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为了研究分心对交通冲突状态下驾驶人反应时间的影响,采用驾驶模拟器构建城市道路交通环境下2种典型冲突形态:侧向行人冲突和纵向追尾冲突,设计认知、视觉以及发短信(认知+视觉复合分心)3种分心任务,在不同行驶车速、跟车时距、前车减速度等紧迫度条件下,采集30名驾驶人应对交通冲突的制动反应时间,分别采用重复测量一般线性模型及线性混合模型进行统计分析。研究结果表明:认知分心使驾驶人应对侧向行人冲突的制动反应时间增加0.09 s,但未观察到其对纵向追尾冲突反应时间的显著性影响;视觉分心与发短信都会延缓驾驶人应对侧向行人(分别增加0.31 s和0.27 s)以及纵向追尾冲突(分别增加0.47 s和0.38 s)的制动反应时间;此外,在纵向追尾冲突中,随着冲突紧迫度提高(前车减速度增大、车头时距减小以及自车速度增大),驾驶人制动反应时间显著减小。表明驾驶分心延长了驾驶人应对交通冲突的反应时间,容易导致事故的发生,具体而言,认知分心主要延长驾驶人应对侧向冲突的反应时间,涉及视觉的分心同时延长驾驶人应对侧向及纵向冲突的反应时间;视觉分心对驾驶人反应时间的延长显著性高于认知分心,说明视觉分心对行车安全影响更大。 相似文献
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为了解决城乡快速干道车-人冲突和事故严重的问题,将车-人冲突点的分析方法扩展到车-人冲突时间窗的分析方法,构建一种行人运动轨迹实时监测和穿越时间预测相结合的车-人冲突时间窗组合预测模型。首先,分析行人违规穿越的实测数据,确定不同类别行人对应的穿越时间置信区间以及松弛时间;其次,根据运动学模型的预测结果判断行人的所属类别并初步确定行人的穿越时间,同时通过卡尔曼滤波算法对行人穿越过程进行实时监测;再次,融合运动学模型预测结果和卡尔曼滤波监测结果,确定最终的车-人冲突时间窗;最后,对所提出的组合预测模型进行标定和验证,并通过VISSIM仿真平台进行安全性能测试。模型验证结果表明:在正常情况下,该模型能够保障行人的安全且能兼顾松弛时间重置次数;在行人初始穿越速度过低或穿越前、中期存在持续低速的情况下,该模型可以通过多次松弛时间重置来解决模型的适用性问题。安全性能测试结果表明,在车辆行驶时间均值增加4.7%的情况下,安全车辆数占比增加了37.3%,车辆的后侵占时间(PET)测试值则增加53.8%。因此,与无松弛时间的预测模型相比,所提出的有松弛时间的车-人冲突时间窗预测模型能够在对交通效率影响较小的前提下,较大程度地提高车-人冲突的安全性。 相似文献
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人非共板断面通过机动车与非机动车高差进行分离,减少机非碰撞的交通事故;避免非机动车对机动车通行的影响,但也不可避免地带来人非冲突予盾增加,非机动车频繁起伏,舒适性下降等问题;结合道路红线宽度、机动车、非机动车交通组织等因素,研究人非共板断面在路段及交叉口范围的交通模式,从而分析总结人非共板断面的适用范围. 相似文献
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Improving pedestrian safety at intersections remains a critical issue. Although several types of safety countermeasures, such as reforming intersection layouts, have been implemented, methods have not yet been established to quantitatively evaluate the effects of these countermeasures before installation. One of the main issues in pedestrian safety is conflicts with turning vehicles. This study aims to develop an integrated model to represent the variations in the maneuvers of left-turners (left-hand traffic) at signalized intersections that dynamically considers the vehicle reaction to intersection geometry and crossing pedestrians. The proposed method consists of four empirically developed stochastic sub-models, including a path model, free-flow speed profile model, lag/gap acceptance model, and stopping/clearing speed profile model. Since safety assessment is the main objective driving the development of the proposed model, this study uses post-encroachment time (PET) and vehicle speed at the crosswalk as validation parameters. Preliminary validation results obtained by Monte Carlo simulation show that the proposed integrated model can realistically represent the variations in vehicle maneuvers as well as the distribution of PET and vehicle speeds at the crosswalk. 相似文献
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针对车路协同环境下的冲突问题,建立了以系统反应时间代替驾驶员反应时间的自动驾驶车辆制动距离模型,以此作为安全距离改进了矩形冲突检测模型,并根据轨迹优化的研究思路,提出了以矩形冲突检测模型为基础的冲突消解算法,对非通行优先权车辆进行速度引导,避免车辆冲突。在车联网开源框架 Veins 的基础上,将交通仿真器 SUMO和网络仿真器 OMNeT++双向耦合,并对冲突检测模型与消解模型进行验证。仿真结果显示,该冲突检测及消解模型具有可行性,与传统无信号交叉口四路停车让行规则相比,模型中的速度引导方案能减少合流冲突车辆 8.6%的平均行驶时间,减少交叉冲突车辆 8.3%的平均行驶时间;合流冲突和交叉冲突中车辆的平均速度分别提高了61.4%和105.0%。在实际应用中,冲突消解模型可以为不同速度范围内的自动驾驶车辆提供速度参考,降低无信号交叉口车辆发生碰撞的概率,提高无信号交叉口的通行效率。 相似文献
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《国际交通安全学会研究报告》2022,46(4):441-449
Assessment of traffic safety is an essential study in transportation engineering. In a developing country like India, around 150,000 people die in road crashes every year. Furthermore, at uncontrolled median openings, the severity of road crashes is higher due to the presence of impatient U-turning road users who don't obey the rule of priority. Traditionally, road crash data have been used since long to analyze traffic safety. However, in developing countries, the main drawback of this conventional method is limited availability of accident data as very few accidents get reported. Moreover, the accuracy of these reported data is questionable. Therefore, now-a-days, various surrogate traffic safety measures like Post Encroachment Time (PET), and Time to Collision (TTC) are being used to examine the safety of road users. Among them, PET is regarded as the most consistent, and most widely used safety indicator. Therefore, in the present study, PET across different traffic volume levels has been determined. Videography data has been collected from selected median openings located on six-lane divided urban roads. PET values for different traffic volumes, and different category of vehicles have been analysed in detail. Further, the distribution of PET values across the full width of road has also been studied. Concept of critical speed is introduced which is compared with conflicting speed to assess unsafe conflicts and determine a critical PET. Finally, regression models have also been proposed with good levels of accuracy to determine the PET values for various category of vehicles travelling at different conflicting speeds. 相似文献
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《国际交通安全学会研究报告》2022,46(3):307-321
In recent years, significant research has focused on traffic safety evaluations at unsignalized intersections due to complex and heterogeneous traffic movements as well as driver behaviour at such locations. However, at unsignalized T-intersections, priority traffic rules are less respected, which creates more conflicts. Further, multiple traffic movements such as right turns and through movements with varied driver behaviour results in increases the severity of conflicts. Many research studies have focused on the proactive safety measures in traffic safety evaluations as compared to crash-based analysis. Also, it is observed that Time to Collision (TTC) and Post Encroachment Time (PET) are the predominant types of surrogate safety measures in traffic safety evaluations. From the existing research outcomes, it is understood that these surrogate safety measures may give a better understanding of chain events for crash occurrences, collision mechanisms, and resulting consequences. However, further research is required in order to understand the suitability of such surrogate safety measures based on the complexity of heterogeneous traffic as well as driver behaviour with considerations of turning vehicles, particularly at T-intersections. In this context, this paper critically reviews the recent developments in Surrogate Safety Measures (SSM) and their applications at unsignalized intersections, with a particular focus on the T-intersection. This paper also brings attention to T-intersection safety evaluation with SSM in a developing country context. The outcome of the present study is more useful in the evaluation of traffic safety at T-intersections and suitable safety indicators for the evaluation. 相似文献
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车辆换道行为因其运行环境复杂,所涉及的交通因素众多,容易引起交通冲突,从而降低道路交通系统的安全性.对车辆换道行为的动态特性及其对车流运行的影响机理进行建模与研究,对提高交通系统的运行效率有重要意义.基于城市道路车辆换道行为的特征,改进了元胞自动机模型细化车辆换道过程;考虑驾驶员特性、车辆类型的影响,采用模糊推理理论描述驾驶员的换道决策,进而建立了城市道路驾驶员主观换道模型.通过将实测交通流数据与仿真输出数据进行对比,验证模型的有效性.结果表明,所建立的模型输出结果与实测数据的误差较小,说明模型具有一定的有效性. 相似文献
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在一些信号交叉口,右转机动车的转弯行为不受信号控制,容易与过街行人发生冲突。现有冲突研究的内容多为冲突判别和冲突分级研究,对人车冲突运动过程研究相对较少。为减少交通冲突,提高行人过街安全性,提出一种新的右转机动车与行人冲突运动过程的仿真模型。研究右转车辆的决策过程,分析人车冲突机理。建立人车冲突模型,依据实际调查所获得的车辆速度和可接受间隙数据,对模型参数进行标定。对模型进行仿真分析,通过比较冲突时间、后侵占时间、安全减速度、间距时间4个冲突严重性指标,选择后侵占时间(PET)这一评价指标进行安全评价。仿真得到的车辆速度和 PET 数据与调查得到数据相比误差不超过5%,验证了模型的有效性。通过灵敏度分析,小交叉口 PET 提高了10%,说明小交叉口有助于降低冲突的严重性。 相似文献
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针对信号交叉口处行人使用手机对其安全产生不利影响的问题,以武汉市9个信号交叉口的实测数据为基础,对行人使用与不使用手机情况下的过街行为与安全性差异进行统计分析.以往的研究中,评价行人安全多通过简单的对比分析,很少有量化的参数依据;针对行人使用手机对过街安全的影响,以人车冲突为评价指标,建立了基于有序概率(OP)的模型,可以更好地量化评价与预测信号交叉口处的行人安全.结果 表明,有11个因素与人车冲突显著相关,包括行人年龄、使用手机方式、过街速度、行人是否与他人结伴过街、嘹望次数、闯红灯与否、车道数、上游车道左转流量、上游车道右转流量、进口道右转流量和信号周期.其中,使用手机会增加人车冲突的概率:在双向2,4,5,6和7车道上,过街时打电话行人的人均冲突分别是不使用手机行人的3.56,3.42,3.33,3.29和3.00倍;看屏幕行人的人均冲突分别是不使用手机行人的4.78,4.17,3.80,3.59和3.30倍;而听音乐行人和不使用手机行人之间的人均冲突并没有明显差异. 相似文献
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根据目前我国城乡T形无信号管制道路交叉口及行人的步行特点。从交通安全的角度出发,通过人车潜在交会次数来研究交通冲突量,比较完整地引出道路交通安全潜在穿越冲突量指标,该指标反映人车发生冲突与事故的可能次数,有利于评价城乡T形无信号管制道路交叉口的交通安全的改善状况。 相似文献
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《国际交通安全学会研究报告》2022,46(4):586-601
In developing countries, road traffic crashes involving pedestrians have become a foremost concern. At present, road safety assessment plans and selection of interventions are primarily restricted to traditional approaches that depend on the investigations of historical crash data. However, in developing countries such as India, the availability, consistency, and accuracy of crash data are major concerns. In contrast, proactive approaches such as studying road users' risk perception have emerged as a substitute method of examining potential risk factors. An individual's risk perception offers vital information on probable crash risk, which may be beneficial in detecting high-risk locations and major causes of crashes. Since the pedestrian fatality risk is not uniform across the urban road network level, it may be expected that pedestrians' perceived risk measured in terms of “crossing difficulty” would also vary across the sites. In this perspective, the present paper establishes a mathematical association between the pedestrians' perceived “crossing difficulty” and actual crashes. The model outcome confirms that pedestrians' perceived crossing difficulty is a good surrogate of fatal pedestrian crashes at the intersection level in Kolkata City, India. Subsequently, to examine the impact of traffic exposures, road infrastructure, land use, spatial factors, and pedestrian-level attributes on pedestrians' “crossing difficulty”; a set of Ordered Logit models are developed. The model outcomes show that high vehicle and pedestrian volume, vehicular speed, absence of designated bus stop, the presence of inaccessible pedestrian crosswalk, on-street parking, lack of signalized control (for both vehicle and pedestrian), inadequate sight distance, land use pattern, slum population, pedestrian-vehicular post encroachment time, waiting time before crossing, road width, and absence of police enforcement at an intersection significantly and positively increase pedestrian's crossing difficulty at urban intersections. To end, the model findings are advantageously utilized to develop a set of countermeasures across 3E's of road safety. 相似文献
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针对目前城市道路交叉口中人车混行现象,综合考虑效率与安全两方面因素,选取延误成本和冲突成本分别作为效率与安全的评价指标,构建有(无)行人专用相位信号控制模式的交叉口运行成本模型.模型的延误成本中,行人和非机动车延误考虑了信号延误、冲突延误以及绕行延误;冲突成本则基于交通冲突理论,以车头时距判断机动车与行人和非机动车是否发生冲突为指标,并根据机动车及行人和非机动车达到分布确定冲突概率.最后,通过北京市四道口交叉口验证了该模型的适用性,并基于遗传算法求得典型信号控制交叉口中行人专用相位设置的阈值在750~900人/h浮动,随着车流量的增长,行人专用相位的设置对行人流量的要求呈现先降后升的趋势.为城市道路交叉口信号配时设计提供了理论支撑,保障行人及非机动车安全、舒适、方便、尊严的出行. 相似文献
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匝道合流区是城市快速路冲突频发区,研究匝道合流控制方法对于提高道路的通行安全具有重要意义。文中基于冲突规避原则提出了CVIS环境下的匝道合流控制方法。考虑车辆特性和行驶的约束,以合流区冲突最小为目标,优化行车过程。经仿真验证,该方法能有效避免冲突并提高车辆行驶的舒适性,为匝道合流区的冲突管理提供控制方法。 相似文献