测波浮标与ADCP的现场对比试验研究

波浪测量对于海洋研究具有极其重要的意义.当前运用最广泛的海洋波浪测量装备有"波浪骑士"和声学多普勒流速剖面仪(ADCP).本文针对这2种测量装置,开展对比测试试验,对所测得的有义波高、平均跨零周期和谱峰波向等测试数据进行对比,分析验证2种测量装备的特点、适用性和准确度.     

Derivation of wave spectrum using data driven methods

The current techniques of derivation of a wave spectrum from given values of design wave parameters, like significant wave height and average wave period, are fraught with considerable uncertainties. This leaves scope for alternative approaches. The reported work proposes potential applications of two recent data driven methods, namely support vector regression (SVR) and model tree (MT), to obtain the wave spectra. In the present study the above tools were used to estimate wave spectra at two locations: no. 44008 maintained by National Data Buoy Centre (NDBC) in the Gulf of Maine, USA and ‘DS5’ monitored by National Institute of Ocean Technology (NIOT) in Bay of Bengal, India. The choice of these two locations facilitated the comparison of model performances in different geographical areas. The SVR and MT models were developed in order to estimate the wave surface spectral density over a wide range of wave frequencies out of average wave parameters of significant wave height and average zero-cross wave period. The models were trained and tested using randomly selected sea states. Both MT and SVR were able to derive the spectral shapes satisfactorily as reflected in high values of the correlation coefficients and low values of root mean square error and mean square error.     

基于两种转换函数的真实波浪参数的统计分析（英文）

The probability distributions of wave characteristics from three groups of sampled ocean data with different significant wave heights have been analyzed using two transformation functions estimated by non-parametric and parametric methods. The marginal wave characteristic distribution and the joint density of wave properties have been calculated using the two transformations, with the results and accuracy of both transformations presented here. The two transformations deviate slightly between each other for the calculation of the crest and trough height marginal wave distributions, as well as the joint densities of wave amplitude with other wave properties. The transformation methods for the calculation of the wave crest and trough height distributions are shown to provide good agreement with real ocean data. Our work will help in the determination of the most appropriate transformation procedure for the prediction of extreme values.     

Contribution of supposed wave condition on the long-term distribution of a wave-induced load

This report is concerned with the statistical analysis of the long-term distribution of a wave-induced load, and examines which factors influence the long-term distribution of the load level, e.g., the significant wave height, the mean wave period of the supposed wave condition, and the relative angle between the ship's course and the wave direction. The long-term distribution is broken down into these factors, and a contribution rate analysis method for each factor in each load level in the long-term distribution is introduced. Based on the method used, the contribution rate of a specific mean wave period and a wave angle encountered is clarified, when the long-term distribution is larger than other wave periods and wave angles. The specific mean wave period and wave angle encountered are defined as the wave condition which governs the long-term distribution. The maximum wave-induced load in the vicinity of a probability of exceedance of around 10⁻⁸ in the long-term distribution is decided by the most severe short-term wave condition which has the largest significant wave height with a specific mean wave period. Based on S–N curves and Miner's rule, the relation between the fatigue damage and the supposed wave condition is examined. The contribution rate analysis method for fatigue damage is introduced. The governing wave condition and the most severe short-term wave condition also have an important effect on the fatigue damage. A simple estimation method for the long-term distribution, described by the Weibull distribution from the statistical properties of the most severe short-term wave condition, is introduced. Several examples show the applicability of the estimation method. Received: November 22, 2001 / Accepted: January 9, 2002     

Prediction of wave parameters by using fuzzy inference system and the parametric models along the south coasts of the Black Sea

Forecasting of sea-state characteristics has a great importance in coastal and ocean engineering studies. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to investigate performances of Adaptive-Network-Based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) and several parametric methods in the Black Sea. For this purpose, different fuzzy models with different input combinations were developed for two different wind data sources (TSMS and ECMWF) at two offshore buoy stations. It also aimed to apply several approaches to event-based data sets for wave predictions. Generally, in literature the tendency is to use time series data for wave predictions. In this kind of prediction approach, lagged time series data are taken as inputs and current or future variables are taken as output. In this study, event-based data for each independent storm were extracted from time series data. Simultaneous or concurrent data of wind speed, blowing duration, fetch length and wave characteristics were detected for each single storm. These event data were then used to set up models. The hindcast results were validated with significant wave height and mean wave period data recorded in Hopa and Sinop buoy stations. The performance of developed fuzzy models were also compared with that of four different parametric methods (Wilson, SPM, Jonswap, and CEM methods) applied for two wind data sources at both buoy stations. Finally, it was determined that in the prediction of both wave parameters (H _s and T _z) the ANFIS models (R = 0.66, squared correlation coefficient, and MAE = 0.37 m, mean absolute error, for the best model in prediction of H _s) were more accurate than the parametric methods (R = 0.63 and MAE = 0.75 m for the best model in prediction of H _s).     

复杂水域波浪物理模型与数学模型对比研究

基于MIKE21-BW模块,采用多种概化处理模型,研究了烟台港某工程港内波高分布和波浪传播状况。通过与物理模型进行对比,分析了各概化模型的优缺点,选择较优方案。结果表明:对于整个港池波高分布情况,各方案数学模型模拟结果和物理模型试验结果基本吻合,均能较好反映波高分布趋势及一些较复杂波浪传播变形现象。但其中存在多种波浪组合,同时包括波浪折射、反射、绕射、破碎、爬坡且反射波占主导地位的局部水域,数学模型模拟的波高数值都与物理模型结果相去甚远,说明MIKE21-BW仍不能很好模拟此类复杂波况水域。     

斜坡堤越浪流厚度及堤后次生波的试验研究*

通过断面物理模型试验,对于斜坡堤的平均越浪量、堤上越浪流厚度以及堤后次生波的波高、周期的变化情况等进行了较系统的研究,初步建立了堤上越浪流的厚度、堤后次生波的波浪透射系数、周期变化系数与无因次平均越浪量的关系.该成果可为工程实际及斜坡堤堤项越浪情况数学模型的参数调整提供依据.     

Response-based extreme value analysis of moored offshore structures due to wave, wind, and current

Floating moored offshore structures have a significant future in offshore operations as an attractive economic alternative to fixed structures in deep waters and/or in areas where there is no existing infrastructure. This paper describes an analysis procedure based on the structure variable approach to estimate load and response values of a moored offshore platform at a given return period by taking into account the joint occurrence of wave, wind, and current. The results show that the most severe mooring loads may not occur when wind, wave, and current are collinear and are at their maximum design values, i.e., the 50- or 100-year case. It is recommended that the extreme mooring design loads for moored offshore systems should be determined through a range of physical or numerical simulations where wave, wind, and current are noncollinear and act with less severe magnitudes than the 50- or 100-year case. This recommendation has also been adopted in the ITTC/Ocean Engineering Committee recommendations to the ITTC Conference held in September 1996.     

Estimation of extreme significant wave heights and the associated uncertainties: A case study using NORA10 hindcast data for the Barents Sea

The reliability of an offshore structure is dependent on its response to the extreme wave climate; therefore, an adequate knowledge of the wave climate at a location is a prerequisite during design as well as in marine operations. This study aims to contribute to the knowledge of the extreme wave climate in the Norwegian Sector of the Barents Sea, using wave hindcast datasets from the Norwegian Reanalysis 10 km (NORA10) database for four locations.We have considered three commonly used methods for the estimation of extreme wave heights, that is, the initial distribution method, the peak over threshold method, and the annual maxima method. The parametric bootstrap concept is considered in the estimation of the epistemic uncertainty related to sample size. The estimated 100-year significant wave heights obtained from the three methods differ, and the degree of variability in the estimates varies, depending on the dataset. The epistemic uncertainty due to sample size is wider when considering the annual maxima method.The estimates obtained from the three methods show the importance of considering different methods and their associated uncertainties when estimating extreme wave values for design. While it is difficult to single out the best method among the three, the estimated values give knowledge of the possible range of the extreme significant wave heights at the locations. Generally, the datasets considered in this study suggest that the wave climate is less harsh further north compared to the southern region of the Barents Sea. The datasets do not suggest any temporal trends in the historical significant wave heights at any of the locations.     

不规则波作用下的港域波浪条件试验研究

针对数学模型很少能较好地模拟天然海浪的多向性、不规则性的特点,基于港口波浪整体物理模型试验,对不规则波作用下港域内测点的波高扰动系数的分布规律进行研究。结果表明:在绕射作用为主的掩护区域,多向波的绕射性能大于单向波,波浪扰动系数较大;波浪绕射、反射作用均十分强烈的掩护区域,多向不规则波与单向不规则波的扰动系数看不出明显的大小关系。以反射作用为主的掩护良好区域,单向不规则波的扰动系数较多向不规则波的要大,且受反射作用越大的区域,单向波的扰动系数大的越多。在以绕射作用为主的掩护区域,波浪分布对周期的敏感性较差;在以反射作用为主的掩护良好区域,波高分布对周期的敏感性较强。在绕射、反射都较强的情况下有可能单向波作用下的港内波高大于单向波,用单向不规则波来模拟反而是偏安全的。在进行港内波况整体模型试验时需要根据实际的工程条件做出综合考虑来决定波型,必要时要对单向、多向不规则波都要进行试验以确定最佳方案。     

风暴潮增水和台风浪联合分布在北仑港中的应用

通过台风期间北仑港实测潮位、波浪资料统计分析,研究台风期间风暴潮增水特性和统计规律,采用概率统计理论研究风暴潮增水和波浪的相关性,建立风暴潮增水与波高的联合分布,提出考虑风暴潮影响的设计潮位、波浪组合的推算方法。     

小面积掩护水域波浪物理模型与数学模型对比研究

通过物理模型和数学模型2种研究手段,对印度尼西亚PLTU2 JAWA BARAT 3×350 MW电厂码头工程波浪传播进行对比研究,分析港内外波高和波浪增水引起的水平面的变化。结果表明:对港内波高的分布情况数学模型模拟结果和物理模型试验结果基本吻合,从物理模型试验结果分析得出港内存在水平面的上升情况,MIKE21的BW波浪数学模型不能模拟波浪增水。分析了长周期波引起港内波浪共振的条件,港口的自振周期远远大于试验波要素的周期,故在此波浪作用下不会引起港内的共振。     

规则纵浪中船舶参数激励横摇运动研究

考虑船舶横摇运动中恢复力矩及阻尼力矩的非线性,建立船舶在规则波浪中参数激励下的非线性横摇运动方程,并对规则纵浪中船舶参数激励横摇运动进行研究,探讨船舶发生参数激励横摇运动的条件及大幅横摇的动力学特征,分析船速、波高及波长等因素对参数激励横摇运动的影响。     

海港工程疏浚对波浪传播的影响

针对海港工程疏浚边界处大角度入射波浪的显著折射和类似"全反射"现象,及其可能对航道、防波堤及港内不同位置产生的不利影响,采用Boussinesq方程建立典型数学模型,并对相关控制性试验要素进行无量纲处理,试验得出不同条件下的波浪场分布及各要素的影响规律。结果显示,各类影响要素中,入射波高-水深比、海底坡度、入射角对最大波高值及波能聚集位置的影响相对显著。     

Parametric rolling prediction in irregular seas using combination of deterministic ship dynamics and probabilistic wave theory

In recent years there have been reports of serious accidents of parametric rolling for modern container ships and car carriers. For avoiding such accidents, a prediction method of parametric rolling in irregular seas is required. Since parametric rolling is practically non-ergodic, repetitions of numerical simulations or experiments could be not feasible to ascertain the behaviour. Therefore, in this paper, a method combining a stochastic approach with a deterministic approach in order to estimate the probabilistic index without such simple repetitions is developed. The ship's response in regular seas is estimated by solving an averaged system of the original 1-DoF roll model, and random waves necessary for occurrence of parametric rolling is achieved by using Longuet-Higgins’s or Kimura’s wave group theory. As a result, a fast and robust computation method of the probabilistic index is established. Finally, it is concluded that the proposed method is considered to be one of the useful tools for discussing the new IMO Intact Stability Code.     

不规则波在斜坡地形破碎区波高分布的数值试验研究

在近岸浅水波浪分布的研究中,格鲁霍夫斯基给出适用于深水波至破碎波的整个浅水域(相对水深η>2)的波高经验分布公式,但该式在波浪发生破碎后的适用性研究欠缺。基于FLOW-3D软件对深水不规则波传播到斜坡地形上波浪发生破碎进行模拟,验证波高沿程分布与试验值的一致性,并模拟在130斜坡地形条件下波浪从有限水深传播到近岸破碎区的沿程波高分布变化。结果表明,在该坡度相对水深η<2.75情况下,格鲁霍夫斯基经验分布公式出现较大误差,不再适用;破碎区各累积率波高与平均波高的比值随相对水深变小呈递减趋势,经验公式值与之相比,总体上呈现出大波偏大、小波偏小的情况。     

海洋平台设计中的风浪参数选取标准

以我国渤海某区1970年至1993年风暴过程的后报资料为基础,提出了泊松二维冈贝尔逻辑分布,并将其用于风暴过程中伴生的风速与波高的联合概率计算,给出了美国石油协会(API)行业标准有关环境条件三种设计标准的具体做法.基于新的统计模式,同时提出了联合概率法设计标准.比较了多种标准所得设计参数的差异,给出了适合工程所在海区的环境荷载参数.计算结果表明,新的统计模式适用于遭受风暴影响的海洋工程结构设计,特别是边际油田的开发建设.     

基于马尔可夫链的极值波高预测

本文研究了由日最大波高系列估算设计极值波高时，相邻日最大波高间的相关性对极值预测的影响，从日最大波高系列遵从马尔可夫链的假定出发，考虑到国内外经常采用对数一正态分布的韦布尔分布拟合波高长期分布的现实，本文用解析法求解了对数一正态分布情况下的极值预测。同时，对解析法难以求解的非正态随机变量情况（如韦布尔分布），用计算机随机模拟方法求解其极值预测，用上述两种方法对北大西洋和北海有关日最大波高系列的预测     

不同因素对潜堤波浪传播的影响

针对波浪穿过梯形潜堤时的波浪形态沿程变化问题,以梯形潜堤为研究对象,通过二维水槽试验,研究梯形潜堤上规则波的传播特征。以比波高为参数分析不同波浪要素(波高、周期和水深等)对波浪传播变形的影响。试验结果表明,其他条件不变时,入射波高越大、波浪周期越小、堤顶淹没水深越小时,波高在潜堤上方衰减越明显。在有足够水深,且波高较小时,波浪对潜堤均有良好的穿透性;波高较大时,波浪在潜堤上部发生破碎,波浪穿过潜堤后波高衰减,此时潜堤的消波作用明显;在波浪不发生破碎情况下,较长周期波浪在潜堤顶部比波高增大,且出现双峰值。     

茂名港区工程海域波浪特性分析

通过对茂名附近海域不同测波站短期的波浪资料进行统计分析,结果表明:该海域常浪向为ESE—SE向,强浪向为E—S向,大浪主要为台风浪;波浪年平均有效波高不超过1.5 m,年平均波周期在6 s以下,存在平均周期8 s以上的波浪。