韩国研制500千米弹道导弹

2014年4月初，朝韩媒体透露韩国军方在国防科学研究所的安兴试验场成功试射了一种射程500千米的弹道导弹，有效载荷在1吨左右。这款新型弹道导弹为射程300千米“玄武”2的增程型，具备打击朝鲜全境目标的能力。     

弹道导弹防御战略及技术发展的研究

弹道导弹的作战效能已经得到了充分的证明,对弹道导弹的防御逐渐受到了各国的高度重视.通过对比分析了美国和俄罗斯的弹道导弹防御系统的发展战略及基本思路,介绍了美围的弹道导弹防御系统的技术发展趋势,结合我国的实际情况,阐述了发展弹道导弹防御系统的思路.     

航海学中有关灯塔最大可见距离的思考

航海中,灯塔的作用是举足轻重的.而在于灯塔的射程和灯塔最大可见距离的处理中,笔者认为根据中英版资料的有关概念的不同,在实际过程中应该有些差别的对待,指出在实际中应该注意的问题.并指出中版资料中的灯塔射程的相关概念的不足之处.     

基于PERT的弹道导弹装填作业流程优化研究

通过对多枚弹道导弹装填网络作业流程进行分析,建立了三组数学模型。基于该模型将多枚导弹装填的问题转化为一种寻求最优方案的问题,并以三枚导弹装填网络作业流程的优化为例,阐述多枚导弹装填优化模型的过程,最后给出了多枚弹装填的时间公式。     

基于“反介入”战略方针指导的中国反舰弹道导弹

原文出自印度国防研究与分析研究所（IDSA）。本刊发表此文，并不表示赞同其观点或证实其报道，仅供有兴趣的读者参考。     

弹道导弹对舰艇编队的突防概率计算及仿真研究

分析了舰艇编队对弹道导弹的拦截过程,首先建立了舰空导弹、电子干扰和密集阵反导的一系列数学模型,然后建立了弹道导弹和舰艇编队的仿真对抗模型。利用此模型和蒙特卡洛的仿真策略实现了对弹道导弹对舰艇编队突防概率的求解,这种仿真求解的算法能够真实地放映对抗双方的对抗过程,所得数据可信度较大,能够体现对抗双方所采用的一定的战术思想和原则。为评价弹道导弹的突防能力和作战效能,提供了必要的分析手段。     

颠覆游戏规则的武器系统 中国反舰弹道导弹

本文系台湾退役海军中将兰宁利对解放军反舰弹道导弹威力及使用模式的评估。本刊发表此文,并不表示赞同其观点或证实其报道,仅供读者参考。     

波浪对潜地弹道导弹出水运动的影响

水下发射潜地弹道导弹时,由于水下环境的复杂性导致导弹的水下弹道要受到多种干扰因素的制约,为分析波浪干扰力对导弹出水运动的影响,针对潜地弹道导弹水下垂直发射方式,运用四元素法建立了潜地弹道导弹出水运动模型,并结合波浪扰动力数学模型在matlab/simulink环境中计算不同海况下导弹所受到的波浪力及导弹的运动姿态.仿真结果表明,波浪在近水面对潜地弹道导弹出水运动的影响不容忽视,波浪对导弹水下弹道及出水姿态的影响,不仅与海况有关,而且还与波浪方向角及初始相位角有关.     

6631型常规弹道导弹潜艇的建造

1959年2月4日，中苏两国政府在莫斯科正式签订了《关于中国海军制造舰艇方面给予中华人民共和国技术援助的协定》，简称《二四协定》。苏联将其在1957年设计，正在建造、尚未服役的最新629型常规动力弹道导弹潜艇转让给中国制造（仿制代号6631型，以下简称“31”）。全部设计图纸资料和主要材料、设备均由苏方提供，苏方派出技术专家来华指导建造工作。1959年5月至1961年12月，“31”艇的技7阿口施工溺十资料共13批分别发来中国：1959年7月，苏方专家组来华。     

基于统计特性的雷达杂波仿真

论文介绍了雷达杂波基本类型,同时对产生雷达杂波的方法和模型作了说明。根据每种产生杂波的模型,利用零记忆非线性变换法和球不变随机过程法分别仿真出相应杂波的波形图。仿真结果具有可参考性。     

灯标最大可见距离的计算

此文对灯标最大可见距离提出了较为严密的计算方法,并对中版灯标表和海图编制以及航海学教材中的相关部分提出了修改建议。     

船舶舱室光环境质量评价方法

通过对影响舱室光环境质量的因素分析,提出了主观和客观相结合的评价舱室光环境质量的方法。本评价方法涵盖了光环境的客观指标和人对光环境的主观感受两个方面,比较全面地反映了舱室光环境的质量,提高了舱室光环境质量评价的科学性。     

一种基于模糊贴近度的武器系统综合评价方法

针对武器系统综合评价中的诸多不确定性问题,运用三角模糊数来描述权重向量和指标评价矩阵,并通过构造理想方案,进而依据模糊贴近度的排序进行综合评价,实例表明,该方法简单有效。     

基于集值统计的船舶舱室火灾危险性评估

针对火灾危险性指标中的不确定性,利用区间数来表征指标的模糊隶属度;同时,为了减少专家评估的主观性对评估结果的影响,引入了专家权威度,并运用集值统计理论对多个专家的评估意见进行合成。在此基础上提出了一种船舶舱室火灾危险性评估的新方法,并引用算例进行验证。算例表明该方法比较客观、合理。     

舰用轻型复合装甲结构及其抗弹实验研究

为探究钢与玻璃钢的组合结构形式对舰船舱壁复合装甲结构抗穿甲性能的影响,采用均质钢板前置和后置玻璃钢来分别模拟舰船舱壁外设及内设复合装甲结构,结合高速弹道冲击实验,分析、比较2种结构形式组合靶板的穿甲破坏模式和抗弹吸能能力。在此基础上,利用有限元分析软件ANSYS/LS-DYNA开展高速立方体弹丸侵彻组合靶板的数值模拟计算,分析组合靶板的侵彻过程,并与实验结果进行比较。结果表明,数值计算结果与实验结果较为吻合;2种组合靶板中复合装甲板的破坏模式均主要为钢板的剪切冲塞破坏和玻璃钢的纤维剪切断裂,后置组合靶板中玻璃钢背层伴随有纤维的拉伸破坏;前置组合靶板的抗弹吸能能力要稍大于后置组合靶板。     

Simplified analytical method for evaluating web girder crushing during ship collision and grounding

The paper presents a simplified analytical method to examine the crushing resistance of web girders subjected to local static or dynamic in-plane loads. A new theoretical model, inspired by existing simplified approaches, is developed to describe the progressive plastic deformation behaviour of web girders. It is of considerable practical importance to estimate the extent of structural deformation within ship web girders during collision and grounding accidents. In this paper, new formulae to evaluate this crushing force are proposed on the basis of a new folding deformation mode. The folding deformation of web girders is divided into two parts, plastic deformation and elastic buckling zones, which are not taken into account for in the existing models. Thus, the proposed formulae can well express the crushing deformation behaviour of the first and subsequent folds. They are validated with experimental results of web girder found in literature and actual numerical simulations performed by the explicit LS-DYNA finite element solver. The elastic buckling zone, which absorbs almost zero energy, is captured and confirmed by the numerical results. In addition, the analytical method derives expressions to estimate the average strain rate of the web girders during the impact process and evaluates the material strain rate sensitivity with the Cowper-Symonds constitutive model. These adopted formulae, validated with an existing drop weight impact test, can well capture the dynamic effect of web girders.     

A simplified method for evaluating singular stress field and fatigue strength of U-shaped notch

In order to simplify the assessment method of notch stress and fatigue strength for cruciform welded structures in ocean engineering, a simple stress assessment formula based on singular strength values $a{s}_i$ and $b{s}_i$ was presented according to linear elastic fracture mechanics and notch stress strength theory. In view of the stress singularity caused by the V-notch, the stress of the corresponding U-notch was recommended and used for fatigue evaluation. Therefore, on the basis of V-notch stress formula, a simplified U-notch stress field evaluation formula was obtained by theoretical analysis and numerical calculation. After a series of verification, it is found that the stress distribution and fatigue strength evaluation formula for cruciform welded joints based on singular strength values proposed in this paper can simply and accurately predict the notch stress at welded joints. The result of fatigue strength evaluated by the simplified formula has a smaller scatter band.     

A signal decomposition method based on repeated extraction of maximum energy component for offshore structures

Contrary to most signal decomposition methods that usually decompose an original signal into a series of components simultaneously, a novel approach based on repeated extraction of Maximum Energy Component (MEC) is proposed. The approach starts from determination of the MEC referring to the estimated Power Spectral Density (PSD) function, and then represents the MEC by employing an exponential function to fit the original signal. By defining a stopping criterion based on two adjacent estimated PSDs, each MEC can be accurately extracted with an improved performance throughout the entire signal decomposition. To verify the proposed method, a single degree-of-freedom system subject to harmonic loads has been examined. Numerical results show that the analytical response can not only be decomposed into four MECs corresponding to the excitation and the system, respectively, but also provide an accurate estimation of natural frequency and damping ratio of the system. Meanwhile, by observing results from the Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD), Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) and Prony based on state-space model (Prony-SS), an improved decomposition accuracy has been achieved from the proposed approach. Furthermore, experimental data from the Norwegian Deepwater Programme and two sets of field-test data from one fixed offshore platform and an offshore wind turbine have been used to demonstrate the correctness of the developed signal decomposition method. It is noted that divergence in results by Prony-SS can be observed when a very large model order is used, while the proposed method provides the better decomposition and reconstruction of signals.     

最大熵原理在船舶波浪载荷理性预报中的应用

本文介绍最大熵原理及其在船舶波浪载荷理性预报中的应用,详细地叙述了船舶随机波浪弯矩概率密度函数的求取原理与方法,通过二个实际船舶的例子,给出了这二艘船舶随机波浪弯矩概率密度函数及其统计推断值,显现出波浪载荷的理性预报方法及其最大熵方法的良好应用前景.     

某型武器装备的Bayes可靠性验收试验方案研究

现代武器装备从论证、研制、定型到生产、列装的周期逐步缩小,武器装备更新速度加快。这就要求在保证装备可靠性要求不变的情况下,提高可靠性验收效率。鉴于此,本文充分考虑了某型武器装备在研制阶段的可靠性试验信息,借助于Bayes可靠性理论制定装备可靠性验收试验方案,在确保较好验收效果的前提下,减少定型阶段的装备可靠性试验时间。本文在详细阐述Bayes可靠性验收试验方案的原理及步骤的基础上,通过实例计算,验证了该方法的可行性。