城市轨道交通车站分向客流预测方法研究

城市轨道交通车站分向客流预测数据是各出入口通道设计的重要依据,目前适合我国城市轨道交通车站分向客流预测研究工作开展并不多。文中以车站所属的线路客流预测数据为基础,根据车站周边土地利用现状及规划情况,采用＂逐层分解＂法预测各个出入口通过客流量,并研究了全日小时及高峰小时内部的波动系数,通过广州市轨道交通13号线鱼珠站分向客流预测研究证明,预测方法是合理且可行的。

Study of Prediction Methods of Passenger Flow in Different Directions of Urban Rail Transit Station

The prediction data of passenger flow in different directions is an important basis for designing the station entrance channels,and the study of prediction of passenger flow in different directions of urban rail-transit station is less carried out.In this paper,on the basis of the passenger flow prediction data of the line which a selected station belongs to,aprediction method is put forward according to the land use and planning around the station,it predicts the passenger flow of different station entrances by using a layer decomposition method,and peak hour factor and inner volatility factor can be got.Using this method,the passenger flow in different directions of Yuzhu station which belongs to the 13th line of Guanghzou rail transit system is predicted successfully,the result shows that the method is feasible and effective.