共查询到19条相似文献,搜索用时 218 毫秒
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最近,“珠江口溢油漂移与清污对策快速模拟技术课题大纲”在深圳顺利通过评审。据悉,由深圳海事局承办的这一课题是国家科技项目“海上溢油应急快速反应关键技术开发”的重要组成部分,目标是建立珠江口海域溢油漂移与清污对策快速模拟支持系统,预计2009年7月该系统可以进行验收并开始产业化运作及推广应用。系统建成后将在模拟预测精度、运算速度和支持功能等方面达到国际先进水平,能有效提高珠江口溢油预测水平和应急反应能力。 相似文献
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2004年发生于珠江口的“12·7”船舶碰撞溢油事故(以下简称“12·7”事故)被成功处置后,广东海事局在总结该事故处置经验的基础上,于2005年在珠江口开展了代号为“碧洋行动”的溢油应急演练。通过对“碧洋行动”设定的事故场景之一的推演和评估可以看到珠江口区域溢油应急合作对于该区域溢油事故应急处置的重要意义。 相似文献
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为完善海上搜救模拟器中的溢油仿真模块,在对近海潮流进行数值模拟的基础上,通过对溢油扩展、漂移、蒸发和乳化数学模型的组合计算,首先实现了近海溢油运动过程的实时仿真.随后结合海浪的真实感绘制算法,使用OSG(Open Scene Graph)纹理烘焙和平面折射技术,实现了海上溢油扩散过程的三维可视化.对现有海上溢油应急处理... 相似文献
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如果珠江口再次发生2004年“12·7”特大溢油事故该怎么办?在广东海事局1月17日上午组织的“珠江口海域溢油与散化漂移应急预警信息系统”推广应用会上,只见来自大连海事大学环境学院的熊德琪教授鼠标轻点,在该信息系统软件里根据溢油事故几天后的相关预报生成风场、预报潮流、再输入溢油事故参数,马上就可以进行溢油数值模拟计算,并很快得出计算结果, 相似文献
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项目前期论证阶段,通过对油膜扩散理论的研究,在考虑了油膜蒸发、油膜乳化影响的油膜扩展、扩散、迁移和衰减的海上溢油模式,结合水动力数学模型,建立了在潮汐、风浪作用下油膜运动的海上溢油数学模型.应用此模型对厦门港嵩屿码头发生溢油事故后的影响范围进行了模拟,并分析了溢油后油膜运动的几种基本情况.给出了溢油污染区域分布的主要特征.为相关部门控制溢油的影响范围和前期环境影响评价以及应对海上突发溢油事故的污染防治提供了科学依据. 相似文献
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海上溢油应急能力评估研究 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
针对目前我国海上溢油应急能力评估现状,借鉴国内外其他领域应急能力评估模式的先进经验,建立了包含5个一级指标,20个二级指标的海上溢油应急能力评估指标体系.运用改进的层次分析法得出不同层次指标的权重,并结合某海区溢油应急能力现状评分,得到该海区海上溢油应急能力等级.研究表明,该评价指标体系合理、实用,可为海上溢油应急能力... 相似文献
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文中针对长江沿岸溢油设备配备现状,深入分析长江沿岸小型区域性溢油应急设备库的优势,力求寻找一条解决目前溢油设备配备存在的问题的新途径,从而有效提高长江水域溢油处置能力。 相似文献
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分析油船溢油的主要原因,根据系统分析和层次分析相结合的原则建立油船溢油风险评价的多级评价指标体系,运用模糊数学中层次分析法结合对专家调查问卷的结果,综合分析给出油船溢油风险评价各指标的权重。将所建立的模型应用到实际油船,给出降低风险的措施。 相似文献
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A method is introduced to determine the uncertainties in the predictions of oil spill trajectories using a classic oil spill model. The method considers the output of the oil spill model as a function of random variables, which are the input parameters, and calculates the standard deviation of the output results which provides a measure of the uncertainty of the model as a result of the uncertainties of the input parameters.In addition to a single trajectory that is calculated by the oil spill model using the mean values of the parameters, a band of trajectories can be defined when various simulations are done taking into account the uncertainties of the input parameters. This band of trajectories defines envelopes of the trajectories that are likely to be followed by the spill given the uncertainties of the input.The method was applied to an oil spill that occurred in 1989 near Sines in the southwestern coast of Portugal. This model represented well the distinction between a wind driven part that remained offshore, and a tide driven part that went ashore. For both parts, the method defined two trajectory envelopes, one calculated exclusively with the wind fields, and the other using wind and tidal currents. In both cases reasonable approximation to the observed results was obtained.The envelope of likely trajectories that is obtained with the uncertainty modelling proved to give a better interpretation of the trajectories that were simulated by the oil spill model. 相似文献
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The CAMCAT oil spill forecasting system is presented in this paper, and an evaluation of the impact of errors in the forcing fields over its forecasts is carried out. The system is formed by several independent modules which provide forecasts of winds, currents and waves to an oil spill module which predicts the evolution of the spill.The typical twin-experiments experience is used paying special attention to a realistic characterization of the errors when perturbing the forcing fields. The results suggest that errors in the wind and current fields are the main limiting factor for the quality of the oil spill forecasts. The pollutant identification is also crucial to determine the final vertical position and characteristics of the product. 相似文献