基于MC计算机仿真的新夏港河船闸通过能力计算

船闸通过能力与日平均过闸次数、一次过闸吨位、年通航天数、船舶装载系数以及运量不均衡系数有关,在船闸运营过程中这些因素都存在一定的不确定性,对船闸通过能力的计算产生很大的影响。为消除不确定性因素的影响,采用基于MC法的计算机仿真研究船闸通过能力,并以新夏港河船闸年过闸货运量作为研究对象予以说明。运行结果表明,计算机仿真能够较好地应对不确定性问题,为船闸工程建设中船闸通过能力计算提供理论依据。

Calculation of lock capacity by MC computer simulation

The traffic capacity of ship lock relates to daily average times of ships passing through a waterway lock, once lock tonnage, days of open to navigation per year, ship loading coefficient and un-equilibrium coefficient of traffic capacity. These factors have some uncertainties, which have an important influence to traffic capacity of ship lock. In order to eliminate these uncertainties, it uses MC computer simulation to study the traffic capacity of ship lock, and takes the new Xiagang river as an example. The result shows that computer simulation is good at dealing with uncertainties problems, and can provide a theoretical basis for construction of ship lock.