| 基于系统动力学的港口与区域经济和谐发展的机理研究——以福建省为案例 |
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| 引用本文： | 祁晓东,封学军.基于系统动力学的港口与区域经济和谐发展的机理研究——以福建省为案例[J].港工技术,2008(4). |
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| 作者姓名： | 祁晓东 封学军 |
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| 作者单位： | 河海大学交通学院、海洋学院,江苏南京,210098 |
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| 摘 要： | 以系统动力学(SD)模型为主体,结合投入产出表与计量经济学方法,建立港口与区域经济系统互动模型,应用此模型对港口与区域经济和谐发展的机理进行分析,最终找到港口与区域经济动态和谐发展的平衡点,并且对港口自身的发展运行状态作出评价。然后以福建省为案例对系统动力学模型进行仿真和验证。
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| 关 键 词： | 系统动力学 港口 区域经济 和谐发展 |
Mechanism Research on the Harmonious Development of Port and Regional Economy Based on System Dynamics-the Case of Fujian Province |
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| Qi Xiaodong,Feng Xuejun.Mechanism Research on the Harmonious Development of Port and Regional Economy Based on System Dynamics-the Case of Fujian Province[J].Port Engineering Technology,2008(4). |
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| Authors: | Qi Xiaodong Feng Xuejun |
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| Abstract: | Taking System Dynamics(SD) model as the mainstay,with the input-output table and econometric methods,the port and regional economic system interaction model was established.Through this model,the mechanism of harmonious development between port and the regional economy was analyzed and the balance of the development between them was found out finally.Thus the developing state of the port itself was evaluated.Then the model was simulated and verified by taking the Fujian relevant data. |
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| Keywords: | system dynamics ports regional economy harmonious development |
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