基于PFV策略的连续型元胞自动机交通流模型

科学合理的微观交通流仿真模型是研究交通控制手段有效性的关键.本文结合一种考虑驾驶员视野内前后多车影响的跟驰策略，建立了连续型元胞自动机交通流模型.仿真实验表明，仿真数据与实测数据有较好的拟合性，仿真得到的 K-Q、K-V和 Q-V图能较好地反映实际道路交通流的失稳现象，所建立的模型具有适应不同场景的兼容性与灵活性，能够作为研究我国实际道路交通流问题的仿真工具.     

Transport and nation‐state governments worldwide: a further review

The review undertaken in this Paper shows how, in 1984, governments of nation‐states of the world deal with the important function of Transport. In all 115 countries are included and, with the information now given, it is possible to compare the situation with 1981–82, and also have a current global view of affairs affecting Transport as managed by governments. Such a review is part of the service which Transport Reviews provides for its readers. It is hoped to conduct a further review in 1988.     

楚雄市公共交通现状及对策研究

针对楚雄市城市交通的发展,通过实地调查、问卷调查、跟车调查等方法,在分析楚雄市公交现状概况、居民出行方式结构基本特征、公交线路网基本特征、公交客流基本特征的基础上,分析楚雄市公共交通发展存在的问题,并提出相应的对策.     

The implications of MARPOL Annex V on the management of ports and coastal communities

Abstract

The passage of the Marine Plastics Pollution Research and Control Act of 1987 (MPPRCA), which codified Annex V of the International Convention for the Prevention of Pollution from Ships (MARPOL), has encompassed every commercial and recreational shipping and boating facility in the United States. As a group, these ports, harbors, and marinas form a significant, although proportionately small, portion of the coastline of the country. More important, the economic benefits derived from the complex shoreside infrastructures required for international ocean trade, commercial and recreational fishing, and pleasure boating indicate just how critical it is for these facilities to be in conformance with effective and prudent coastal zone and environmental management practices.     

Estimating traffic demand risk – A multiscale analysis

This paper proposes a novel method for estimating the traffic demand risk associated with transportation. Using mathematical properties of wavelets, we develop a statistical measure of traffic demand sensitivity with respect to GDP. This measure can be adapted in a flexible way to capture risk levels relevant for different investment horizons. We demonstrate the timescale decomposition of risk with Swedish traffic demand data for 1950–2005. In general, rail transport shows a stronger co-movement with GDP than road transport. Moreover, we examine the volatility exhibited by traffic demand. Our findings suggest that rail investments are more risky than road investments. Since the findings can be used for optimal investment timing and for choice between public investment alternatives, they are deemed important for public policy in general.     

改扩建公路超高设计中若干问题的探讨

超高设计是道路曲线路段的重要设计内容,也是行车安全性和舒适性的重要影响因素,在高等级公路改扩建应用中尤为重要。基于S226省道温岭岙环至玉环龙溪段拓宽改造项目,结合JTG D20—2017《公路路线设计规范》道路超高设计的相关规定,针对改扩建公路中分离式路基超高线形设计方法、S型曲线超高设置、曲线内构造物超高验算以及老路路拱过渡等特殊超高问题,提出新老路间的差异平稳过渡方案,借以探讨改扩建公路超高设计的思路和方法。     

Estimation of road profile variability from measured vehicle responses

When assessing the statistical variability of fatigue loads acting throughout the life of a vehicle, the question of the variability of road roughness naturally arises, as both quantities are strongly related. For car manufacturers, gathering information on the environment in which vehicles evolve is a long and costly but necessary process to adapt their products to durability requirements. In the present paper, a data processing algorithm is proposed in order to estimate the road profiles covered by a given vehicle, from the dynamic responses measured on this vehicle. The algorithm based on Kalman filtering theory aims at solving a so-called inverse problem, in a stochastic framework. It is validated using experimental data obtained from simulations and real measurements. The proposed method is subsequently applied to extract valuable statistical information on road roughness from an existing load characterisation campaign carried out by Renault within one of its markets.     

Quantifying travel time variability at a single bottleneck based on stochastic capacity and demand distributions

Travel time reliability, an essential factor in traveler route and departure time decisions, serves as an important quality of service measure for dynamic transportation systems. This article investigates a fundamental problem of quantifying travel time variability from its root sources: stochastic capacity and demand variations that follow commonly used log-normal distributions. A volume-to-capacity ratio-based travel time function and a point queue model are used to demonstrate how day-to-day travel time variability can be explained from the underlying demand and capacity variations. One important finding is that closed-form solutions can be derived to formulate travel time variations as a function of random demand/capacity distributions, but there are certain cases in which a closed-form expression does not exist and numerical approximation methods are required. This article also uses probabilistic capacity reduction information to estimate time-dependent travel time variability distributions under conditions of non-recurring traffic congestion. The proposed models provide theoretically rigorous and practically useful tools for understanding the causes of travel time unreliability and evaluating the system-wide benefit of reducing demand and capacity variability.     

Decision support for risk assessment of mid-air collisions via population-based measures

Specifying proximity warning functions for aircraft in managed airspace has received considerable attention. However, similar functions for aircraft operating in unmanaged airspace have received comparatively little analysis despite the fact that these functions are stressed to a greater physical degree, and perhaps more frequently, than in managed airspace. The mid-air collision hazard and its associated risk are re-examined from both an historical and a systematic engineering modelling viewpoint. Historic measures of this transport risk in managed airspace have been based on fatalities normalized by flight hours or flight movements. However some of these data may not be available in unmanaged airspace. Another approach to measurement directs attention to populations at risk where several measures are now well known: collective risk, individual risk and the frequency of occurrence of the hazards that give rise to such risk. A decision support methodology is presented that relates both transport and population-based approaches. A cohesive and consistent set of aspired goals for various stakeholder groups can be set taking into account the different stakeholder needs. A case study is drawn from historic mid-air collision data to illustrate the process. A consistent basis for national-level policy decisions harmonised with proactive engineering design requirements is achieved. The strengths, limitations and implications of this approach for engineering design purposes are discussed.     

把对企业的扶持作用发挥到极致

作为国家政策性银行,中国进出口银行与船舶工业一直不离不弃,为中国船舶工业的跨越式发展做出了巨大贡献.然而,危机关头,进出口银行如何再显身手,帮助深受融资难题困扰的造船行业走出困境?全国人大代表,中国进出口银行行长李若谷在接受本刊专访时强调:中国进出口银行将一如既往地给船舶工业以最大的支持!