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《中国航海》2017,(3)
为使内河搁浅船舶快速有效地进行应急处置,提出一种基于贝叶斯网络的应急处置决策方法,该方法具有直观性强、能定量分析各种应急方案和能处理不确定性信息等优点。通过对江苏海事局2009—2012年的搁浅船舶应急处置数据进行统计分析,获得搁浅船舶的应急处置方案和相对应的影响因素值。提出搁浅船舶的三层应急决策框架,即影响因素层、决策准则层和决策方案层。在该决策框架的基础上建立搁浅船舶应急处置模型,并介绍各决策层的因素及其含义;同时,利用条件概率表建立相互间的定量联系。以一艘在长江内运营的典型搁浅船舶为例进行案例验证,结果表明,提出的贝叶斯决策模型能很好地处理搁浅船舶的应急处置。 相似文献
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文中围绕溢油应急管理中存在的主要问题和需求,提出了以现代空间信息技术为核心,结合物联网、云计算、大数据等新技术的智慧应急平台,对平台的信息获取、综合分析及应急处置三大基本模块进行了阐述。以日常值守应急和突发事故应急管理流程为主线,提出了智慧应急平台框架设计,为增强突发事件的分析和综合研判能力,优化事件现场管控和组织处理方案奠定良好基础,对提升溢油应急管理水平具有重要意义。 相似文献
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为进一步完善企业应急处置和政府应急救援程序.检验各相关职能部门及相关企业的快速反应能力,了解扩散性危险化学品有毒介质泄漏和易燃易爆危险化学品泄漏的工程抢险措施以及在事故状态下报警、组织救援的方法,进一步提高危险化学品安全事故应急预案的可操作性、增强相关职能部门和企业的协同作战能力、 相似文献
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为进一步完善企业应急处置和政府应急救援程序.检验各相关职能部门及相关企业的快速反应能力,了解扩散性危险化学品有毒介质泄漏和易燃易爆危险化学品泄漏的工程抢险措施以及在事故状态下报警、组织救援的方法,进一步提高危险化学品安全事故应急预案的可操作性、增强相关职能部门和企业的协同作战能力、 相似文献
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6月10日,天津海事局组织召开新闻发布会,发布了由其编制并经天津市政府审批通过的《天津海上危险化学品事故应急预案》。该应急预案由总则、组织体系、预警预报、信息处理、应急响应、应急结束、后期处置、信息发布、应急保障、应急管理10部分以及《海上危险化学品事故应急处置指南》等5个附件组成, 相似文献
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Trevor O'Neill 《Coastal management》2013,41(4):289-317
Abstract Tankers and offshore exploration and production facilities are the main sources of marine oil spills in the North Sea. Both Norway and the United Kingdom conduct vigorous programs to improve oil spill response, including systematic research and testing of oil spill cleanup technology, regional stockpiling of oil spill response equipment, training of response personnel, and conducting periodic in‐water oil spill “war games.”; The United Kingdom relies on chemical dispersants, while Norway prefers the use of mechanical containment and recovery devices. Norway also requires its offshore operators to demonstrate that their oil spill response equipment and contingency plans meet specific performance standards. 相似文献
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海上溢油应急能力评估研究 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
针对目前我国海上溢油应急能力评估现状,借鉴国内外其他领域应急能力评估模式的先进经验,建立了包含5个一级指标,20个二级指标的海上溢油应急能力评估指标体系.运用改进的层次分析法得出不同层次指标的权重,并结合某海区溢油应急能力现状评分,得到该海区海上溢油应急能力等级.研究表明,该评价指标体系合理、实用,可为海上溢油应急能力... 相似文献
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文中针对长江沿岸溢油设备配备现状,深入分析长江沿岸小型区域性溢油应急设备库的优势,力求寻找一条解决目前溢油设备配备存在的问题的新途径,从而有效提高长江水域溢油处置能力。 相似文献
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Although counteracting environmental programmes and policies have been strengthened, large oil spills still occur at irregular intervals. The total oil spill costs and their compensations have attracted much interest from various parties, such as local stakeholders, and state and federal governments. This paper addresses five major cost categories whose aggregations are expected to cover the overall direct and indirect costs after the release of an oil spill. Among them, research costs should not be neglected, since they tend to be high if public attention has been drawn to the case. Through an examination of the relationship between the total oil spill costs and their admissible claims, we found that:
- admissible claims do not cover the overall costs of the oil spill, and
- admissible claims cannot be compensated in full in the case of large spills.
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Although counteracting environmental programmes and policies have been strengthened, large oil spills still occur at irregular intervals. The total oil spill costs and their compensations have attracted much interest from various parties, such as local stakeholders, and state and federal governments. This paper addresses five major cost categories whose aggregations are expected to cover the overall direct and indirect costs after the release of an oil spill. Among them, research costs should not be neglected, since they tend to be high if public attention has been drawn to the case. Through an examination of the relationship between the total oil spill costs and their admissible claims, we found that:
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admissible claims do not cover the overall costs of the oil spill, and
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admissible claims cannot be compensated in full in the case of large spills.
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船舶数量的增多和船舶大型化,使海上因船舶交通事故引发的船舶溢油风险概率大增。一直以来。由于我国对船舶溢油应急处置能力建设的滞后,有效应对海上溢油尤其是突发性重大溢油事故的能力还很弱,因此,尽快提高溢油应急处置能力具有重大的现实意义。文中从提高对船舶溢油应急处置能力重要性的认识出发。科学分析了造成应急处置能力低的根源,并从落实科学发展观的角度,具体提出了有效提高海上溢油应急处置能力的方法和途径。 相似文献