Les contraintes temporelles dans le processus d'élaboration des PDU le cas de Marseille

The legal procedure (laure) for developing an urban travel plan (utp) and the procedure laid down in the certu guide place powerful temporal constraints on the development of a utp. This paper uses the example of Marseille to examine the rules for developing a utp and pays particular attention to the manner in which these temporal constraints may cause the actual development of a utp to diverge from the approach recommended by the certu. The utp development process is examined in detail by applying three types of data collection and analysis: an analysis of documents, attendance of utp and workshops as observers, interviews with players involved in urban planning and the utp. In order to meet temporal constraints the planning team must modify the stages of the process, but it must also adapt to the strategies of elected representatives which are defined outside of the utp procedure (the search for funding, development of transport and urban planning policies and objectives, etc.) as well as the resulting projects (those in the process of being prepared or those which are prepared before the utp). The utp can thus become an urban travel plan which essentially aims to achieve between projects which are already running.     

Diagrammes fondamentaux de zone : estimation et influence de la régulation

Macroscopic fundamental diagrams can model the road traffic at an aggregated scale. This tool allows the evaluation of traffic management strategy at the city level while taking congestion into account. Something the usual macroscopic traffic models can’t do correctly at this scale. However, the calibration of the macroscopic fundamental relation is not easy since lots of factors, from experimental condition to traffic heterogeneities, can alter the shape of the diagram. We show that the use of electromagnetic loops can introduce huge variations in the macroscopic fundamental diagram (MFD) shape. Among the parameters that have considerable impact on the MFD shape, the traffic lights set up can alter it significantly. For a given network, a better knowledge of the link between the traffic light parameters and the MFD shape can help evaluate the network quality of service by computing the average traffic flow speed for the entire network.     

La surestimation de la distance intervéhiculaire dans le brouillard

The difficulties of driving in fog are usually perceived in terms of lower sight distances and reduced ability to anticipate. However, the fall in the quality of visual information can also lead to errors in judgement by affecting the way drivers perceive their environment and their movement within it. We have conducted a series of experiments in a fog chamber and on a driving simulator, with the main aim of investigating the influence of fog on vehicle headway perception. Our results have revealed that distances are seriously overestimated in fog, and that this is likely to contribute to lower headways under such conditions, In fog an overestimation of headway between 20 and 55% was observed when vehicles were visible only as a result of their rear lights, which is the case in night-time or thick daytime fog. Under these conditions, the characteristics of vehicle lights become extremely important. Overestimation of distance becomes greater when vehicles have only one rear light instead of two, and when their two reac lights are close together. Perception of vehicle distance is therefore improved by two rear lights, placed as far apart as possible to indicate the dimensions of the vehicle. No significant overestimation of headways was found during thin or moderate daytime fog, when the vehicle outline remained visible. The results have shown the importance of the familiar size of vehicles as an indicator of distance in the situations we have investigated. They confirm the hypothesis that basic mechanisms of space perception are modified in fog.     

Évaluation des logiciels critiques: application à la méthode B

From the point of view of safety the bottleneck in the operation of computerized systems currently appears to be the software. In order to improve the safety of software an independent assessment of its quality has been advocated for several years. The assessment of safety critical software consists of a technical examination on the basis of a set of criteria by a body which is independent from the designer. These assessment criteria are derived from the standards which are in force, the state of the art and experience. The objective of an assessments to verify that the product meets the specified safety and functionality requirements. In this paper the authors describe a combined approach to the assessment of safety critical software. On the one hand, the process used in order to develop the software is examined, and on the other the quality of the end product (software) is checked. The first part of the paper will present the position of safety critical software in the context of railway standardization as well as the main assessment techniques with particular reference to that used at Inrets. The second part of the paper will deal with the contribution of formal methods such as the B method to the development of safety critical software. The software assessment aspect will pay particular attention to assessment of the product — analysis of the traceability of requirements, integration and validation of safety properties. The paper ends with a brief account of the extraction and interpretation of metrics for a formal development. Finally the criteria used to assess the process are rapidly described. This approach has been used in the framework of an Esprit project known as Cascade (Certification and Assessment of Safety Critical Application Development).     

Évaluation de mesures d’urgence potentielles en cas de pic de pollution atmosphérique en Alsace

Ten years after their implementation, the Alsatian prefectorial orders concerning emergency measures applied in case of exceedance of alert thresholds for ozone, nitrogen dioxide and, a pioneer feature of the French region, the PM, required an update. In 2007, the ASPA was mandated by the Bas-Rhin and the Haut-Rhin Prefectures to define and assess new emergency measures. The Alsatian emissions inventory first identified the activity sectors which would be potentially targeted by the measures, and then calculated the associated emission reductions. In association with the transportation agency, 3 scenarios were retained for concentration simulation: limitation of the speed limit at 70 km/h on freeways and major urban roads, alternated traffic in towns, and a combination of both measures. Then, an integrated modelling chain, including the CHIMERE and ADMS-Urban models, was allowed to simulate, for the three scenarios, the variation of ozone during the heat wave of 2003, and the variation of nitrogen dioxide and the PM during wintry episodes, for the cities of Strasbourg, Colmar and Mulhouse. Finally, the urban cartographies of the impact of the scenarios on the concentrations were crossed with the georeferenced residence data to estimate the population affected by threshold exceedances in each case. A weak impact was obtained for speed limit reduction, while it was significant for the alternated traffic; for the PM, the concentrations fell about 10 μg/m³ and the population exposed to threshold exceedance fell by a factor 4; for nitrogen dioxide, the concentrations were lowered by several dozen μg/m³ and the exposed population fell by a factor 2; whereas for ozone, we noted a slight increase in the concentration and the exposed population. At the same time as the implementation of the newly developed emergency measures, the evolution of knowledge and modelling shows that it would be technically justified to differentiate the measures, pollutant by pollutant.     

Impact de la tarification,des fréquences et des temps de transfort sur les flux ferroviares dans le Bassin parisien

We have modelled trips on the Paris basin on the basis of the SNCF long-distance surveys. This modelling allows us to test the impact of pricing, journey times and train frequencies on rail travel demand. Three models have been constructed — a generation model (which computes trip production, that is to say the distribution of trips on the basis of the zones in which rail users reside), a geographical distribution model which is used to estimate the distribution of trip production on the basis of origin and destination zone, and lastly a model choice model which computes the proportion of commuting flows which takes place by rail. In this study the generation model has been partially supplied by the surveys. The distribution model takes thetrip production data output from the generation model in order to evaluate the total of rail flow on each O-D pair. This data is then used to calibrate the modal choice model.     

Différences de sexe et rôle de l’internalisation des règles sur la propension des enfants à prendre des risques à vélo

The objective of this study is to explore gender differences and effect of internalization of traffic rules on children’s propensity to take risks as cyclists. Risk perception, internalization of traffic rules, and self-reported risk-taking propensity as cyclist were measured in a questionnaire among 145 children (86 boys and 59 girls) aged 9 to 12. The results show gender differences in cycling rules internalization, risk perception, and risk-taking propensity as cyclist. Furthermore, the results show that internalizing traffic rules is a better predictor than biological sex of the propensity to take risks as cyclist.     

L'entrée de la Cerdagne française dans l'espace économique barcelonais rôle de l'axe routier du Llobregat

Cerdanva is a mountainous trans-frontier region in the Pyrenees. Completion of the Barcelona-Bourg Madame section of the Barcelona-Toulouse motorway in 1995 brought Cerdanya to within a two-hour drive of Barcelona. This coincided with rising living standards in Catalonia and the creation of new affluent classes. The new road, which is known as the llobregat motorway, brought many more visitors to Spanish Cerdanya. The same occurred two years later from 1989–1990 in French Cerdanya. This increased cross-border traffic can be linked to increasing prosperity in French Cerdanya as witnessed by a rise in average taxable household income. At the same time a large number of properties. changed hands, most of them bought by people from Barcelona, and major property developers from Catalonia arrived in French Gerdanya. Leisure tourism seems to be bringing French Gerdanya into Barcelona's area of influence, which means that the economic and administrative borders are becoming dissociated.     

Enjeux de la mise en accessibilité des transports publics: le rôle de la maîtrise d’usage et de la coproduction

Since the act of February 11, 2005, the policy objective is to make urban projects accessible for all. This political context is strengthened on one hand by a greater social demand relieved by associations, and on the other hand by the need to anticipate the consequences of ageing population. A qualitative survey conducted in the metropolitan areas of Paris and Grenoble, with representatives of associations, transport operators, communities, and experts, shows that the law is not enough. The issue of a successful accessibility lies particularly in the political will at local level and in the involvement of people to overcome flaws in local projects, through consultation and coproduction initiatives. The users’ knowledge makes the project evolving and adapting according to social demand. The user has an expertise gained from his experiences that no one can match. Therefore, it has a vital role in the development, implementation and evaluation of projects’ accessibility.     

Simulation des temps de parcours du transport ferroviaire régional du bassin de vie stéphanois dans le cadre du projet Bahn.Ville

The French-German research project Bahn.Ville, dealing with Rail oriented development and intermodality in German and French urban regions, has consisted in identifying the principles and factors of success of an urban development oriented towards rail, and in testing them in the agglomeration of Saint-Étienne. One of the research-actions focussed on identifying and anticipating the potential impacts in terms of urban development of a new transport system, of the tram-train type, on an existing railway line. The effect of the insertion of new stops on the global journey time is one of the criterion of the evaluation of new stops. A simulation method of the journey times is presented in this paper. The interest and the limits of this approach, regarding the rolling stock choice and the insertion of new stops, are emphasized.     

Quelle place pour la sécurité routière dans les plans de déplacements urbains? Entre intégration et diffusion,le cas du plan de déplacements urbains de Lille métropole

This paper describes the position given to road safety in Urban Travel Plans by analyzing Urban Travel Plan document from eleven cities and undertakes a more in-depth investigation of road safety in the Urban Community of Lille. These plans provide an opportunity to disseminate knowledge about road safety to the other areas of urban management. They also describe the beginning of an integration of road safety in urban planning, even if intersectoral approaches at city level have yet to be developed and even if, in the case of Lille, the division of institutional competence with regard to the management of public space still requires clarification.     

Intérêt du modèle ? Hurdle ? pour la comparaison des comportements de mobilité déclarée dans un protocole d’enquête mixte

Due to decline in response rate to household travel surveys, it is essential that survey methods research explore the use of mixed-mode surveys. With this in mind, the Laboratoire d??économie des transports (Transport Economics Laboratory) conducted a web-based survey on non-respondents to a face-to-face household travel survey administered in the Lyon urban area in 2005?C2006. Comparative analysis of the figures shows that, overall, face-to-face respondents travel more than web-based respondents. This difference is partly explained by a high proportion of individuals who did not travel on the survey reference day and also by a lower trip level for those who travel. Classical regression methods can explain the individual mobility level with individuals socioeconomic characteristics, but do not take account of individuals who did not travel during the survey reference period. Using two econometric methods (simple Poisson and Hurdle Poisson regression) we examined factors affecting the decision to travel on one hand and the level of mobility on the other hand. This involves estimating the average daily mobility of individuals as a function of their socioeconomic characteristics while taking into account the fact that for a considerable part of the survey population, daily mobility is nil. Our approach intends firstly to define the causes of immobility better and secondly to characterise the mobility level with the help of a Hurdle model, so as to compare the results obtained in the web-based and faceto-face samples.     

Transport ferroviaire régional en Allemagne. L’exemple de la région de Leipzig

The German regional rail passenger transport (SPNV) is, eighteen years after the railway reform of 1993, a dynamic one. Over the last fifteen years, passengers have increased by +43% and trains.km by +28%. There are more than 30 railway operators. Tenders drive this dynamism and newcomer’s market share is approaching 25% in 2011 (in train.km). The Leipzig region, which has seen the birth of long-distance rail transport with the great line Leipzig-Dresden inspired by F. List (1834), participate in this revival: since 2010, two operators, DB Regio and Veolia, share regional rail services. What early lessons can be drawn for the reform of the French TER?     

Analyse de la prise en compte de la sécurité routière dans les plans de déplacements urbains

At the time when Urban Travel Plans (utps) are being introduced it is important to see how they take safety into account, certu's analysis of a dozen recent docuements shows the position occupied by road safety in utps, reveals the stated aims of the utps, identifies local actions aimed at improving road safety and highlights current or foresedable problems in the implementation of utps. The analysis shows that the way safety is taken into account varies considerably from one city to another. The desire to introduce measures to improve safety is usually present, but there is uncertainty as to how to tackle the issue. The examples of methods and actions that are given in this paper may provide some ideas which merit further examination for utps in the future. It is already obvious that utps will be responsible for profound changes in urban travel and its safety, and the results obtained over the next five years will doubtless have important consequences for the cities of tomorrow.     

La place des modèles de trafic dans les récentes modélisations des impacts environnementaux des transports. Importance de l’explicitation des méthodes et hypothèses

The authors present a recent development in the use of classic travel demand models (TDMs) to environmental impact assessment of transport, far from its initial target. By comparing previous cases found in the literature (Chester, Seoul, Florence, Brisbane and Saint-Etienne) with their present works (Eval-PDU in Nantes), the authors notice that their predecessors tend to be evasive on their use of TDM. Hence, traffic data are little discussed in these works, while their works constitute one of the main stakes in this kind of study. Indeed, the hypotheses for traffic modeling are impacting the next steps of the modeling chain (pollutants emission/dispersion). The importance of this first modeling stage implies that relevant attention has to be brought to their assumptions and input data.     

La mobilité comme modalité de l’ancrage : enrichir l’évaluation de la durabilité des espaces périurbains

This paper proposes to deepen the relationship between mobility and tethering in peri-urban spaces, and provide new methodological avenues, capable of contributing to the build-up of key knowledge elements, that we feel are crucial in a company’s capacity to implement their own sustainability requirements. These key knowledge elements are primarily based on the results stemming from research entitled “Peri-urbanism testing models for living; peri-urban viability, in theory and in practice”. The aim of this research was to assess, at least potentially, the sustainability of periurban spaces, which have seen recent development, as they have benefited from a growing trend towards removing space and time restrictions, through the generalisation of mobility, at the centre of many societal issues today.     

Fusion de données pour l'estimation des temps de parcours via la théorie de l'évidence

The emergence of new information technologies and the transformation that has occurred in traffic management have both increased drivers' already considerable need for road traffic information. The travel time is one of the forms in which this information is presented, and a number of systems are based on its dissemination. In this context, this indicator is used as a measure of the impedance (or cost) of routes on the network and/or a congestion indicator. This raises the problem of estimating travel times with an acceptable degree of accuracy, which is a particularly difficult task in urban areas as a result of difficultes of a theoretical, technical and methodological nature. Thus, in order to find out the traffic conditions that prevail on an urban road, the traffic sensors that are usually used to measure traffic conditions are ineffective under certain circumstances. New measurement devices (cameras, GPS or cellphone tracking, etc.) mean that other sources of data are increasingly used in order to supplement the information provided by conventional measurement techniques and improve the accuracy of travel) time estimates. As a result, travel time estimation becomes a typical data fusion problem. This study deals with a multisource estimate of journey times and attempts to provide a comprehensive framework for the utilization of multiple data and demonstrate the feasibility of a travel time estimation system based on the fusion of data of several different types. In this case two types of data are involved, data from conventional induction loop sensors (essentially flow and occupancy measurements) and data from probe vehicles. The selected modelling framework is the Dempster-Shafer Evidence Theory, which has the advantage of being able to take account of both the imprecision and uncertainty of the data. The implementation of this methodology has demonstrated that, in each case, better results are achieved with fusion than with methods based on a single source of data and that the quality of the information, as measured by correctly classified rates, improves as the degree of precision required of the estimate is increased.     

Les adolescents de catégories populaires ont-ils des pratiques de mobilités quotidiennes spécifiques ? Le cas des zones urbaines sensibles franciliennes

Do the working-class teenagers have a specific and homogeneous use of the space outside their neighbourhood? Do they have different practices of mobility when they live in “Zones Urbaines Sensibles” (ZUS)? These questions have hardly been investigated in contrast to these teenagers’ use of the space inside their neighbourhood. Yet, in spite of a mobility potential lower than that of other teenagers, they spend a lot of time outside their neighbourhood. Among these teenagers, those residing in the ZUS experiment personal autonomy at a younger age in taking public transportation. Also, one notes a greater immobility of girls. Beyond these gender disparities, a closer look at the daily mobility reveals five predominant ways of using the space outside the neighbourhood — public transportation being part of this space. These ways are tightly linked to the nature of the relationship with that neighbourhood. These five predominant ways, influenced by social and territorial variables, depict the heterogeneity of the inhabitants of the ZUS and of the current working class.