Evaluation of safety and environmental risk at individual ship and company level

Whereas current risk profiling methods used in the maritime sector largely rely on detention risk, we extend them by considering various risk dimensions and by evaluating a wide range of risk factors including pollution and damage costs. Risk factors include ship particulars such as vessel type and the nature of companies and owners, as well as historical information on past accidents, inspections, and changes of particulars. We present methods to summarize and visualize the various risk dimensions paying particular attention to the identification of potentially risky companies. The results are obtained by combining unique data sets with information on ship arrivals, inspections, and accidents covering 2006-2010.     

Safety in the road environment: a driver behavioural response perspective

The existing literature on road safety suggests that a driver's perception of safety is an important influence on their driving behaviour. A challenging research question is how to measure the perception of safety given the complex interactions among drivers, vehicles and the road setting. In this paper, we investigate a sample of driver evaluations of the perception of safety associated with a set of typical road environments. A roundabout was selected as the context for the empirical study. Data was obtained by a computerised survey using the video-captured road and traffic situations. A controlled experiment elicited driver responses when faced with a mixture of attributes that describe the roundabout environment. An ordered probit model identified the contribution of each attribute to the overall determination of the perception of safety. An indicator of perceived safety was developed for a number of typical road and traffic situations and for different driver segments.     

Demandeur pays: The EU and funding improvements in South Asian ship recycling practices

Questionable practices for dismantling end-of-life ships or ‘ship recycling’ on South Asian countries’ shores have elicited unease given their dominance of this unevenly regulated global industry. International efforts to establish enforceable regulations have met with limited success so far, and yet this limited success may be further eroded as different interests promote their own preferred arrangements—or ignore them altogether. This paper focuses on narrowing differences between the European Union and South Asian ship recycling nations over regulating this trade by sequentially detailing its economic rationales, environmental regimes and relevant sustainability principles. These tasks performed, I deductively build a case for an aid-based, ‘demandeur pays’ approach to meaningfully address this impasse after considering other options to fund improved ship recycling practices in South Asia.     

公路桥梁工程施工安全重大风险源的评估与控制

以灌河大桥施工为例,从风险安全控制出发,通过定性定量分析,确定了公路桥梁施工重大风险源的风险等级,在风险预测和相应的监测手段的基础上,提出相应的风险控制措施,使公路桥梁施工中的风险得到有效的控制,保证了公路桥梁施工的安全和工程质量。     

Transport and environment interactions: the italian framework

With road traffic in Europe forecast to increase, strategies are needed to keep transportation sector growth within the bounds imposed by a sustainable development. Research is contributing through a large number of projects dealing with transport–environment interactions. This paper reviews international research activities in this field, focusing on technological innovations, air and noise pollution prediction models, and existing tools for socioeconomic evaluation of traffic impacts on the environment. In particular, research projects of the Second Special Project on Transport (PFT2) of the Italian National Research Council (CNR) are outlined.     

Level crossing safety on East Japan Railway Company: Application of probabilistic risk assessment techniques

This paper describes the application of probabilistic risk assessment techniques to level crossing safety on JR East, the largest of the six private railroads in Japan. The risk of a level crossing accident was defined as the product of the accident rate and the expected consequences per accident. Rail traffic volume, road traffic volume, visibility of the crossing from the road, road gradient, width of the crossing and the type of safety devices at the crossing were shown to influence the accident rate and the collective risk. The mean accident rate at all crossings was 0.74 per million trains. The accident rate was 0.59 per million trains at crossings equipped with barriers, 1.25 at crossings equipped with warning bells and 0.76 at pedestrian crossings. Crossings equipped with obstacle detectors had a lower accident rate (0.12 per million trains) than crossings without detectors (0.43 per million trains). Crossings with visibility less than 20 m had a 50% higher mean accident rate than crossings with visibility greater than 20 m. As the number of tracks increased, the accident rate monotonically increased due to the increased accident exposure. Risk assessment techniques were applied to determine the efficacy of the various level crossing safety devices. In addition to upgrading the safety of crossings, the management techniques stressed the importance of education campaigns in warning the public about the dangers of illegal crossings.     

钱江盾构隧道设计速度标准及交通安全分析

通过对6车道钱江盾构隧道工程的通行能力与服务水平、隧道建设与运营养护成本、超大直径盾构机械制造可行性及施工可靠性等方面的综合分析,确定了钱江隧道80 km/h的设计速度标准;通过对内侧3.5 m车道宽度、不设紧急停车带和检修道等横断面设计带来的交通安全风险的分析,提出了相应的交通安全对策,得出了钱江过江通道采用15 m直径盾构隧道的可行性结论。     

Estimating the willingness to pay and value of risk reduction for car occupants in the road environment

In recent years there has been a re-focus on the valuation of a statistical life from the ex post or human capital method to an ex ante willingness to pay (WTP) approach. This is in part a recognition that we may have been undervaluing the cost of fatalities and injuries to society associated with crashes, but also a strong belief in the need to focus on establishing the amount, ex ante, that individuals are willing to pay to reduce the risk of exposure to circumstances that might lead to death or degree of injury on the road network. This study has developed a framework in which to identify the degree of preference heterogeneity in willingness to pay by individuals who are drivers or passengers in cars to avoid being killed or injured. A stated choice experiment approach is developed. The empirical setting is a choice of route for a particular trip that a sample of individuals periodically undertakes in Australia. The particular trip is described in enough detail to provide the respondent with a familiar market environment, providing all the relevant background information required for making a decision. Mixed logit models are estimated to obtain the marginal (dis)utilities associated with each influence on the choice amongst the attribute packages offered in the stated choice scenarios. These estimates are used to obtain the WTP distributions for fatality and injury avoidance, which are then aggregated to obtain estimates of the value of risk reduction (VRR), of which the fatality class is also known as the value of a statistical life (VSL).     

Identification of occupant posture using a Bayesian classification methodology to reduce the risk of injury in a collision

Recent studies have shown that smart restraint systems, which will recognize and then adapt to a specific collision and occupant combination, have a strong opportunity to significantly reduce occupant injuries during a traffic accident. As a step toward the development of these adaptive restraint systems, this study proposes a novel methodology for the classification of pre-crash occupant posture. Various occupant postures were simulated with a human model and the corresponding data was recorded using sensor models implemented in a mid-size car interior. The sensor data was then used to train two Bayesian classifiers which categorized an unknown occupant posture as one of nine predefined classes. The posture classifiers and a look-up table which contained optimized restraint laws for each class were combined to form catalog controllers for the restraint systems. The benefit of these restraint systems with catalog controllers vs. a restraint system optimized at a nominal posture was estimated by analyzing crash simulations with the occupant in 200 different postures. While the minimum error rate classifier showed the highest correct classification rate (90%), the Bayesian minimum risk classifier estimated the highest average injury reduction (21%). As expected, the highest injury reduction (up to 45%) was recorded for the posture classes closest to the windshield, whereas the lowest injury reduction was found for the classes closest to the nominal position. While the proposed restraint system with a catalog controller requires considerable “offline” computational effort, it is more versatile in terms of using complex human models and injury criteria and is much faster during the brief decision window available than recent “online” controllers proposed previously in literature.     

高烈度地震区隧道洞口段地震安全性分析及评价

目前,有关高烈度地震区山岭隧道地震安全性分析与评价的研究尚不多见。文章以国道318线黄草坪2#隧道为工程原型,在数值模拟计算和振动台物理模型试验结果分析的基础上,分别从洞口边坡、洞门建筑、洞口段衬砌及围岩三个部位对该隧道洞口段进行地震安全性分析,并结合各部位拟设抗、减震措施,对其进行了整体地震安全性评价。结果表明,该隧道洞口段在设计地震作用下是足够安全的。     

道路环境对交通安全的影响及对策

交通安全,涉及到人、车以及道路和环境等很多因素。近年来,因为各种原因使得有关单位以及人员将更多的将精力放在人、车、道路这几个因素上,对道路交通环境没有过多的考虑和研究。深入研究道路交通环境,有利于道路交通的安全,文章通过对其的研究和分析,得出有关道路交通环境对交通安全的影响和解决措施,对于防止道路交通安全事故具有重要意义。同时为人们的生命财产的安全提供保障、对构建社会主义和谐社会具有很大帮助。     

核安全级膨胀节的应用和设计制造特点

核电站核岛用膨胀节具有要求高、责任重大的特点.文中以压水堆核电站为例,对核岛管道中膨胀节的应用、设计、制造特点及产品设计、制造过程中应控制的关键点等进行了阐述,以供借鉴.     

轨道综合监控系统SIL评估中的风险管理

安全完整性等级SIL评估已经成为目前地铁安全系统工程的重要部分,也是国内外高度重视和着手研发的重要课题。风险管理是安全完整性评估中的重要环节,文中阐述了轨道交通综合监控系统中风险管理的要点和过程,包括风险分析范围、风险源识别、风险分析、风险评估、风险缓解与控制、风险跟踪与关闭,重点阐述了风险分析和风险评估的方法,为其他安全相关系统的开发和安全评估提供了参考。     

GIS测绘系统在油气管道安全运行中的应用

油气管道是连接油田、炼厂上下游的重要部分,油气的安全输送是保证油气产量的关键.油气管道运行时的内外部因素给管道安全带来隐患,在油气管道安全运行中引入GIS测绘系统,采集油气管道安全管理相关数据,并对数据进行分析和处理,为管道安全运行提供了决策依据,有效地消除了管道运行安全隐患.     

含缺陷压力管道安全评定方法研究的现状与发展

含缺陷压力管道安全评定的方法较多,主要有极限载荷控制的塑性失效准则、断裂力学J积分的评定方法、英国R6双判据准则评定方法、美国ASME规范评定方法、参数不确定性缺陷的安全评定方法等.文章对这些方法加以简要的概括和评述,并分析了有些方法之间的区别与联系,同时指出工程化、可靠性和智能化是当前含缺陷压力管道安全评定方法的发展趋向.     

国家标准《在用含缺陷压力容器安全评定》的特色和创新点综述

压力容器和压力管道的安全评定是工程性很强的综合技术。经过多年的不懈努力,以国内压力容器和压力管道的科技研究成果和工程实践经验为基础,编制了国家标准《在用含缺陷压力容器安全评定》(GB/T19624—2004)。文中简要综述了该标准的特点和创新点。该标准充分体现了技术先进性与工程实用性的有机结合,其推广应用具有重大的社会效益和经济效益。     

Experimental study of the impact of structural geometry and wind direction on vehicle emissions in urban environment

Vehicle emissions inside an urban environment are investigated using a wind-tunnel under neutral atmospheric conditions. The urban environment was formed as street canyon model. The diffusion flow field in the boundary layer inside the street canyon was examined at different locations of varying geometry of the street and wind directions in the downwind distance of the leeward side of the street canyon model. The results show that the vertical velocity increases as the aspect ratio increases and with wind direction increases from θ = 90°. The pollutant concentration increases as the aspect ratio decreases. The pollutant concentration decreases as the wind direction increases from θ = 90°. The pollutant concentration distributions indicate that the variability of the structure, geometry and wind direction inside the street canyon are important parameters for estimating air quality in the urban street canyon.     

在用工业管道减薄形式分类及其安全状况等级评定

简要分析了工业管道减薄的原因,对使用缺陷的轴向长度来区分减薄类型进行探讨.减薄管道表面状况较为粗糙,曲率较大,当使用测厚仪测厚有困难时,可以用超声波探伤仪来进行测厚.遵照相应规范标准,根据具体减薄情况确定其安全状况等级和检验周期.     

基于VC、ANSYS和Access的含缺陷管道安全评定系统

含缺陷管道安全评定技术研究是油气管道施工与生产管理中的一个重要内容。系统分析了油气管道主要力学条件并综合考虑管道表面体积型缺陷等影响因素,利用ANSYS有限元分析软件的二次开发功能,运用VS2005、Access、ANSYS及其APDL语言,开发了含缺陷管道安全评定系统。该系统实现了数据库管理,含任意形貌的外缺陷、内缺陷和凹痕缺陷管道的参数化建模,非线性有限元分析以及安全评定,能够对多条管线全部缺陷的单一分析、组合分析进行全自动批量处理和控制,能够用于在役管线安全评定分析,为含缺陷管线的分析研究提供了有力工具。     

高速公路两侧土壤中石油类物质污染的调查与分析

针对目前我国高速公路两侧土壤中出现的石油类物质污染情况,对土壤样进行分析研究,得出高速公路两侧土壤中石油类污染物含量发生变化的规律及原因,提出有效的整治措施。