2007年世界船舶市场评述及展望

对2007年来的世界经济发展及在此大背景下的船舶行业进行了总结和回顾，并对未来市场进行预测。2007年的世界船舶行业较2006年有所不同，不论是航运市场还是建造市场，散货船可谓独挡一面，出现了前所未有的兴旺景象。集装箱船市场稳步发展，表现好于预期，而油船市场则不尽人意，不过其建造市场却出现了量缩价涨之势。鉴于目前的市场情况，未来各船型的发展趋势将各有所向，而受新规范出台、美元疲软、材料设备成本增加、船台吃紧等因素影响，预计未来船价还将在高位运行。总体来说，虽然对航运市场运力的持续快速增长将带来一些影响，但未来一段时期内船市总体仍将保持较兴旺的局面。

Review of world ship market in 2007 and its prospect

After summarizing the world economy development in 2007, this article makes an overall review of the ship industry under this background,as well as the prospect of market in future.There are some differences in 2007 world ship industry compared with 2006: in both shipping market and shipbuilding market,bulk cargo ship market is so blossom than ever before.Container ship market develops steadily and better than expectation,while oil tanker market is not so optimistic,however its manufacture market appears the trend of lower yield with higher price.The developing tendency of various ship types is diverse.Influenced by the factors including implement of new regulation,weakness of US dollars,increasing cost of material and equipment,shortness of shipways and so on,we estimate that the ship price will remain at a high level in future.As a whole,though some impact of continuous quick expansion in shipping market capacity,the future ship market will still remain prosperous for a certain period.