路交通科技,2009,26(5). |
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| 作者姓名： | 柯林春 吴群琪 袁长伟 |
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| 作者单位： | 长安大学,经济与管理学院,陕西,西安,710064 |
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| 基金项目： | 交通部西部交通建设科技项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 针对货运需求受多因素的影响，往往难以掌握的问题，论文以产业组织学为理论基础，从货运需求的内在动力出发，提出从区域产业特性来把握货运需求变动，以此建立数学模型，并选取典型省份进行实证分析。分析结果表明，区域货运需求与第二产业规模、结构、集中度指标具有高相关性，与第二产业规模、集中度成正比例关系变动，与第二产业结构比重成反比例关系变动。结论可以为从产业特性来把握货运需求提供了思路。
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| 关 键 词： | 运输经济 区域产业特性 货运需求 |
Study on Model of Demand of Freight Transportation Based on Regional Industrial Character |
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| KE Linehun,WU Qunqi,YUAN Changwei.Study on Model of Demand of Freight Transportation Based on Regional Industrial Character[J].Journal of Highway and Transportation Research and Development,2009,26(5). |
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| Authors: | KE Linehun WU Qunqi YUAN Changwei |
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| Institution: | School Economy and Management;Chang'an University;Xi'an Shaanxi 710064;China |
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| Abstract: | Freight demand is driven by many factors which are difficult to be forecasted.On the basis of industrial organization theory and from the internal impetus of demand of freight transportation,the law of demand of freight transportation was sought from regional industrial character.Then the mathematical model was established and verified by the analysis of the cases of typical provinces.The result shows that(1) there is high correlativities of the regional demand of freight transport with indexes of the scale... |
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| Keywords: | transport economics regional industrial character demand of freight transportation |
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