航运市场周期理论与当今干散货航运市场变化

2008年,国际干散货航运市场遭遇前所未有的“跳水式”下跌。波罗的海航运交易所干散货运价指数（BDI）从2008年5月20日的11793点跌至2008年12月5日的663点,6．5个月内下降率达94％。许多航运界人士从2002年下半年开始的干散货航运市场持续上升的“好梦”中惊醒。虽然在这期间市场也有过几次波动,但一直到2008年下半年,运价一直在高水平基础上呈持续上升趋势,其上升幅度之大、持续时间之长几乎是史无前例酌．     

海水腐蚀、海生物污损与船舶营运经济性

文章介绍了船舶由于海水腐蚀和海生物污损,使船体表面粗糙度增加及降低船舶营运的经济性,提出了降低船体表面粗糙度、提高营运经济性的防蚀措施。     

关于更改国际航行船舶船龄问题的探讨

文中旨在分析国际航行船舶船龄更改的背景、法律、登记制度的弊端,结合实际存在的问题,对船龄更改方法进行了详细的阐述,提出了我国海事机构应采取的有效对策。     

The Nigerian shipping industry and indigenous shipping companies

The shipping industry in Nigeria since the early 1990s has been experiencing a continuous disastrous downturn. Nigerian shipping companies' participation in international shipping has continued to be very limited. Their presence and impact is hardly felt in the world's shipping industry. Both the national carriers (that is shipping companies with national carrier status) and other indigenous private shipping companies have vessel as well as management problems. These problems have led to the poor performance of the Nigerian shipping industry for over a decade now. The carriers in the industry are not attaining for the country the gains that are supposed to emanate from shipping. This paper points out the importance of shipping to a nation, identifies the problems the country's shipping companies are facing and proffers solutions that include merging of the companies to have strong financial standing and a competitive edge.     

East European shipping and economic change: a conceptual model

This paper discusses and assesses the complex process of change that has occurred in East Europe over thc last five years, and attempts to relate these changes to the shipping sector. Conventional mathematical methods are discussed as inappropriate in analysing economic, social and political developments and the technique of conceptual modelling is used, borrowed from other disciplines including those of environmental appraisal and computer sciences. The main linkages are discussed with particular reference to the Polish shipping sector, with specific analysis of the legal, managerial, spatial, economic, political, social and organizational contexts. The dominant themes of change are drawn out in an attempt to predict the impact on the Polish shipping industry in general and the three main State companies-Polish Ocean Lines (Liner Shipping); Polish Steamship Company (Bulk/Tramp) and Polish Baltic Ferries- that dominate the market.     

Positional change in the Polish liner shipping market: a framework approach

This paper examines the changing position of Polish Ocean Lines (POL) container shipping activities in the North Atlantic, in the light of social, political and economic changes occurring in Poland. An analysis is made of alternative ways of assessing company position—ranging from the qualitative to the quantitative—and that of a qualitative framework approach is selected. Application of this framework using POL as a case study provides an indication of positional change between 1988 and 1993 reflecting the period of major change in Eastern Europe.     

近年我国煤炭贸易形势变化对航运市场的影响

为推动我国航运市场发展,分析全球金融危机后的我国煤炭市场情况,以及煤炭贸易形势发生重大变化的主要原因,并展望我国煤炭贸易形势变化对未来航运市场的影响：使全球煤炭平均海运运距增加,成为支撑未来国际煤炭价格的重要因素之一。     

中日航线近期运价飙升为那般?

进入8、9月以来,中日航线市场出现了货量节节上升、班轮舱位饱满的旺盛景象.在货量快速增长的强劲推力下,航线运价从8月22日起,由300-350USD/TEU起步,路攀升至600USD//TEU;之后又从9月6日开始,在600USD/TEU的"平台"上,纵身一跃,飙升到了翻了一番的价位.紧接着,由八家船公司协商达成共识,从9月23日开始执行1000USD/TEU的运价.历经此三波,中日航线运价很快创下了历史最高点,拉出了一条急剧上扬的阳线.     

The role of professional associations in shipping

This article is in three parts. The first covers the historical development of qualifying associations. The second covers the particular role of maritime institutions that include The Royal Institution of Naval Architects, The Institute of Marine Engineering Science and Technology and The Nautical Institute. The third and final section considers the future for maritime professional associations in the context of international shipping.     

美国航运系统全景透视

美国航运系统全称为MarineTrans-portationSystem,简称MTS。是为服务于水上客货运输和军事运输,由航道、港口和相关设施组成的一个网络,是美国运输系统的一个重要组成部分。它是美国水路与陆路运输的联接和世界联系的桥梁。涵盖水路运输、水陆联运等与水路相关的客货运输方式,涉及到航道、港口和水陆联运码头等航运设施。覆盖了美国的25000英里航道;192个地点的238个闸门;五大湖;圣罗伦斯海道;超过3700个的航运设施;无数的娱乐码头;超过174000英里的连接大陆48个州以及加拿大和墨西哥的铁路;超过45000英里的高速公路,以及超过115000英里…     

中国海运需求与国际航运市场的结构性变化

一、国际航运业的结构性变化 我们先来看国际航运市场到底发生了什么样的结构性变化.     

The performance effect of innovation in shipping companies

The aim of this study is to investigate how innovation contributes to company performance in Norwegian shipping and to extend our knowledge concerning what organizational and inter-organizational factors influence innovation in shipping firms. The study is based on a survey of 46 Norwegian shipping companies. We find that innovation contributes to firm performance. We also find that a conscious strategy, strategy involvement, external relationships, especially market relationships, and productivity slack have a significant positive effect on the degree of innovation. The results are dependent upon the companies' degree of differentiation and the type of innovation.     

航运低谷中的制胜之策

由美国次贷危机引起的全球金融危机,对世界航运市场造成了重创.运价狂跌、货量剧减、人气骤降是这一时期的显著特点.而从航运业哀鸿遍野的现状来看,此次危机持续时间将至少在1～2年间.     

The utility analysis of risk attitudes in shipping

Many methodologies have been developed in order to optimize business decision making. By definition, optimization is only possible when an objective, or set of objectives, has been specified. However, the presence of risk obscures the potential payoffs of a particular decision. How different decision makers react to this phenomenon is reflected in the different objectives which they adopt. One corollary of this diversity of objectives is that any generally applicable optimization method must explicitly take into account the influence of risk attitude on decision choice. Because of the magnitude of the risks involved, virtually nowhere is this requirement more relevant than in relation to shipping decisions. This paper presents and justifies a method for assessing and measuring attitudes towards market risk. The method is applied to a sample of shipowners in Britain, Norway, Hong Kong and Greece and the risk profiles that are developed have some surprising, and important, implications for decision making in shipping.     

The perception and image of shipping

The image of the shipping industry plays a vital role in developing maritime transport as a major future, sustainable transport alternative. In particular, it is crucial to understand the image the shipping industry has among young people and the anatomy of the concept in order to be able to effectively promote careers in shipping, to cultivate shipping as an attractive labour market and to develop attractive educational programmes. The focus of this paper is the image of the shipping industry. This study reports on the findings of a large-scale survey of the image of shipping- and image-related concepts among upper secondary school pupils in Sweden, Norway and Greece. We define and analyse empirically by means of multivariate statistical analysis the anatomy of the image concept. We identify various image dimensions, estimate how young people rate the shipping industry along these dimensions and estimate their relative importance to young people who are planning their future careers. The results from this study can be used as a base for describing and explaining the images that young people have of the shipping industry. Such knowledge is fundamental for deriving and developing constructive strategies to promote careers in shipping, to adapt shipping to the expectations of young people and to develop creative and relevant educational programmes. Finally, understanding the image of shipping among young people is important not only for the shipping industry, but for other stakeholders as well, such as ship-owners associations, trade associations, labour unions, transport authorities and administrations and policy makers at the national and supra-national level.     

The impact of low sulphur fuel requirements in shipping on the competitiveness of roro shipping in Northern Europe

Annex VI of the MARPOL Convention aims for a reduction in sulphur oxide emissions from ships. The limits applicable at sea in Emission Control Areas (ECAs) were reduced from 1.5% to 1% in 2010 and are planned to be further reduced to 0.1%, effective from 1 January 2015. This paper analyses the impact of the International Maritime Organization’s Tier II/III standards introduced by Annex VI amendments adopted in October 2008 on costs and prices of roro (roll on/roll off) traffic in the ECAs in North Europe and on the competitiveness of roro shipping in the ECAs compared to trucking. We demonstrate that the new Annex VI agreement may be quite costly for the participants in the shipping industry and will result in higher freight rates. Based on a detailed price analysis on modal competition between the roro/truck option and the ‘truck only’ option on thirty origin–destination routes linked to the ECAs, we conclude that the use of low sulphur fuel is expected to increase the transport prices particularly on the origin–destination relations with a medium or long short sea section. The paper also presents the results of a survey among leading short sea operators in the ECAs in view of providing more insight on expected modal shifts and price elasticity in the short sea market.     

原油运输:运价低于上月

2010年12月布伦特原油现货价格振荡上行,国际原油运输市场因节假日成交量减少,总体运价低于上月。24日波罗的海原油综合运价指数报1043点,较月初上涨16.41%。     

航运市场整顿逼向死角

2002年的航运市场整顿工作急迫而艰巨,自2000年至今,已是第三个年头了,其结果如何?现在看来,虽然市场整顿工作已取得了阶段性的成果,但有些死角总是难以一步到位,从而成为痼疾,大有向航运市场整顿公开叫板之势.这是前不久在青岛召开的2002年全国水运行业管理工作座谈会上一些与会者的感触.