再论油船修理中的安全管理

列举了近十年间油船修理爆炸事故案例,分析了油船爆炸事故频发现象,进一步探讨了油船爆炸事故成因,提出了油船修理应遵循的步骤。     

沿海成品油船船型开发调查研究

介绍沿海成品油油运市场对油船的需求情况以及沿海港口对成品油船设计的限制条件,探讨规范的变化对成品油船结构的影响并对现有成品油船技术状况及存在的问题进行分析,总结了现有油船船型的特点,提出开发沿海成品油船新船型的建议。     

油船静电的产生及预防

近年来,油船因静电放电而引起的重大火灾事故已占整个油船火灾事故的1/3。为了保证油船运输的安全,本文分析了油船静电产生的原因和影响因素,提出了一些预防措施。     

油船结构形式的变化及发展

介绍油船的发展历史,总结油船结构形式的变化及相关法规的主要内容。分析油船共同规范的制定实施对油船设计的影响和油船结构的发展趋势。展望中国油船建造的发展前景。通过全面系统地阐述油船结构特点,可使相关设计、建造和使用人员能较全面了解油船结构形式的发展历程,从而更清楚油船设计和建造中的有关标准和规范。     

70000DWT油船的有限元分析

本文主要阐述为满足油船CSR(共同结构规范)要求,进行油船的有限元分析。文中选用了比较典型的双壳油船货舱结构来进行有限元分析,为油船的结构设计优化提供理论依据。     

国际油船买卖市场评述与展望

分析了目前世界油船运输市场,以及世界油船的保有量、造船市场情况、二手船交易量、船舶拆解量和造船成本,进而对目前的油船供需进行比较,在此基础上对未来油船价格以及油船买卖市场进行评述与展望.     

国际油船运输市场的发展

从全球范围出发,对油船运输市场的发展进行了回顾和分析,给出了目前油船运输市场的最新动态和趋势,并对未来油船运输市场的发展进行了展望。最后,还对中国油船运输市场的现状和发展提出了建议。     

油船安全及海事监管应对策略研究

油船安全营运对于海洋环境、人命和财产安全意义重大。文中以威海辖区情况为例，梳理了威海辖区油船营运的基本情况，介绍了4起油船泄露事故，从“硬件”和“管理”两个方面对事故原因进行了分析，提出了预防油船泄露事故的应对措施，为建立油船安全长效机制提供参考。     

油船晃荡液货舱风险及其危害分析

文章针对油船晃荡液货舱的一些潜在风险,归纳总结油气处理的各种方法,研究目前油船晃荡液货舱油气常用处理办法,从油船晃荡液货舱系统、油船装载货油、卸载货油以及洗舱等油船晃荡液货舱系统作业过程出发,总结得出油船的混合气体逃逸、货箱撞击和海上溢油等主要风险并分析了风险的整个产生过程和其存在的危害。     

油船失火扑救方法及预防措施的分析

本文从油船火灾的特点和扑救难度,分析、阐述了油船失火的扑救基本方法及油船失火的预防措施.     

Tanker forward freight agreements: the future for freight futures?

Since paper freight-hedging tools were introduced to counter volatile tanker freight rates, the hesitant uptake of tanker Forward Freight Agreements (FFAs) has been attributed to traditional risk seeking propensities amongst tanker owners, naturally reluctant to hedge against risk. To test how far the well-documented generic determinants and incentives for corporate hedging could explain this hesitation in the tanker market, the attitudes of tanker owners and charterers towards freight hedging, risk and perceptions of FFAs, were surveyed. Although FFAs were widely viewed as an important development, some respondents were unaware of their function and a majority had not used them. The link between freight hedging activity and participants' risk aversion was not clear-cut, but with market liquidity critical to raising FFA usage improved technical education is essential to widespread acceptance     

近年世界油运市场的发展与趋势

总结了近年世界石油海运市场的需求、供给、发到船量与运价的发展趋势,对中国油运船队的发展提出一些看法。     

On the nature and sorces of controversy in the economic analysis of the liner shipping industry†

The simulations performed show that demand for quality tankers has to increase by 30% for a two-tier tanker market to emerge. The two-tier freight structure will only last for 3–5 years due to contracting induced by higher freight rates. This means that OPA does not by itself result in higher freight rates for tankers that comply with the requirements. If Western Europe also closes their trades to substandard tankers, a two-tier market emerges and quality tankers obtain a premium. The paper presents a simulation model for international tanker markets. The non-linear complementary equilibrium model solves for a sequence of static equilibria in segmented tanker freight markets, shipbuilding and scrapping markets. Freight markets are segmented according to quality requirements for tankers. The model specifies three tanker classes and one—quality tankers—can operate both market segments.     

Is there potential for a two-tier tanker market?

The simulations performed show that demand for quality tankers has to increase by 30% for a two-tier tanker market to emerge. The two-tier freight structure will only last for 3-5 years due to contracting induced by higher freight rates. This means that OPA does not by itself result in higher freight rates for tankers that comply with the requirements. If Western Europe also closes their trades to substandard tankers, a two-tier market emerges and quality tankers obtain a premium. The paper presents a simulation model for international tanker markets. The non-linear complementary equilibrium model solves for a sequence of static equilibria in segmented tanker freight markets, shipbuilding and scrapping markets. Freight markets are segmented according to quality requirements for tankers. The model specifies three tanker classes and one quality tankers can operate both market segments.     

海外来风

船级社关注12500TEU集装箱船,IMO将强制执行Ecdis,欧盟谋求扩张海上管辖权,美国船舶全面采用全新ERR防锈剂,IACS提前执行新涂层标准.[编者按]     

Supply and demand of new oil tankers

This paper examines the world-wide supply and demand for new oil tankers. A simultaneous supply and demand model is developed and estimated using two-stage least squares techniques and empirical data from 1972 to 1983. The relationships between tanker newbuilding orders and prices, and other relevant market factors are analysed. Major factors affecting the tanker new building market are identified. The results indicate that: oil price and second-hand tanker price are predominant factors influencing future newbuilding demand; a moderate decrease in laid-up tonnage would not induce a significant increase in newbuilding orders; shipbuilding capacity is a more influential factor for the short-run supply of new tankers than shipbuilding cost. Technological change has also played an important role in the market.     

Impacts of Kra Canal and its toll structures on tanker traffic

This article discusses the proposed Kra Canal and its impacts on the tanker market from an economic perspective. We forecast tanker size distributions and further analyze the impacts of toll structures on tanker traffic. The forecast for tanker size distributions is based on distance savings for tankers as potential users of the Kra Canal. The database covers 105 busiest oil transport routes through the Strait of Malacca for the three-year period 2013–2015. Forecasts for individual routes are achieved using an autoregressive model. Two toll polices, namely the willingness-to-pay policy and the differential-pricing policy, are analyzed in order to maximize the annual toll income of the Kra Canal. The findings for the proposed Kra Canal will attract large vessels from the Strait of Malacca. An interesting finding is that the Kra Canal becomes more profitable during an unfavorable tanker market situation when the time-charter rate is low and fuel price is high. The article concludes with a policy that satisfies the goals of canal operator and government.     

Exploring the link between oil prices and tanker rates

Given the secular and sharp rise in oil prices over the past decade, this study analyses the impact that the spike in oil prices has on tanker rates. We investigate a dynamic model explaining spot tanker rates. The magnitude of the impact of oil prices on the shipping industry, in terms of the level and volatility of spot (voyage) under bull and bear market conditions. The West African–US Gulf Tanker Rates, West Texas Intermediate spot and 3-month futures contract, and US Weekly Petroleum Inventories are analysed using cointegration and Granger causality analysis, from 1997 through 2007, in order to examine the lead–lag relationship between oil prices and tanker freight rates. Our findings show a relationship between spot and future crude oil prices, crude oil inventories and tanker rates. The significant increase of freight rates, and the simultaneous increase in oil prices, during the recent years, provides an intriguing economic environment to identify relationships between shipping market rates and oil prices. These relationships have significant implications for the markets. At the practical level, the better understanding of the relationship between freight rates and crude oil prices can improve operational management and budget planning decisions.     

中国液化石油气水路运输市场分析

中国液化石油气水运市场经过10多年的发展已基本成熟,但中国液化石油气船面临船龄老、经营规模小、资金投入少、竞争实力弱等状况。随着世界和中国液化石油气需求的持续增长,气库和运销网络的建成,将为中国液化石油气水运市场提供发展契机,特种工业气体运输市场的形成,也将促进液化石油气水运市场的发展。中国液化石油气水运市场将在竞争中发展,进一步扩大规模,步入更加多元化、理性化、规范化的发展轨道。