| 港口物流与南通区域经济发展的实证研究* |
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| 引用本文： | 刘庆广.港口物流与南通区域经济发展的实证研究*[J].水运工程,2012(9):106-109. |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘庆广 |
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| 作者单位： | 南通航运职业技术学院,江苏南通,226010 |
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| 基金项目： | 江苏省教育厅社科基金资助项目(2010SJD790017) |
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| 摘 要： | 为了更好地理解港口物流与南通区域经济的关系,制定出合适的协同发展战略,选取1990—2011年港口物流与南通区域经济的数据作为研究对象,对港口物流与南通区域经济的关系进行了实证分析。结合指标的合理性和数据的可得性选取了分析变量;在此基础上运用Granger因果检验的方法对港口物流和南通经济之间的关系进行了研究,研究结果表明:港口物流与南通区域经济存在着单向的因果关系,港口物流对区域经济的促进作用比区域经济对港口物流的促进作用要稍大一些。
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| 关 键 词： | 港口物流 南通区域经济 协整分析 Granger因果检验 |
Empirical research on interaction between port logistics and regional economy of Nantong |
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| LIU Qing-guang.Empirical research on interaction between port logistics and regional economy of Nantong[J].Port & Waterway Engineering,2012(9):106-109. |
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| Authors: | LIU Qing-guang |
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| Institution: | School of Management and Information, Nantong Shipping College, Nantong 226010, China |
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| Abstract: | In order to better understand the relationship between port logistics and regional economy and develop a proper interactive development strategy, the paper selects the data of the port logistics and regional economy of Nantong in 1990-2011, and makes an empirical research and analysis on the interaction with Granger causality. The results show that there is a one-way causality between port logistics and regional economy of Nantong.The promoting effect of port logistics to regional economy is more than that to port logistics from regional economy. |
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| Keywords: | port logistics regional economy of Nantong co-integration Granger causality |
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