| 单船动态风险评估模糊推理系统的设计与模拟 |
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| 引用本文： | 黄常海,胡甚平,郝严斌,夏海波.单船动态风险评估模糊推理系统的设计与模拟[J].中国航海,2011,34(2). |
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| 作者姓名： | 黄常海 胡甚平 郝严斌 夏海波 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 上海海事大学商船学院,上海,200135
2. 上海海事局,上海,200086 |
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| 基金项目： | 上海市教育委员会科研创新项目，上海市重点学科建设项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 对在航船舶进行动态的风险评估,分析影响船舶安全航行的风险因素,构建了船舶风险评估模型,定义了各项风险因素的隶属函数,并参考专家经验建立模糊推理规则.按照建立的模型,在MATLAB平台上运用模糊推理系统构建风险评估系统,并应用该系统对在航船舶进行定量风险评估.实例证明,该系统能够合理地评估在航船舶的整体风险水平,为驾驶员决策提供参考,具有应用潜力.
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| 关 键 词： | 水路运输 安全管理 动态风险评估 模糊推理 仿真 |
Design and Simulation of Real-time Dynamic Risk Assessment System for Single Ship Based on FIS Algorithm |
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| Huang Changhai,Hu Shenping,Hao Yanbin,Xia Haibo.Design and Simulation of Real-time Dynamic Risk Assessment System for Single Ship Based on FIS Algorithm[J].Navigation of China,2011,34(2). |
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| Authors: | Huang Changhai Hu Shenping Hao Yanbin Xia Haibo |
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| Institution: | Huang Changhai1,Hu Shenping1,Hao Yanbin2,Xia Haibo1(1.Merchant Marine College,Shanghai Maritime University,Shanghai 200135,China,2.Shanghai Maritime Safety Administration,Shanghai 200086,China) |
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| Abstract: | Aiming at the dynamic risk assessment of sailing ships,the risk factors affecting ship navigation safety are analyzed,a ship risk assessment model is constructed and the subordinate functions of risk factors are defined.The fuzzy reasoning rules are set up based on expert experiences.Fuzzy inference system is adopted to build a risk assessment system on MATLAB platform with the constructed model,and quantitative risk assessments for sailing ships are carried out by using the risk assessment system.It is pro... |
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| Keywords: | waterway transportation safety management dynamic risk assessment fuzzy inference simulation |
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