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1.
Between 1990 and 2000, U.S. transit agencies added service and increased ridership, but the ridership increase failed to keep
pace with the service increase. The result was a decline in service effectiveness (or productivity). This marks the continuation
of a long-running and often-studied trend. The scholarly literature attributes this phenomenon, at least in part, to transit
agency decisions to decentralize their service rather than focus on serving the traditional CBD market. Many scholars argue
that a decentralized service orientation is both ineffective and inefficient because it attracts few riders and requires large
per-rider subsidies. This research tests whether a non-traditional, decentralized service orientation, called multidestination
service, results in reduced service productivity. Contrary to what the literature suggests, we find that MSAs whose transit
agencies pursued a multidestination service orientation did not experience lower productivity. These results indicate that
policies that have encouraged the growth of decentralized transit services have not necessarily been detrimental to the industry.
相似文献
Gregory L. ThompsonEmail: |
2.
A good air cargo terminal manpower supply plan helps terminals deal efficiently with their cargos and reduces their operating
costs. To design a good air cargo terminal manpower supply plan, a terminal has to consider not only its operating costs,
but also the uncertainty of the manpower demand in actual operations. However, most air cargo terminals in Taiwan currently
depend on staff experience with a fixed demand when establishing the manpower supply plan, which is neither effective nor
efficient. We have developed two stochastic-demand manpower supply plan models for air cargo terminals that can resolve stochastic
demands occurring in practice. The objectives of both models are to minimize the total man-hour cost, subject to the related
operating constraints. The models are formulated as integer/mixed integer linear programs. To evaluate the two stochastic-demand
models under stochastic demands, we have also developed two deterministic-demand manpower supply plan models, by suitably
modifying two stochastic-demand models, respectively, and an evaluation method. Here, we perform a case study using real operating
data from a Taiwan air cargo terminal. The preliminary results are good, showing that the models could be useful for planning
air cargo terminal manpower supply.
相似文献
Shangyao YanEmail: |
3.
Konstantinos G. Zografos Konstantinos N. Androutsopoulos Teemu Sihvola 《Transportation》2008,35(6):777-795
Flexible transport services include a wide range of demand responsive transport systems that provide non-conventional passenger
and freight transportation services. Several alternative business models varying according to the local market conditions,
the socio-economic, legal, and institutional framework may be developed for the provision of Flexible Transport Systems (FTS).
The objective of this paper is twofold: first to present an integrated methodological framework for developing and assessing
alternative FTS business models and second to demonstrate its applicability to a case study regarding the prioritization of
alternative FTS business models for the provision of flexible passenger transport services in Helsinki.
相似文献
Teemu SihvolaEmail: |
4.
Nature or nurture: why do railroads carry greater freight share in the United States than in Europe? 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
During the 1950s, the share of freight carried by railroads was similar and declining in both the United States and Europe.
By 2000, the railroads’ share of freight (measured in ton–kilometers) had reached 38% in the United States while falling to
8% in Europe. This paper examines the reasons for the difference in rail’s share of freight in Europe and the United States.
We find that almost 83% of the gap in 2000 is probably due to natural or inherent differences, principally geography, shipment
distance, and commodity mix. However, 17% of the gap cannot be explained by these inherent differences and is presumably due
to public policies including priority of passenger service, lack of interoperability at borders, service quality and rates,
and incentives of the rail operators. We estimate that if that policy gap were closed, railroads’ share of freight in Europe
would increase from 8% to 13%.
相似文献
Mark FaganEmail: |
5.
In this paper, we used the 10-wave Puget Sound Panel Dataset to investigate the response lag of a significant change in discretionary
time use. In particular, we want to quantify the relative magnitude of the following factors: the built environment, family
and social obligations, temporal constraints, or a psychological delay factor (people delay a behavioral change until the
next life shock). To answer this question, we developed a survival model to treat (1) left-censoring, (2) partial observation,
and (3) multi-type exits. The results suggest that family and social obligations, as well as temporal constraints, appear
to play a more important role than the built environment. Support for the psychological delay factor is not evident. We also
found that the probability of having a significant change in discretionary time use is negatively related to time progression,
supporting the human adaptivity hypothesis.
Cynthia Chen is an assistant professor of Civil Engineering at the City College of New York. Her recent research interests have been in travel behavior dynamics and residential search and location process. Jason Chen is a Ph.D. candidate in the department of civil engineering at the City University of New York. His research interests include travel behavior analysis, travel demand modeling, and residential location analysis. 相似文献
Jason ChenEmail: |
Cynthia Chen is an assistant professor of Civil Engineering at the City College of New York. Her recent research interests have been in travel behavior dynamics and residential search and location process. Jason Chen is a Ph.D. candidate in the department of civil engineering at the City University of New York. His research interests include travel behavior analysis, travel demand modeling, and residential location analysis. 相似文献
6.
Wireless ICTs are often used in public transport. Using survey data collected amongst 98 train travellers this article aims
to gain insight into important factors that affect train travellers’ intentions to communicate with distant others while travelling.
More specifically, the focus is on the decision-making process that leads to the intention to choose for a confidential conversation
either via ‘audible’ mobile phone or via ‘silent’ SMS/e-mail. An approach that is related to the Extended Model of Goal-directed
Behaviour (EMGB) is applied. Structural equation modelling results indicate that in particular past SMS behaviour, the desire
to communicate (goal desire), the perceived efficacy and controllability influence the intention to conduct a confidential
phone conversation in the train. The influence of the social environment (e.g. eavesdropping) seems to be less important.
Several EMGB constructs are strongly influenced by age. It seems that older respondents have more negative attitudes towards
telephoning while travelling by train, and find it more difficult to call other people in such a situation. Finally, they
have a lower intention than younger respondents to conduct a confidential conversation over the phone while travelling.
相似文献
Martin DijstEmail: |
7.
Toshiyuki Yamamoto 《Transportation》2009,36(3):351-366
The interactions among different types of vehicle ownership including car, motorcycle and bicycle are examined by developing
simultaneous vehicle ownership models in this study. Large scale person trip survey data for Osaka metropolitan area, Japan
and Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia are used for empirical analysis. The results suggest that population density at residential area
significantly and negatively affects car ownership for both areas, and that the effects are larger for Osaka metropolitan
area than for Kuala Lumpur. Also, bicycle ownership becomes higher at higher population density area for Osaka area, while
higher at lower population density area for Kuala Lumpur, which represents the different usage patterns of bicycle between
the two areas.
相似文献
Toshiyuki YamamotoEmail: |
8.
Gerard de Jong Andrew Daly Marits Pieters Stephen Miller Ronald Plasmeijer Frank Hofman 《Transportation》2007,34(4):375-395
This paper provides a review of transport model applications that not only provide a central traffic forecast (or forecasts
for a few scenarios), but also quantify the uncertainty in the traffic forecasts in the form of a confidence interval or related
measures. Both uncertainty that results from using uncertain inputs (e.g. on income) and uncertainty in the model itself are
treated. The paper goes on to describe the methods used and the results obtained for a case study in quantifying uncertainty
in traffic forecasts in The Netherlands.
相似文献
Gerard de JongEmail: |
9.
Amin T. Kiggundu 《Transportation》2009,36(3):275-294
Most major cities across the world today are facing an intractable challenge of financing public transport. In Kuala Lumpur
for example, public transport services are somewhat poor in part because of the failure of major operators to secure ample
funding. Previous funding programs implemented in the city have failed to produce a replicable model for financing public
transport. Due to numerous financial problems and the dismal performance of privately owned transport firms, the State has
in the recent past emerged as a key source of funding for the public transport sector in Kuala Lumpur. This article argues
that, despite the insuperable challenges, prospects for the future funding of public transport in Kuala Lumpur appears to
be good. The article also draws lessons from both Tokyo and Hong Kong. In order to address the funding deficit facing the
public transport industry in the city it is crucial that more viable strategies and policies such as value capture and public–private
sector partnerships are adopted by the urban authorities.
相似文献
Amin T. KiggunduEmail: |
10.
Singapore motorisation restraint and its implications on travel behaviour and urban sustainability 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Piotr S. Olszewski 《Transportation》2007,34(3):319-335
The example of Singapore shows that rapid urban and economic growth does not have to bring traffic congestion and pollution.
Singapore has chosen to restrain car traffic demand due to its limited land supply. Transport policy based on balanced development
of road and transit infrastructure and restraint of traffic has been consistently implemented for the past 30 years. Combined
with land use planning, it resulted in a modern transport system, which is free from major congestion and provides users with
different travel alternatives. As the economic growth caused a substantial increase in demand for cars, several pricing policies
were introduced with the aim of restraining car ownership and usage. Growth of the vehicle population is now controlled and
potentially congested roads are subject to road pricing. These measures help to keep the roads free from major congestion,
maintain car share of work trips below 25% and keep the transport energy usage low. Although Singapore conditions are in many
aspects unique, its travel demand experience can provide useful lessons for other rapidly growing cities in Asia.
相似文献
Piotr S. OlszewskiEmail: |
11.
The impact of high-speed technology on railway demand 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
This paper estimates a passenger railway demand function to analyse effects arising from the introduction and use of high-speed
technologies. The paper reports estimates of demand elasticities with respect to price, income, quality of service and a range
of exogenous characteristics. The results show that travel time savings from conventional high-speed technology have a larger
impact on passenger demand than tilting train technology. The introduction of conventional high-speed technology is associated
with an 8% increase in passenger railway demand. Increasing the use of either type of high-speed technology appears to induce
small positive effects on demand beyond those obtained from usual traffic density increases on non-high-speed existing technology.
Antonio Couto is an assistant professor in the Faculty of Engineering (FEUP) at the University of Porto. He received his PhD from FEUP in 2005 having completed a thesis in railway transport economics. His research focuses on issues related to transport economics and infrastructures. Daniel J. Graham is a Reader in the Centre for Transport Studies at Imperial College London. He specialises in the economics of transport, focusing in particular on modelling the implications of transport provision and accessibility for productivity and economic growth. 相似文献
Daniel J. Graham (Corresponding author)Email: |
Antonio Couto is an assistant professor in the Faculty of Engineering (FEUP) at the University of Porto. He received his PhD from FEUP in 2005 having completed a thesis in railway transport economics. His research focuses on issues related to transport economics and infrastructures. Daniel J. Graham is a Reader in the Centre for Transport Studies at Imperial College London. He specialises in the economics of transport, focusing in particular on modelling the implications of transport provision and accessibility for productivity and economic growth. 相似文献
12.
This contribution presents theoretical considerations concerning the connections between life situation, lifestyle, choice
of residential location and travel behaviour, as well as empirical results of structural equation models. The analyses are
based on data resulting from a survey in seven study areas in the region of Cologne. The results indicate that lifestyles
influence mode choice, although slightly, even when life situation is controlled for. The influence of life situation on mode
choice exceeds the influence of lifestyle. The influence that lifestyle, and in part also life situation, has on mode choice
is primarily mediated by specific location attitudes and location decisions that influence mode choice, respectively. Here
objective spatial conditions as well as subjective location attitudes are important.
相似文献
Joachim ScheinerEmail: |
13.
Modeling residential sorting effects to understand the impact of the built environment on commute mode choice 总被引:5,自引:2,他引:3
Abdul Rawoof Pinjari Ram M. Pendyala Chandra R. Bhat Paul A. Waddell 《Transportation》2007,34(5):557-573
This paper presents an examination of the significance of residential sorting or self selection effects in understanding the
impacts of the built environment on travel choices. Land use and transportation system attributes are often treated as exogenous
variables in models of travel behavior. Such models ignore the potential self selection processes that may be at play wherein
households and individuals choose to locate in areas or built environments that are consistent with their lifestyle and transportation
preferences, attitudes, and values. In this paper, a simultaneous model of residential location choice and commute mode choice
that accounts for both observed and unobserved taste variations that may contribute to residential self selection is estimated
on a survey sample extracted from the 2000 San Francisco Bay Area household travel survey. Model results show that both observed
and unobserved residential self selection effects do exist; however, even after accounting for these effects, it is found
that built environment attributes can indeed significantly impact commute mode choice behavior. The paper concludes with a
discussion of the implications of the model findings for policy planning.
相似文献
Paul A. WaddellEmail: |
14.
The rapid and continuing changes in travel and mobility needs in India over the last decade necessitates the development and
use of dynamic models for travel demand forecasting rather than cross-sectional models. In this context, this paper investigates
mode choice dynamics among workers in Chennai city, India over a period of five years (1999–2004). Dynamics in mode choice
is captured at four levels: exogenous variable change, state-dependence, changes in users’ sensitivity to attributes, and
unobserved error terms. The results show that the dynamic models provide a substantial improvement (of over 500 log-likelihood
points and ρ2 increases from 44% to 68%) over the cross-sectional model. The performance was compared using two illustrative policy scenarios
with important methodological and practical implications. The results indicate that cross-sectional models tend to provide
inflated estimates of potential improvement measures. Improving the Level of Service (LOS) alone will not produce the anticipated
benefits to transit agencies, as it fails to overcome the persistent inertia captured in the state-dependence factors. The
results and models have important applications in the context of growing motorization and congestion management in developing
countries.
相似文献
P. BhargaviEmail: |
15.
Antti Talvitie 《Transportation》2008,35(3):375-393
The paper unpacks the planning process into its component parts: model, process, technique, and goals—the “good thing”. The
paper advances the concept that planning, policy-making, and organizational restructuring can be analyzed under the same framework.
Each of the four components is described and reductionist examples are presented to clarify the intention and to illustrate
the technique that the transport analyst teams employ in their work. The examples cover both successes and failures. They
point toward the enormous scientific task ahead for planning to become meaningful and relevant to the problems of today. Finally,
in the frame of the willingness to pay, the paper puts forward a case for an institutional framework for a financially autonomous road administration. Similarly
organized, administered, and managed entities are relevant also for other transport modes.
Antti Talvitie is a Professor (part time) at the Helsinki University of Technology. He has private practice as consultant and as psychoanalyst in the Washington DC area. Previously, Mr. Talvitie worked in the World Bank; was GM of Viatek Consulting Engineers in Espoo Finland; served as Director of Highway Construction and Maintenance in the Finnish Road Administration; and was Professor in the US, including Chairmanship of the Department Civil Engineering at the University of Buffalo. Mr. Talvitie holds Ph.D. in Civil Engineering from Northwestern University, Evanston, IL, and Certificate in Psychoanalysis from the Boston Graduate School of Psychoanalysis. 相似文献
Antti TalvitieEmail: |
Antti Talvitie is a Professor (part time) at the Helsinki University of Technology. He has private practice as consultant and as psychoanalyst in the Washington DC area. Previously, Mr. Talvitie worked in the World Bank; was GM of Viatek Consulting Engineers in Espoo Finland; served as Director of Highway Construction and Maintenance in the Finnish Road Administration; and was Professor in the US, including Chairmanship of the Department Civil Engineering at the University of Buffalo. Mr. Talvitie holds Ph.D. in Civil Engineering from Northwestern University, Evanston, IL, and Certificate in Psychoanalysis from the Boston Graduate School of Psychoanalysis. 相似文献
16.
This paper presents a detailed exploratory analysis of joint activity participation characteristics using the American Time
Use Survey (ATUS). As a very large nationwide survey that explicitly elicited information on both household and non-household
companions for each activity episode, the ATUS is ideally suited for this analysis. Several intuitive and interesting results
are obtained. Joint episodes are found to be of longer durations, significantly likely to take place at the residence of other
people, and often confined to certain time periods of the weekday. In addition, important differences in these characteristics
are also observed based on activity purpose, companion type, and the day of the week. These findings are intended to provide
the basis for the justification of detailed collection of joint activity–travel participation information in household activity–travel
surveys, and also as a stimulant for further empirical analysis and modeling of joint activity participation behavior.
相似文献
Chandra R. BhatEmail: |
17.
When a new public transport service is introduced it would be valuable for public authorities, financing organisations and
transport operators to know how long it will take for people to start to use the service and what factors influence this.
This paper presents results from research analysing the time taken for residents living close to a new guided bus service
to start to use (or adopt) the service. Data was obtained from a sample of residents on whether they used the new service
and the number of weeks after the service was introduced before they first used it. Duration modelling has been used to analyse
how the likelihood of starting to use the new service changes over time (after the introduction of the service) and to examine
what factors influence this. It is found that residents who have not used the new service are increasingly unlikely to use
it as time passes. Those residents gaining greater accessibility benefits from the new service are found to be quicker to
use the service, although the size of this effect is modest compared to that of other between-resident differences. Allowance
for the possibility that there existed a proportion of the sample that would never use the new service was tested using a
split population model (SPD) model. The SPD model indicates that 36% of residents will never use the new service and is informative
in differentiating factors that influence whether Route 20 is used and when it is used.
Kiron Chatterjee has been a Senior Lecturer at the University of the West of England, Bristol, since 2003 and previously was at the University of Southampton. Currently, a main focus of his research is on longitudinal analysis of travel behaviour to improve policy analysis. Kang-Rae Ma received a PhD in Planning from University College London. He worked at the University of the West of England, Bristol, and the Korea Transport Institute before he joined Chung-Ang University as an Assistant Professor. His research interests include modelling of travel behaviour and urban excess commuting. 相似文献
Kang-Rae MaEmail: |
Kiron Chatterjee has been a Senior Lecturer at the University of the West of England, Bristol, since 2003 and previously was at the University of Southampton. Currently, a main focus of his research is on longitudinal analysis of travel behaviour to improve policy analysis. Kang-Rae Ma received a PhD in Planning from University College London. He worked at the University of the West of England, Bristol, and the Korea Transport Institute before he joined Chung-Ang University as an Assistant Professor. His research interests include modelling of travel behaviour and urban excess commuting. 相似文献
18.
Paul Stangl 《Transportation》2008,35(6):759-775
Following the passage of ISTEA, increased attention to pedestrian planning has led to the development of pedestrian plans,
particularly at the metropolitan and municipal levels. This has raised the issue of how cities and metropolitan areas evaluate
the walkability of the pedestrian realm and identify improvement projects. Three approaches to evaluating the pedestrian realm
are examined: instrumental rationality, communicative rationality, and phenomenology. Case studies demonstrating the application
of these approaches to the development of pedestrian plans are examined in the Phoenix metropolitan area, Portland, Oregon,
and Cambridge, Massachusetts.
Paul Stangl obtained a Doctorate in Geography at the University of Texas, Austin, in 2001 and a Masters Degree in City and Regional Planning from Rutgers University, in 1992. He has worked as a transportation planner for the City of North Charleston, S.C. and currently teaches city and regional planning at Western Washington University. 相似文献
Paul StanglEmail: |
Paul Stangl obtained a Doctorate in Geography at the University of Texas, Austin, in 2001 and a Masters Degree in City and Regional Planning from Rutgers University, in 1992. He has worked as a transportation planner for the City of North Charleston, S.C. and currently teaches city and regional planning at Western Washington University. 相似文献
19.
This paper investigates the impact of a variety of travel information types on the quality of travel choices. Choice quality
is measured by comparing observed choices made under conditions of incomplete knowledge with predicted choice probabilities
under complete knowledge. Furthermore, the potential impact of travel information is considered along multiple attribute-dimensions
of alternatives, rather than in terms of travel time reductions only. Data is obtained from a choice experiment in a multimodal
travel simulator in combination with a web-based mode-choice experiment. A Structural Equation Model is estimated to test
a series of hypothesized direct and indirect relations between a traveler’s knowledge levels, information acquisition behavior
and the resulting travel-choice quality. The estimation results support the hypothesized relations, which provides evidence
of validity and applicability of the developed measure of travel-choice quality. Furthermore, found relations in general provide
some careful support for the often expected impact of information on the quality of travel choices. The effects are largest
for information services that generate previously unknown alternatives, and lowest for services that provide warnings in case
of high travel times only.
Caspar Chorus holds a PhD in Technical Sciences (cum laude) from Delft University of Technology, and is currently an Assistant Professor at Eindhoven University of Technology’s Urban Planning Group. His general interests include traveler behavior research / decision making under knowledge limitations / discrete choice analysis. Theo Arentze received a Ph.D. in Decision Support Systems for urban planning from the Eindhoven University of Technology. He is now an Associate Professor at the Urban Planning Group at the same university. His main fields of expertise and current research interests are decision support systems, activity-based modeling, discrete choice modeling, knowledge discovery and learning-based systems with applications in urban and transport planning. Harry Timmermans received a Ph.D. in Spatial Sciences from the University of Nijmegen. He is Chair of the Urban Planning Group and Director of the European Institute of Retailing and Consumer Services. His main fields of expertise concern behavioral modeling, consumer studies and computer systems in a variety of application contexts including transportation. 相似文献
Caspar G. ChorusEmail: |
Caspar Chorus holds a PhD in Technical Sciences (cum laude) from Delft University of Technology, and is currently an Assistant Professor at Eindhoven University of Technology’s Urban Planning Group. His general interests include traveler behavior research / decision making under knowledge limitations / discrete choice analysis. Theo Arentze received a Ph.D. in Decision Support Systems for urban planning from the Eindhoven University of Technology. He is now an Associate Professor at the Urban Planning Group at the same university. His main fields of expertise and current research interests are decision support systems, activity-based modeling, discrete choice modeling, knowledge discovery and learning-based systems with applications in urban and transport planning. Harry Timmermans received a Ph.D. in Spatial Sciences from the University of Nijmegen. He is Chair of the Urban Planning Group and Director of the European Institute of Retailing and Consumer Services. His main fields of expertise concern behavioral modeling, consumer studies and computer systems in a variety of application contexts including transportation. 相似文献
20.
The influence of built environment to the trends in commuting journeys in the Netherlands 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
In this paper we describe commuting trends in the Netherlands in the past decade and examine the influence of urban form and
travel accessibility on commuting journeys over time on the basis of data from the Dutch National Travel Survey. Exploratory
analysis is performed to identify changes in commuting participation, departure time, commuting time, commuting distance and
the modal split. Regression analysis and choice models are used to examine the influence of the built environment on commuting
parameters over time. The results indicate that urban form has consistently influenced the parameters of commuting journey
in the Netherlands in the last 10 years. However, the trend of the influence is unique for each commuting model. Some influences
have become less significant in the last decade and some have become stronger.
相似文献
Kees MaatEmail: |