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This paper suggests using a proportional hazard model to predict personal income, for the purpose of imputing missing income data in household travel surveys. The model has a hazard function that comprises two multiplicative components: (1) a non-parametric baseline hazard function that is dependent only on the income level and (2) a function that is dependent only on the other personal attributes of the survey respondents (excluding income). To estimate and validate the model, data is drawn from a travel characteristics survey conducted in Hong Kong in year 2001. The model is found to have a much higher accuracy when compared with a conventional ordered probit model based on the assumption that the logarithm of income is normally distributed.
C. O. TongEmail:

C.·O. Tong   is an Associate Professor at the Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong. He received his B.Sc. (Eng.) degree from the University of Hong Kong, M.Sc. (Transportation Engineering) degree from Leeds University and Ph.D. degree from Monash University. His research interests are in transport demand modeling and dynamic network modeling. Jackie K. L. Lee   worked as a Research Assistant at the Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong during the period from March 2004 to April 2005. She received her B.Eng. and M.Eng. degrees in Civil Engineering from the Hong Kong Polytechnic University. She is a Chartered Engineer and is also Corporate Members of the Hong Kong Institution of Engineers and the Institution of Structural Engineers.  相似文献   

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