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| 基于案例的新型舰船备件需求量的预测模型 | |
| 引用本文： | 贾锐,宋志宏,秦传锋.基于案例的新型舰船备件需求量的预测模型[J].船海工程,2006,35(2):70-72. |
| 作者姓名： | 贾锐 宋志宏 秦传锋 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 海军工程大学管理工程系,武汉,430033 2. 海军装备部驻西安地区代表局,西安,710054 3. 91526部队装备部,湛江,510730 |
| 摘 要： | 分析新型舰船备件需求量的影响因素,得出相似装备的需求量,提出了相似案例与马尔柯夫链结合的新型装备备件需求量的预测模型,理论分析和实例计算表明了该模型的合理性和可行性。 |
| 关 键 词： | 案例 马尔柯夫链 备件 预测模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1671-7953（2006）02-0070-03 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-09-27 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-09-272005-11-15 |
A forecasting model for the requirement of spare parts for the new type of ship based on cases |
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| Authors: | JIA Rui SONG Zhi-hong QIN Chuan-feng |
| Abstract: | Analysis on the influent factors of requirements for spare parts in the new type of ship shows that the requirement of similar equipment is the same.So this paper puts forward a forecasting model for the requirement of spare parts of new type of equipment based on the similar cases combined with Markov chain.Theoretical analysis and numerical results illustrate the rationality and feasibility of the forecasting model. |
| Keywords: | case Markov chain spare parts forecasting model |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |