舰船任务成功模拟仿真评估技术

文章首先简单介绍了任务成功预测性评估模型和追溯性评估模型;其次运用模拟仿真评估技术,通过3个仿真机,对舰船一段时间内的使用——故障——修理——保障进行仿真,得到与真实情况相近的维修数据系统的数据记录,然后评估这个仿真期间舰船的任务成功和保障系统的保障能力。利用仿真系统不仅可以实现大型复杂离散系统的指标评价,通过调试还可以筛选出最优保障、修理和使用策略,并且可以对执行具体的复杂任务进行预测,具有一定的实际指导意义。

Ship mission success analog simulation evaluation technique

This text firstly introduces the estimate valuation model and trace gender evaluate back model. Secondly, with three imitate true machine, it carries on imitate really to the boat in a period of time, including usage-break, down-fix, guaranteeing maintenance, based on analog simulation evaluation technique, then gets the data record of the data system close to the true, evaluating the mission sueeess and guarantee ability of the guarantee system in this imitates time. Exploitation imitate true system can not only carry out the index sign evaluation of an large, complicated and long-lost system, but also sieve the superior guarantee, fixture and usage strategy by adjusting, applying an estimate to perform the concrete complicated mission as well with a certain actual instructing meaning.