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炼厂自备码头作为货主码头的一种形式,不同于其他社会第三方企业码头,其港口吞吐量的发展变化很大程度上取决于炼厂的原油加工能力以及炼厂实际原油加工量的发展变化,集中反映炼厂的运营状态,同时也影响着炼厂的原油加工量。因此,对炼厂自备码头港口吞吐量的预测不能仅仅考虑吞吐量自身变量的变化,应当同时将炼厂原油加工量和港口吞吐量这两个变量纳入到一个系统模型中。本文通过实例比较GM(1,1)模型和MGM(1,n)模型对某北方临海炼厂自备码头港口吞吐量的预测结果,从而揭示炼厂自备码头吞吐量的未来发展趋势以及炼厂原油加工量和港口吞吐量之间的发展变化关系。 相似文献
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一、我国港口吞吐量统计中存在的主要问题
目前,我国港口吞吐量统计体制和统计方法中存在以下主要问题:(1)货主码头、个体承包码头的港口吞吐量数据难于收集. 相似文献
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<正>一、我国主要集装箱码头及吞吐量发展截至2009年底,我国从事集装箱作业的码头超过90个,分布在全国45个港口,各港口集装箱码头地理位置、水文条件、货运腹地、航线开辟等情况各异,每个码头完成的集装箱吞吐量也差异 相似文献
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区域总体供求状况和码头竞争力地位的变化是导致码头费率变化和吞吐量变化的主要决定性因素。文章基于码头动态竞争态势的变化,综合行业规律和特征,建立了码头费率预测和吞吐量预测的动态模型。 相似文献
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<正>经过近30多年的发展,我国集装箱运输事业已取得了辉煌的成绩。我国集装箱吞吐量迅速发展的同时,部分港口码头能力严重不足的矛盾十分突出。实际完成的吞吐量大于码头的通过能力,集装箱码头处于超负荷运行状态。摆在港口面前的重要问题是在现有的码头规模下,如何尽可能的提高码头作业效率,充分挖掘码头泊位通过能力的潜力,以满足集装箱吞吐量增长的需求。通过分 相似文献
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集装箱及码头收费对集装箱吞吐量的影响 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
基于对国内集装箱港口收费管理情况和当前集装箱码头收费项目和口岸收费情况的介绍,着重分析集装箱码头收费对集装箱吞吐量的影响程度,得出集装箱码头收费对集装箱吞吐量有影响,但其影响不是唯一的、决定性的这一结论. 相似文献
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针对秦皇岛港块煤筛分装箱业务实际情况,研究了在煤二期原有卸三场地工艺条件下建设煤炭在线筛份装箱系统的工艺方案,分析了该建设项目对煤二期原有吞吐量以及全集团吞吐量的影响。实践表明,该方案有效利用了原场地及设备,效率高,占地少,对原有系统的影响可以忽略不计。 相似文献
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With the rapid growth of seaborne commodity trades, port development and management has become a challenging issue to the government, enterprise and academia. To alleviate pressures on spatial demand and the environment, sustainable development and scientific management of a port is of crucial importance for its investment, construction and operation. In this article, a research path based on throughput estimation is proposed. The container port of Tianjin could expect to face immense, increasing pressure in the future several years. To meet future increasing capacity requirement, constructing new waterway and berths in a bigger contiguous area or new locations becomes a crucial strategy. Moreover, the strategy of accommodating peak seasonal traffic means existing container terminals have to attain higher output by redesigning their high-precision schedule, reconfiguring terminal topology, improving worker efficiency and employing more modern container-handling facilities. 相似文献
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集装箱码头是内外贸集装箱货物的集疏运中心,码头的吞吐能力受堆场容量和作业效率的影响。针对集装箱码头堆场的翻箱倒箱问题,基于整个立体库场内每层堆场仅堆放一层重箱的理念,通过AI设计、情景假设、公式推算和数据分析的方法,设计出一项自动化立体堆场方案,并介绍各核心设备和功能区以及作业流程。结果表明,本方案可实现真正意义上“零翻箱”,同时能减少机械设备的配置、使用成本和碳排放量,有利于提升码头作业效率、吞吐能力和经济效益,有助于增强码头和港口企业竞争力。 相似文献
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基于时间序列BP神经网络的集装箱吞吐量动态预测 总被引:7,自引:0,他引:7
集装箱吞吐量预测是港口发展规划制定的依据。在MATLAB环境下,把时间序列BP神经网络应用于港口集装箱吞吐量的预测,采用逐步递归的方法进行,同时注意尽量减少训练样本的浪费(只用1个检验样本)和充分挖掘BP神经网络适合短期预测的潜力。无论是从拟合情况,还是预测值的检验和港口发展规划的实际情况来看,都有着很高的精度.可以作为集装箱吞吐量预测的一种行之有效的方法。 相似文献
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分析了国内外集装箱码头的集装箱标准箱折算系数的发展变化,该数值对集装箱码头装卸设备的配置要求和通过能力的计算结果有显著影响. 相似文献
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Hugh S. Turner 《Maritime Policy and Management》2013,40(3):283-301
The competitive characteristics of the North American seaport industry have, in theory, been causally linked to excess investment and low terminal throughput productivity. This paper empirically examines the link between seaport authority container terminal leasing policy and throughput productivity. Recent advances in inventory theory applied to service industries suggest the pooling of demand uncertainty can yield lower costs without sacrificing customer service. This concept is applied to a container seaport using simulation. The effort compares key output measures from a realistic base case model of the seaport to those generated by an alternative terminal leasing policy. It is shown that the pooling of demand in a common-user seaport reduces total vessel time in port by 17.1% with no reduction in TEU throughput. Throughput productivity is improved for the highest capacity terminals, while lower capacity terminals are made available for additional users or alternative uses. 相似文献
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Hugh S. Turner 《Maritime Policy and Management》2000,27(3):283-301
The competitive characteristics of the North American seaport industry have, in theory, been causally linked to excess investment and low terminal throughput productivity. This paper empirically examines the link between seaport authority container terminal leasing policy and throughput productivity. Recent advances in inventory theory applied to service industries suggest the pooling of demand uncertainty can yield lower costs without sacrificing customer service. This concept is applied to a container seaport using simulation. The effort compares key output measures from a realistic base case model of the seaport to those generated by an alternative terminal leasing policy. It is shown that the pooling of demand in a common-user seaport reduces total vessel time in port by 17.1% with no reduction in TEU throughput. Throughput productivity is improved for the highest capacity terminals, while lower capacity terminals are made available for additional users or alternative uses. 相似文献