| 基于系统动力学机制的航运可持续发展研究 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 真虹,洪然.基于系统动力学机制的航运可持续发展研究[J].中国航海,2001(1):5-9. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 真虹 洪然 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 上海海运学院, |
| |
| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金(批准号:79670055) |
| |
| 摘 要： | 将航运业作为由社会经济与环境构成的一个系统的组成部分，采用系统动力学机制，分析航运与资源环境之间的互动关系。文中描述了航运可持续发展的因果逻辑关系，在确定以航运供给量、航运短缺量和资源环境承载力为决策作用点的基础上，构造了航运可持续发展动力学模型，并给出了模型中有关系数的确定方法。
|
| 关 键 词： | 航运 可持续发展 系统动力学 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-4653(2001)01-0005-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 2001年1月28日 |
Research on Sustainable Development of Shipping Based on System Dynamics Mechnaism |
| |
| ZHEN Hong,HONG Ran.Research on Sustainable Development of Shipping Based on System Dynamics Mechnaism[J].Navigation of China,2001(1):5-9. |
| |
| Authors: | ZHEN Hong HONG Ran |
| |
| Abstract: | Taking shipping industry as a component of the system composed of social economy and environment and adopting system dynamics, the interactive relationship between shipping and resource environment is analyzed in the paper. The logic causality of the sustainable development (SD) of shipping is also described. After determing the amounts of shipping supply and shortage as well as the bearing capacity of resource environment to be the acting point of making decision, the dynamic model of sustainable development of shipping is constructed and the method of determining relevant coefficients for the model is given. |
| |
| Keywords: | Shipping Sustainable Development System Dynamics |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
