三峡船闸通过能力分析

采用结构化和对比方法,基于三峡船闸运行统计数据,测算了今后5年三峡船闸通过能力,对提高通过能力措施的可行性进行了分析,指出继续通过船舶大型化提高船闸通过能力的潜力有限,三峡船闸通过能力将逐渐饱和,难以满足快速增长的过坝运输需求.建议优化标准船型系列,同时尽快开展新建通航设施的研究论证.

On traffic capacity of Three Gorges lock

By the structural and contrastive methods, this paper calculates the shipping lock capacity in the late five years on the basis of statistics data, and researches the feasibility of the measures so as to raise the capacity.It is concluded that the potential capacity by means of large-sized ships is limited, and the shipping lock capacity is saturating gradually, so it is difficult to satisfy the growing need of the water transport. It is suggested to optimize the standard ships and initiating the research on the newly-built navigation facilities.