Assimilation of sea surface temperature in the POL Coastal Ocean Modelling System

A one-dimensional scheme is used to assimilate satellite Sea Surface Temperature data into the Proudman Oceanographic Laboratory Coastal Ocean Modelling System, set up in the Irish Sea with a fine resolution ( 1.8 km). The capabilities of the assimilation scheme are investigated using two different sets of satellite data, of lower and similar resolution to that of the model respectively. Comparison of results with independent data show that assimilation improves the modelled Sea Surface Temperature, but does not address model representation of the temperature vertical structure. It is concluded that for the Irish Sea and at the scales resolved by the model, the assimilation problem cannot be approached in a one-dimensional framework. It is also pointed out that forecast error needs to account explicitly for errors in the representation of the vertical structure of the thermal field.Three-dimensional methods that are suited for coastal systems are then suggested.     

Modelling the silica pump in the Permanently Open Ocean Zone of the Southern Ocean

A coupled 1D physical–biogeochemical model has been built to simulate the cycles of silicon and of nitrogen in the Indian sector of the Permanently Open Ocean Zone of the Southern Ocean. Based on a simplified trophic network, that includes two size classes of phytoplankton and of zooplankton, and a microbial loop, it has been calibrated by reference to surface physical, chemical and biological data sets collected at the KERFIX time-series station (50°40′S–68°25′E). The model correctly reproduces the high nutrient low chlorophyll features typical of the studied area. In a region where the spring–summer mixed layer depth is usually deeper than 60 m, the maximum of chlorophyll never exceeds 1.5 mg m⁻³, and the annual primary production is only 68 g C m⁻² year⁻¹. In the surface layer nitrate is never exhausted (range 27–23.5 mmoles m⁻³) while silicic acid shows strong seasonal variations (range 5–20 mmoles m⁻³). On an annual basis 71% of the primary production sustained by nanophytoplankton is grazed by microzooplankton. Compared to North Atlantic, siliceous microphytoplankton is mainly prevented from blooming because of an unfavourable spring–summer light-mixing regime. Silicic acid limitation (high half saturation constant for Si uptake: 8 mmoles m⁻³) also plays a major role on diatom growth. Mesozooplankton grazing pressure excerpts its influence especially in late spring. The model illustrates the efficiency of the silica pump in the Southern Ocean: up to 63% of the biogenic silica that has been synthetized in the photic layer is exported towards the deep ocean, while only 11% of the particulate organic nitrogen escapes recycling in the surface layer.     

Simulation of the oil spill processes in the Sea of Japan with regional ocean circulation model

A simulation of the movement of spilled oil after the incident of the Russian tanker Nakhodka in the Sea of Japan, in January 1997, was performed by a particle tracking model incorporating advection by currents, random diffusion, the buoyancy effect, the parameterization of oil evaporation, biodegradation, and beaching. The currents advecting spilled oil were defined by surface wind drift superposed on the three-dimensional ocean currents obtained by the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory modular ocean model (GFDL MOM), which was forced by the climatological monthly mean meteorological data, or by the European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) daily meteorological data, and assimilated sea surface topography detected by satellite altimeter. A number of experiments with different parameters and situations showed that the wide geographical spread of oil observed is not explained by wind drift alone, and that including the simulated climatological currents gives better results. The combination of surface wind drift and daily ocean currents shows the best agreement between the model and observations except in some coastal areas. The daily meteorological effect on the ocean circulation model results in a stronger variability of currents that closely simulates some features of the nonlinear large-scale horizontal turbulent diffusion of oil. The effect of different parameterizations for the size distribution of model oil particles is discussed. Received for publication on July 26, 1999; accepted on Nov. 17, 1999     

乘员负荷分布方式对客室内气流组织的影响

应用重整化群κ-ε紊流模型,分别计算并比较了非空态与空态空调列车室内空气三维紊流流场与温度场的分布特性．采用MonteCarlo法分析计算了太阳透射辐射和壁面间的辐射在车室内各固体壁面引起的附加热流变化,并以此作为能量方程的附加源项;对旅客产生的热负荷分别采用平面分布与空间分布处理方式,对比分析了采用不同热负荷分布方式对空调列车客室内三维空气流场与温度场分布的影响．研究分析表明：不同的热源处理方式对客室内流场与温度场有较大的影响．最后,实验验证了采用数值模拟手段研究非空态空调列车室内气流组织的可靠性,为空调列车室内舒适环境的优化研究提供了依据．     

Modelling with joint choice of ports and countries of origin and destination: application to Colombian ports

Literature has focused on studying port choice independently or as an element of a supply chain without considering the joint selection with the country of origin/destination of the imports/exports. However, the characteristics and location of a port may make it more attractive to mobilise more freight from/to some particular countries rather than others, making the port choice decision dependent on the country of origin/destination of the cargo. This article proposes advanced econometric models to evaluate simultaneously port choice and the country of origin/destination choice for Colombian imports and exports. Findings suggest that for imports and exports domestic freight rate is the most important variable for the joint choice process. Also, for exports, maritime transit time is more relevant than for imports, while for the frequency of shipping lines the opposite is true. The existence of a trade agreement and the gross domestic product per capita also have a significant influence on the election of a country for exports/imports.     

含添加剂的溴化锂水溶液吸收蒸汽数值模拟

在BrLi水溶液加入一定量的醇作为添加剂,可以显著的增强其传热传质的能力,通过数值模拟的方法,模拟静态池中含添加剂的BrLi水溶液的表面吸收蒸汽过程,描述这一传热传质过程中BrLi水溶液的吸收表面及溶液内部的速度流场、温度变化．     

Resolving the impact of short-term variations in physical processes impacting on the spawning environment of eastern Baltic cod: application of a 3-D hydrodynamic model

Variations in oxygen conditions below the permanent halocline influence the ecosystem of the Baltic Sea through a number of mechanisms. In this study, we examine the effects of physical forcing on variations in the volume of deep oxygenated water suitable for reproductive success of central Baltic cod. Recent research has identified the importance of inflows of saline and oxygenated North Sea water into the Baltic Sea for the recruitment of Baltic cod. However, other processes have been suggested to modify this reproduction volume including variations in timing and volume of terrestrial runoff, variability of the solubility of oxygen due to variations in sea surface temperature as well as the influence of variations in wind stress. In order to examine the latter three mechanisms, we have performed simulations utilizing the Kiel Baltic Sea model for a period of a weak to moderate inflow of North Sea water into the Baltic, modifying wind stress, freshwater runoff and thermal inputs. The model is started from three-dimensional fields of temperature, salinity and oxygen obtained from a previous model run and forced by realistic atmospheric conditions. Results of this realistic reference run were compared to runs with modified meteorological forcing conditions and river runoff.From these simulations, it is apparent that processes other than major Baltic inflows have the potential to alter the reproduction volume of Baltic cod. Low near-surface air temperatures in the North Sea, the Skagerrak/Kattegat area and in the western Baltic influence the water mass properties (high oxygen solubility). Eastward oriented transports of these well-oxygenated highly saline water masses may have a significant positive impact on the Baltic cod reproduction volume in the Bornholm Basin.Finally, we analysed how large scale and local atmospheric forcing conditions are related to the identified major processes affecting the reproduction volume.     

Challenges in the application of spatial computable general equilibrium models for transport appraisal

The use of spatial computable general equilibrium (SCGE) models for assessing the economic impacts of transport projects is one of the key items on the research agenda for project appraisal in the Netherlands. These models are particularly suitable for analysing indirect effects of transport projects through linkages between the transport sector and the wider economy. Potentially, according to the literature, indirect effects that are additional to first-order direct cost reductions can turn out to be up to almost 80% in magnitude of the direct impacts. Given the relevance of these models for policy appraisal, experiences with this new modelling approach are important to report. After two years of development and application of SCGE models for transport appraisal, we found that the translation of theory behind the spatial equilibrium models into practical model specifications and empirical applications is a challenging task, and may lead to problems in project appraisal in terms of inaccuracies in the assessment of impacts. This paper discusses some key challenges we encountered with the specification of the Dutch SCGE model RAEM. This chapter is especially useful for researchers developing SCGE applications for use in transport appraisal and those who want to get a better understanding of differences between theoretical and computable SCGE modelling.     

船用变风量末端装置的应用分析

变风量空调系统末端装置型式多样,能否在舰船上使用并达到相应效果是业内人士关心的问题。因此对舰船空调末端装置进行分析,采用k-e湍流模型对舱室空气流动进行数值模拟,并运用Fluent软件进行模拟计算,得出了船员舱室的温度场和速度场的分布。由舱室温度分布均匀和无明显送风下坠和射流冷风感,得出诱导型变风量末端和带热交换器动力型末端送风方案都能满足舱室舒适性要求,为变风量末端装置在舰船上更好地使用提供了理论依据。     

基于滑移网格的带桨水面船自航性能预报研究

应用FINE/Marine软件对KCS船、KP505桨以及考虑自由液面的船桨组合体进行数值计算,并计算其自航性能。利用滑移网格技术和随体网格来实现船桨之间的相互耦合。考虑到原有的自航性能数据处理方法并不代表实际情况,文中借鉴强制自航法的概念提出了一种新的船舶自航点求解方法预报船舶自航性能,并与模型试验结果进行比较,吻合良好,其中推力减额系数、伴流分数以及船舶推进效率的计算误差分别为0.5%、2.18%、6.76%。本文研究为预报船舶自航性能提供了一种新的研究手段。     

潜艇近海底运动水动力数值计算分析研究

本文以SUBOFF潜艇模型为研究对象,利用FLUENT6.1软件,数值模拟了无限水域下的变攻角水动力特性曲线,与泰勒水池的模型试验结果比较分析表明,数值模拟具有较好的精度.本文用FLUENT6.1软件进一步计算分析了SUBOFF潜艇模型带攻角、带漂角、不同近底距离直航状态下的水动力特性,结果表明:无论有无攻角和漂角存在,潜艇运动(除阻力外)的五个水动力分量随近底距离的变化与"近底距离倒数平方"呈良好的线性关系,例如,Z(H)∝1/H2,或Z′(ζ)∝ζ2,其中ζ=D/H为无量纲近底参数.     

壳单元和实体单元模拟爆炸荷载作用钢板动力响应的差异性比较

以舰船舱室钢板为研究对象,利用动力分析有限元程序Ls-dyan,分别采用壳单元和实体单元2种建模方式对爆炸荷载作用下钢板的动力响应进行数值模拟研究.对比钢板的应力分布云图、中线上各点最大位移曲线图,发现2种方法计算结果与试验值大致吻合,采用壳单元建模在保证计算结果准确性的前提下可以大大提高计算效率.如何正确地选择单元进行分析是数值模拟很重要的一个环节,通过对壳单元和实体单元计算结果的初步对比,为舰船舱室数值模拟研究如何选取单元提供参考.     

压力波动对喷嘴内流场及喷油规律影响的仿真研究

采用模糊PID控制策略模拟共轨管内的燃油压力作为边界条件,对不同尺寸喷嘴进行CFD流场计算,研究高压共轨压力波动对喷嘴内部流场及喷油规律的影响,结果可对各孔流量的均匀性和下游的喷雾特性研究提供更真实的边界条件,供喷嘴结构参数的优化设计参考。     

无人机技术在航标领域应用展望

无人机技术的应用可以对海上航标巡检、损害评估、应急反应、节能减排提供有效的解决方案。利用无人机获取的中、高分辨率遥感影像可以对辖区水域航标状况、通航环境以及海洋环境变化情况提供定量和直观的判断依据,与现有航标管理手段相结合,可以构成海上巡检、陆地遥测遥控、空中监测的立体航标维护保障体系,同时满足应对海上突发事件的需求。     

贝叶斯假设方法在水声成像声呐阵控制中的应用

在对水中目标轮廓进行水声成像时,可设计声呐阵中各声呐单体对目标分割识别,利用贝叶斯假设方法,解决多声呐单体识别结果的目标最终识别问题,实现声呐阵的有效控制。     

船舶双层底局部通风有害气体分布数值模拟研究

采用流体分析软件Fluent,对典型船舶密闭舱室双层底进行二氧化碳气体保护焊接作业时的局部通风风流流场、有害气体CO2及CO浓度场分布进行数值模拟分析,确定有害气体扩散的数学模型。通过设置组分源项的方法利用组分输运方程得出在一定通风量的情况下CO2及CO气体的浓度分布规律,并与实测数据作对比,结果基本一致,由此可根据不同通风条件下确定焊接作业危险区域,为防止CO2集聚和CO中毒采取有效措施提供理论依据。     

Seasonal and interannual variation of physical and biological processes during 1994–2001 in the Sea of Japan/East Sea: A three-dimensional physical–biogeochemical modeling study

A Pacific basin-wide physical–biogeochemical model has been used to investigate the seasonal and interannual variation of physical and biological fields with analyses focusing on the Sea of Japan/East Sea (JES). The physical model is based on the Regional Ocean Model System (ROMS), and the biogeochemical model is based on the Carbon, Si(OH)₄, Nitrogen Ecosystem (CoSiNE) model. The coupled ROMS–CoSiNE model is forced with the daily air–sea fluxes derived from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) and the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) reanalysis for the period of 1994 to 2001, and the model results are used to evaluate climate impact on nutrient transport in Mixed Layer Depth (MLD) and phytoplankton spring bloom dynamics in the JES.The model reproduces several key features of sea surface temperature (SST) and surface currents, which are consistent with the previous modeling and observational results in the JES. The calculated volume transports through the three major straits show that the Korea Strait (KS) dominates the inflow to the JES with 2.46 Sv annually, and the Tsugaru Strait (TS) and the Soya Strait (SS) are major outflows with 1.85 Sv and 0.64 Sv, respectively. Domain-averaged phytoplankton biomass in the JES reaches its spring peak 1.8 mmol N m^− 3 in May and shows a relatively weak autumn increase in November. Strong summer stratification and intense consumption of nitrate by phytoplankton during the spring result in very low nitrate concentration at the upper layer, which limits phytoplankton growth in the JES during the summer. On the other hand, the higher grazer abundance likely contributes to the strong suppression of phytoplankton biomass after the spring bloom in the JES. The model results show strong interannual variability of SST, nutrients, and phytoplankton biomass with sudden changes in 1998, which correspond to large-scale changes of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). Regional comparisons of interannual variations in springtime were made for the southern and northern JES. Variations of nutrients and phytoplankton biomass related to the PDO warm/cold phase changes were detected in both the southern and northern JES, and there were regional differences with respect to the mechanisms and timing. During the warm PDO, the nutrients integrated in the MLD increased in the south and decreased in the north in winter. Conversely, during the cold PDO, the nutrients integrated in the MLD decreased in the south and increased in the north. Wind divergence/convergence likely drives the differences in the southern and northern regions when northerly and northwesterly monsoon dominates in winter in the JES. Subjected to the nutrient change, the growth of phytoplankton biomass appears to be limited neither by nutrient nor by light consistently both in the southern and northern regions. Namely, the JES is at the transition zone of the lower trophic-level ecosystem between light-limited and nutrient-limited zones.     

广西右江沿岸粘土三轴渗流剪切强度试验研究

水位骤降是影响边坡失稳的重要因素之一。渗透性较差的粘性土质边坡在水位骤降时坡体内形成的渗流力要远大于渗透性较好的边坡坡内产生的渗流力,所以更容易发生边坡变形、失稳。文章通过室内三轴试验,研究广西右江沿岸饱和粘土渗流特性和渗流作用下的抗剪强度变化规律。根据试验结果,得出了在不同围压状态下,该地区饱和粘土比降—渗流速度、渗透压力—粘聚力、渗透压力—内摩擦角间的关系及变化规律,同时对其关系曲线进行了拟合,得到了相应的拟合函数。     

三角模糊数与数据包络分析在舰艇编队防潜队形选择中的应用

针对舰艇编队防潜队形选择的主观性问题,探讨了三角模糊数与数据包络分析(DEA)理论在舰艇编队防潜队形选择中的应用.采用三角模糊综合评价模型对典型方案队形进行评价优选,同时将DEA分析理论应用于编队队形的优选问题研究,构建了合适的DEA模型,分析了典型方案队形的相对有效性.通过求解,得出了最佳防潜队形--菱形队形.     

共振弦检测技术在舰船轴系状态监测中的应用探讨

文章对应用共振弦检测技术进行舰船轴系状态的监测进行了初步研究,探讨了共振弦力敏传感器用于轴系状态检测的方法。该技术采用同步旋转非接触方式,将轴体产生的机械性微扭变量转换成相应电气参数频率的变化量,解决了传统的应变片检测因电源波动、环境条件恶劣以及信号传递损失等引起的测量误差和对轴系直径的限制,使轴系状态综合监测成为可能。