Estimation of delay variability at signalized intersections for urban arterial performance evaluation

Urban arterial performance evaluation has been broadly studied, with the major focus on average travel time estimation. However, in view of the stochastic nature of interrupted flow, the ability to capture the characteristics of travel time variability has become a critical step in determining arterial level of service (LOS). This article first presents a stochastic approach that integrates classic cumulative curves and probability theories in order to investigate delay variability at signalized intersections, as a dominant part of the link travel time variability. This serves as a basis for arterial travel time estimation, which can be obtained through a convolution of individual link travel time distributions. The proposed approach is then applied in the estimation of travel time along one arterial in Shanghai, China, with abundant automatic vehicle identification (AVI) data sources. The travel time variability is evaluated thoroughly at 30-min intervals, with promising results achieved in comparison to the field measurements. In addition, the estimated travel time distributions are utilized to illustrate the probability of multiple LOS ranges, namely, reliability LOS. The results provide insights into how we might achieve a more reliable and informative understanding of arterial performance.     

Subjective-utility travel time budget modeling in the stochastic traffic network assignment

ABSTRACT

In this article, we propose a new model called subjective-utility travel time budget (SU-TTB) model to capture travelers' risk-averse route choices. In the travel time budget (TTB) and mean-excess travel time (METT) model, a predefined confidence level is needed to capture the risk-aversion in route choice. Due to the day-to-day route travel time variations, the exact confidence level is hard to be predicted. With the SU-TTB model, we assume travelers' confidence level belongs to an interval that they may comply with in the route choice. The two main components of SU-TTB are the utility function and the TTB model. We can show that the SU-TTB can be reduced to the TTB and METT model with proper utility function for the confidence levels. We can also prove its equivalence with our recently proposed nonlinear-expectation route travel time (NERTT) model in some cases and give some new interpretation on the NERTT with this equivalence. Finally, we formulate the SU-TTB model as a variational inequality (VI) problem to model the risk-averse user equilibrium (RAUE), termed as generalized RAUE (GRAUE). The GRAUE is solved via a heuristic gradient projection algorithm, and the model and solution algorithm are demonstrated with the Braess's traffic network and the Nguyen and Dupuis's traffic network.     

薄基岩顶板隧道爆破施工围岩稳定性分析

为更有效地进行薄基岩顶板条件下隧道施工安全控制,以某高速公路隧道为工程背景,运用数值模拟的方法,分别研究不同顶板厚度下隧道爆破施工引起的围岩振速分布特征及其对围岩的损伤情况,并进行围岩稳定性分析。结果表明:1)当顶板厚度在5 m及以上时,围岩是稳定的;2)当顶板厚度为3 m时,最危险横断面上基岩顶板内开始产生严重的拉伸裂缝及一些径向裂缝,将形成超挖;3)当顶板厚度≤2 m时,径向裂缝贯穿顶板岩体,围岩稳定性较差,在掌子面后1 m内可能发生塌落、掉块等事故。     

The changes of neuronal activity of the zone incerta in a rodent model of Parkinson＇s disease

Objective To study the changes in neuronal activity of the zone incerta (ZI) following the unilateral lesion of the nigrostriatal pathway. Methods Eiectrophysiological recordings of ZI neurons were made in normal rats and in two groups of rats at different time intervals after injection of 6-hydrodopamine (6-OHDA) into the pars compacta of snbstantia nigra by extracellular recording in vivo. Results The results showed a significant increase in the mean firing rate of ZI during the second and fourth weeks after 6-OHDA lesion [-n=32, (3.6±2. 2)Hz, P<0.001; n=35, (9.3±6.6)Hz, P<0. 001, respectively] compared to that of normal rats [n=39, (9.2±5.2)Hz]. However, no significant change was observed between two groups of 6-OHDA-lesioned rats. With regard to firing pattern, 7.7%(3/39) of ZI neurons discharged regularly, 82.1% (32/39) irregularly and 10. 3% (4/39) in bursts in normal rats. During the second week after 6-OHDA lesion, the regular, irregular and bursting firing neurons recorded in the ZI were 9.4% (3/32), 59. 4% (19/32) and 31.3% (10/32), and during fourth week, the regular, irregular and bursting firing neurons were 14.3% (5/35), 57.1% (20/35) and 28. 6% (10/35), respectively. The firing pattern of the neurons in the three different groups did not change significantly. Conclusion These results suggest that the firing rate of ZI neurons in 6-OHDA-lesioned rats is increased significantly, which may contribute to the pathophysiology of Parkinson's disease.     

改进不等时距GM模型在施工控制中的应用

刚构桥施工过程中应力变化复杂,影响因素多,较难预测把握应力发展趋势,实测应力缺失时,单一使用GM(1,1)模型预测精度低,对原始应力数据要求苛刻.文章改进了不等时距GM(1,1)模型,结合罗天乐特大桥工程进行验证,结果表明,改进不等时距GM(1,1)模型在刚构桥施工应力预测中具有较好的适用性和较高的预测精度.     

关于连续刚构桥梁的施工管理控制要点分析

在桥梁施工中,连续刚结构桥梁是非常重要的组成部分,具有大跨度的特征,在连续钢构桥梁的实际施工过程中,通常需要采用悬臂施工的方式对结构体系进行转换。因此,为了确保桥梁施工能够安全稳定的进行,就必须加强连续刚构桥梁的施工管理控制工作。主要从以下三个方面针对连续刚构桥梁的施工管理控制要点进行了探讨分析,可为同行业者提供参考。     

自行车流视频识别判断方法研究

考虑算法的实时性,交通流个体识别往往采用轮廓特征来描述。由于自行车与行人的很多轮廓特征值相近,在复杂城市交通环境中,从慢行交通流中准确地识别出自行车是目前采用视频检测交通流的难点之一。通过现场视频检测获取足够的样本外轮廓数据,分析检测目标轮廓的高、宽、高宽比、面积等典型轮廓特征,发现目标轮廓高宽比特征能较好地识别出行人、自行车等慢行交通,并给出合适的取值范围。研究表明自行车高宽比能够较好地成为视频识别的依据,为自行车视频识别提供数据。     

MIF在不同分子分型乳腺癌中的表达和意义

目的研究巨噬细胞移动抑制因子(MIF)在不同分子分型乳腺癌中的表达和临床意义,探索不同分型乳腺癌的分子生物学特征。方法应用免疫组化SP法将100例乳腺癌标本分为Luminal型、HER2(+)型、BLs型和NBLs型,检测MIF表达差异。比较不同年龄、月经状况、肿瘤大小、腋窝淋巴结转移状态、肿瘤组织学类型、组织学分级和术后临床分期患者中MIF阳性表达率;比较MIF阳性患者和阴性患者的微血管密度(MVD)数值差别及5年总生存率。结果不同分子分型和不同淋巴结转移状态的乳腺癌患者中,MIF阳性表达率有统计学差异(P<0.05)。MIF表达与HER2(+)型乳腺癌及腋窝淋巴结转移皆正相关。MIF阳性者的MVD值明显高于阴性者(P<0.05)。Kaplan-Meier法示MIF阴性者的5年生存率明显高于MIF阳性者(Log-rank=19.516,P=0.000)。结论 MIF阳性的乳腺癌患者多为HER2(+)型,易发生腋窝淋巴结转移,肿瘤新生血管明显,预后不良。     

湖北省高等职业院校数字校园发展现状及趋势——以武汉铁路职业技术学院为例

国家中长期教育改革和发展规划纲要(2010-2020年)描绘了我国未来10年教育改革发展的宏伟蓝图,也为我国高等职业院校的信息化改革和发展提出了新的总体要求。本文以武汉铁路职业技术学院未来10年信息化发展规划为例,结合学院信息化发展现状和实际情况,提出了适合高等职业院校信息化特点的发展演进模式,对高等职业院校信息化发展模式提供有益借鉴。     

高速铁路声屏障在列车脉动风载荷下的强度计算

为了得到高速列车声屏障在列车经过时的受力规律,建立了声屏障的外流场模型和有限元模型。利用流固耦合技术,计算分析了声屏障的三维动态流场和结构模型,得到了列车风气动力特性和H钢立柱的受力规律。计算结果表明:列车经过时声屏障受到的压力为一个随时间变化且不均匀分布的面载荷。H钢立柱发生弯扭组合变形,弯矩扭矩各经历两次换向。每当列车经过一次,等效应力产生四个脉冲。H钢立柱受到的应力不大,可能出现疲劳破坏。