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船舶下水安全性评估的模糊故障树方法
引用本文:黄兴玲, 曾广武, 黎庆芬. 船舶下水安全性评估的模糊故障树方法[J]. 中国舰船研究, 2006, 1(3): 15-19. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-3185.2006.03.005
作者姓名:黄兴玲  曾广武  黎庆芬
作者单位:1.[1]海军工程大学船舶与动力学院,湖北武汉430033 [2]华中科技大学交通科学与工程学院,湖北武汉430074
基金项目:海军“十五”预研项目(401030601)
摘    要:建立了基于模糊故障树分析的安全性评估模型,提出船舶下水从最小割集、顶事件发生的概率模糊数及基本事件的模糊重要度三个方面进行分析的安全性评估方法。介绍模糊故障树基本原理,并以某4300PCTC船纵向滑道下水过程中某一顶事件的模糊故障树分析为例,作概要阐述。

关 键 词:模糊数  故障树分析  模糊重要度  船舶下水  安全评估
文章编号:1673-3185(2006)03-15-05
收稿时间:2006-04-19
修稿时间:2006-04-19

Fuzzy Fault-Tree Approach to the Safety Assessment of Ships Launching
Huang Xingling, Zeng Guangwu, Li Qingfen. Fuzzy Fault-Tree Approach to the Safety Assessment of Ships Launching[J]. Chinese Journal of Ship Research, 2006, 1(3): 15-19. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-3185.2006.03.005
Authors:Huang Xing-ling  Zeng Guang-wu  Li Qing-fen
Affiliation:1.Department of Naval Architecture andOcean Eng. , Naval Univ. of Eng. ,Hubei Wuhan 430033 ,China; 2 College of Traffic Sci. andHuazhong Univ. of Sci. andTech. ,Hubei Wuhan 430074, China
Abstract:A safety assessment model is established based on the analysis of fuzzy fault-tree,and an safety assessment method for ship launching in the following aspects:minimum cut sets analysis, evaluation of failure probability of the top event and fuzzy importance analysis of the basic events. In present paper, the basic principle of fuzzy fault-tree is introduced, and an example of fuzzy fault-tree analysis of one top event in a 4300 PCTC ship launching on longitudinal slide way is given and illuminated.
Keywords:ship launching  safety assessment  fault-tree analysis  fuzzy number  fuzzy importance
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