秦皇岛港航道通过能力仿真研究

采用工程仿真软件SIMIO分别对秦皇岛港10万吨级航道及规划的20万吨级航道的通过能力进行模拟。首先用2014年秦皇岛港泊位和航道设施及到港船舶数据对模型进行验证,得到的年到港船舶数及航道货运量与实际统计结果基本相符;结合仿真结果,对两航道的货运量、船舶平均待泊时间AWT以及港口服务水平随船舶平均到港时间间隔的变化趋势进行分析;讨论了航道及泊位利用率随港口服务水平的变化;针对10万吨级航道,对比了仿真与航道利用率法的年通过能力结果,并指出确定航道通过能力时考虑港口服务水平及港内作业各环节相互关联性的必要性。     

The geographical foundations of tanker (dirty) shipping

A simulation model of individual ship movements demonstrates that distance-weighted regional imbalances of tonnage supply and demand are powerful estimators of tanker rates that are converted to approximate time charter equivalents. Statistical fit is acceptable to good when cargo cycles (ballast–load–cargo–discharge) are the units of observation, either individually or aggregated by region. Up to 30–40% higher average time charter equivalent is possible in an outstanding year, such as in 2004, when consistent use is made of this feature.     

The geographical foundations of tanker (dirty) shipping

A simulation model of individual ship movements demonstrates that distance-weighted regional imbalances of tonnage supply and demand are powerful estimators of tanker rates that are converted to approximate time charter equivalents. Statistical fit is acceptable to good when cargo cycles (ballast-load-cargo-discharge) are the units of observation, either individually or aggregated by region. Up to 30-40% higher average time charter equivalent is possible in an outstanding year, such as in 2004, when consistent use is made of this feature.     

徒骇河富国作业区至东风作业区千吨级航道设计研究

依据相关规范,结合徒骇河河道地形、地质、水流和货运组成特点,在选定船型的基础上,确定了乘潮水位和航道的水深、底高程、航宽等参数。对于航道变向问题,长弯曲段采用内河弯道曲率半径进行设计,急弯段采用海域转弯半径进行设计。最后采取设置候潮区的方法,解决船舶候潮和上、下船舶错航时待航问题,候潮区采用双浮筒系泊方式设计。     

液化天然气B型独立液货舱结构低周疲劳研究

基于某B型独立液货舱为研究对象,开展液化天然气(LNG)船码头装卸货工况下的结构应力和温度场热应力分析,重点针对液货舱水平强框处连接节点计算其因装卸货受力和温度变化所引起的疲劳累积损伤。研究结果表明,部分研究疲劳节点由装卸货产生的低周疲劳损伤在整个结构疲劳累积损伤中的占比较大,对结构疲劳损伤起主导作用,需要在液货舱疲劳强度分析中予以重点关注。因此,对此类B型独立液货舱进行结构设计必须考虑低周疲劳的影响。     

基于Flexsim的深圳港铜鼓航道通过能力仿真研究

为研究深圳港铜鼓航道通过能力,提高航道服务水平,通过分析港航系统作业流程,基于Flexsim仿真平台,构建了深圳港铜鼓航道仿真模型。基于不同水平年分航段、分吨级、分货类的通航船舶艘次预测结果,通过仿真试验,对深圳港铜鼓航道二期工程实施前后航道的通过能力和服务水平进行分析。结果表明深圳港铜鼓航道二期工程可有效提升航道通过能力、缩短船舶等待航道时间、提高航道服务水平。研究结果可为航道建设方案提供重要的决策依据。     

Research on probability distribution of port cargo throughput

In order to more accurately examine developing trends in gross cargo throughput, we have modeled the probability distribution of cargo throughput. Gross cargo throughput is determined by the time spent by cargo ships in the port and the operating efficiency of handling equipment. Gross cargo throughput is the sum of all compound variables determining each aspect of cargo throughput for every cargo ship arriving at the port. Probability distribution was determined using the Wald equation. The results show that the variability of gross cargo throughput primarily depends on the different times required by different cargo ships arriving at the port. This model overcomes the shortcoming of previous models： inability to accurately determine the probability of a specific value of future gross cargo throughput. Our proposed model of cargo throughput depends on the relationship between time required by a cargo ship arriving at the port and the operational capacity of handling equipment at the port. At the same time, key factors affecting gross cargo throughput are analyzed. In order to test the efficiency of the model, the cargo volume of a port in Shandong Province was used as an example. In the case study the actual results matched our theoretical analysis.     

Impact of container chassis management practices in the United States on terminal operational efficiency: An operations and mitigation policy analysis

Existing policies designed to mitigate the environmental and social impacts of truck queuing at maritime terminals often focus on congestion problems outside of the terminal gate, targeting a reduction in the waiting and turn time of trucks as the measure of success. This paper evaluates the impact that intra-terminal truck and equipment movements have on the terminal’s overall performance and the implications that these movements have on the effectiveness of current mitigation policies. Through a simulation of terminal processes occurring at Southern California ports it is shown that measures driving reductions in truck turn times impose greater operational loads on terminal equipment, essentially transferring savings in truck turn time rather than eliminating it in terms of the overall system. Consequently, the paper finds that total truck and cargo handling equipment movement and operational time constitutes a more accurate measure of the effectiveness of policies seeking to mitigate the impacts of truck operations at marine terminals.     

船舶液压起重机延迟反馈吊重消摆控制

由于操纵和工作环境的变化,起重机的吊重在工作过程中会产生摆动,这种摆动降低了起重机的工作效率和安全性能。文章以集美大学轮机工程实验中心船舶液压起重机为研究对象,采用机电液仿真建模技术及拉格朗日方程,在MATLAB Simulink仿真软件平台上,建立起重机操作液压系统及吊重摆动模型,采用与试验数据对比的方法对所建立的模型进行验证。设计基于吊重摆动位置延迟反馈的控制器,通过将延迟反馈信号叠加到操作信号上的方法实现吊重的消摆控制。结果表明,在各种操作情况下,延迟反馈控制器均能很好地抑制吊重的摆动。     

Methodology for ro-ro ship and fleet sizing with application to short sea shipping

A novel methodology is developed for determining the characteristics of a cargo roll-on/roll-off (ro-ro) ship and the fleet size required for a given short sea shipping route. The ship and required fleet size to satisfy the transportation demand (for each pair of speed and freight rate) are determined using a database of existing cargo ro-ro ships to obtain the main technical characteristics of the most suitable ship. The time charter, voyage costs and revenue are then calculated considering the technical characteristics of each ship. Fuel costs are corrected for the actual ship speed and loading condition. A number of restrictions in the transportation problem are considered leading to the exclusion of unfeasible solutions. The maximum profit over the period of a year is identified among the feasible pairs of speed and freight rate. This general methodology is applied in a case study that considers the route between Leixões (Portugal) and Rotterdam (Netherlands). The study allows the identification of the most suitable ship and fleet sizes for different market penetration levels and quantifies the impact on shipping company profit of changes in parameters such as fuel costs, time charter costs, emission control area, installed propulsion power and stacking factor.     

Are AIS-based trade volume estimates reliable? The case of crude oil exports

Most global trade statistics in the public domain refer to official customs data, which are not generally available on a micro (individual cargo) level. With the increasing availability and completeness of ship positioning data from the global Automated Identification System (AIS), it is possible to derive more timely and detailed trade statistics for homogeneous commodity groups. The objective of this article is twofold: (1) to compare the accuracy of AIS-derived trade statistics to official customs data in the crude oil market and (2) to add a breakdown of trade by vessel size over time. We find that while AIS-derived data for seaborne crude exports show good alignment with official export numbers in aggregate, there are substantial temporal and geographical differences across countries and time due to the use of pipelines and transshipment in parts of the supply chain. We highlight the challenges in properly structuring and aggregating micro-level cargo data. Our findings are important for the proper derivation of shipping demand from trade data.     

LNG船液货装卸系统分析软件平台研究

提出了一种基于VC＋＋平台和数据库技术的LNG船液货装卸系统设计及分析的软件平台系统,详细介绍了其内容、结构和实现方法。该系统配有与管路阻力计算相关的管道、阀件、液货舱、附件等的数据库,能够按目标船的装卸要求,直接组态设计液货装卸系统管网系统。设计人员可以在每一个模型设计完成后直接进行优化并确定液货泵的排量、压头、液货管路的管径、长度等设计信息,仿真计算装卸过程中各时间段上的的流量、节点压力、剩余舱内液体容积等各项参数。不仅简化了液货装卸系统的设计过程和计算校核的时间,而且更加方便灵活。     

基于专家系统的船舶配载智能控制策略

利用专家系统控制策略的思想,提出船舶装卸载分轮次序的控制原则、约束条件及实现原理。通过控制船舶的浮态提高船舶压载水的速率及排放能力,保证货物装载过程中压载水与货物操作相适应。利用专家系统的反向推理和正向推理相结合多级控制的控制策略,确定了船舶配载方案及船舶装卸载分轮次序,并提供船舶货物装卸载操作每一步的货物装舱顺序、时间及船舶浮态等性能指标,并通过实船计算验证系统的准确性和可操作性。本方法能迅速、准确地确定船舶配载方案及操作步骤,提高船舶的配载效率,避免船舶配载中的盲目性。     

FPSO外输软管安装方法分析

基于企鹅浮式生产储卸油装置(Floating Production Storage and Offloading, FPSO)项目,对比不同安装方法的优缺点,采用盘卷安装法完成外输软管安装。采用盘卷安装法进行FPSO外输软管安装在国内鲜有实例,详细描述该方法的施工顺序和要点,可为其他类似项目的外输软管安装提供参考。     

Worldscale: what does it actually measure?

Worldscale is the dominant system for setting freight rates in ocean-tanker shipping. Its structure is hampered by administrative rigidity which easily disguises the effects of rate changes and complicates the comparison of rates between vessel size segments. The angle is the charterer's, and the shipowner is left to his/her own devices. The sparseness of spot rates between ports (not regions) and the individuality of flat rates due to varying port charges, make functional generalizations between Worldscale (WS) and time charter equivalents (TCE) hazardous. The publishing of rate parameters for all ship segments and possibly port charges for each port would substantially upgrade the value of the system.     

普通杂货船安全状况研究

为揭示普通杂货船安全事故的主要原因及规律,对近年来国际海事组织关于普通杂货船安全问题的提案进行了比较研究,同时也对欧盟海事局、国内相关的普通杂货船事故统计结果进行了分析比较。研究发现目前普通杂货船全损事故数占各类船舶全损事故总数的40%左右;1992年2月1日之前建造的多数普通杂货船不满足破损稳性要求;沉没、碰撞、火灾及搁浅是导致普通杂货船事故的主要原因;装卸超长、超重货物与普通杂货船沉没具有关联性。根据揭示的普通杂货船事故发生的主要原因和规律,针对海事主管机构、船级社和船公司提出了预防普通杂货船事故发生的管理措施。     

30000方LNG船液货舱传热分析

针对国内第一艘在建中小型TYPE C型LNG船,提出了其货舱温度场的分析模型。基于工程传热学的原理,应用VBA计算程序,计算得到了各关键点的温度分布与热流密度,并与液货罐供应商TGE集团的报告对比。结果表明：若参数值相同,则计算值与报告值完全吻合。这说明,计算模型正确。这能够为TYPE C型液货舱的传热分析尤其是控制LNG蒸发率提供有力的指导。     

三用工作船挡货栏杆结构设计与分析

诸多功能集于一身的三用工作船(Anchor Handing Tug Supply Vessel, 以下简称AHTS)在有限的甲板空间内既要保证载货面积,又要预留足够的人员通行和设备空间。挡货栏杆作为甲板上主要的结构件,其设计一直是个难点。本文以某AHTS为例,就挡货栏杆的立柱、顶梁、拦挡构件和设备基座等主要组成部分及其结构特性进行概述,并给出立柱受货物侧向压力和受绑扎件集中力的强度校核方案,为挡货栏杆的设计提供参考和借鉴。     

Worldscale: what does it actually measure?

Worldscale is the dominant system for setting freight rates in ocean-tanker shipping. Its structure is hampered by administrative rigidity which easily disguises the effects of rate changes and complicates the comparison of rates between vessel size segments. The angle is the charterer's, and the shipowner is left to his/her own devices. The sparseness of spot rates between ports (not regions) and the individuality of flat rates due to varying port charges, make functional generalizations between Worldscale (WS) and time charter equivalents (TCE) hazardous. The publishing of rate parameters for all ship segments and possibly port charges for each port would substantially upgrade the value of the system.     

Highly disaggregrated models of seaborne trade. An empirical model for bilateral dry-cargo trade flows in the World economy

The aim of this paper is to estimate an empirical model of bilateral dry-cargo seaborne import flows in the international economy. Seaborne trade elasticities are estimated for the first time, utilizing the Constant Ratio of Elasticities of Substitution Homogeneous/Homothetic (CRESH) function, a function very rarely used in the past. Highly disaggregated data on volumes of seaborne trade, published by the UN, distinguish between five types of cargo according to the type of ship used for its transportation, and 30 trading regions according to the major sea-lancs used by ships internationally. Multistage budgeting is employed to make the problem of estimation tractable. An empirical model for dry-bulk cargo is estimated based on the CRESH function. Estimation of bilateral export price elasticities enables comparison of the degree of competition in each import market over export regions, and amongst import markets themselves. Risk-averse ship owners may utilize such a comparison to operate in world shiplanes with low degree of competition.