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基于Kriging模型的武器装备体系效能分析
引用本文:张晓航,雷刚,石景岚,张德欣.基于Kriging模型的武器装备体系效能分析[J].舰船电子工程,2012,32(10):31-33,37.
作者姓名:张晓航  雷刚  石景岚  张德欣
作者单位:解放军63891部队,洛阳,471000
摘    要:为了分析影响装备体系作战效能的各个输入因素的变化对作战效能的影响,采用一种基于方差的敏感性分析方法——Sobol指数法,对体系模型的数据进行分析;采用基于Kriging模型的方法对Sobol指数进行计算。最后运用该方法对一防空装备体系数据进行分析,确定了影响作战效能的关键因素,为进一步的体系效能优化提供了依据。

关 键 词:体系  效能分析  Sobol指数法  Kriging模型

Effectiveness Analysis of Weapon System-of-systems Based on Kriging Model
ZHANG Xiaohang,LEI Gang,SHI Jinglan,ZHANG Dexin.Effectiveness Analysis of Weapon System-of-systems Based on Kriging Model[J].Ship Electronic Engineering,2012,32(10):31-33,37.
Authors:ZHANG Xiaohang  LEI Gang  SHI Jinglan  ZHANG Dexin
Institution:(No.63891 Troops of PLA,Luoyang 471000)
Abstract:To determine how and how much each variable affect the effectiveness of SoS,a variance-based method,Sobol indices method was used to analyze the data of SoS model.Using a method based on Kriging model,improvement was made in the calculation of Sobol indices.At last,using this method,an air defense weapon system was analyzed,and its key inputs were found.And these results give support to the optimization of the effectiveness of the SoS.
Keywords:system-of-systems  effectiveness analysis  Sobol indices method  Kriging model
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