Benthic foraminifera in the surface sediments of the Beaufort Shelf and slope, Beaufort Sea, Canada: Applications and implications for past sea-ice conditions

This paper presents new data on distribution patterns of modern benthic foraminifera and other microfossils from the Canadian Arctic, specifically the Beaufort Shelf and slope. The material was collected in June to August of 2004 and is the first of its kind in this area to be collected since 1970. We examined the smaller sizes (45–63µm) as well as > 63µm and discovered that many species had been severely underrepresented in previous studies. Deep sea forms, that had been overlooked previously, were common on the shelf; two species (Elphidiella arctica and Ammotium cassis) appeared in preliminary results to be indicators of methane seepage; and it was possible to make determinations of sea-ice coverage using a combination of foraminifera and tintinnids (planktic ciliates). Our data indicated the presence of many of the same species as previous studies from this area, but improved techniques of sample processing greatly increased the number of specimens and species found (particularly the small deep sea arctic species Buliminella hensoni and Bolivina arctica) which provide much more reliable data for paleoceanographic determinations. One of the primary objectives for this work was to provide baseline data to help determine paleo-ice cover; these data cover a broad range of conditions on the Beaufort Shelf that make it possible to achieve this objective as well as improving what it is known about the assemblages on this shelf as compared to other arctic shelf areas, such as the Siberian Shelf).     

The implications on willingness to pay of respondents ignoring specific attributes

Individuals processing the information in a stated choice experiment are typically assumed to evaluate each and every attribute offered within and between alternatives, and to choose their most preferred alternative. However, it has always been thought that some attributes are ignored in this process for many reasons, including a coping strategy to handle ones perception of the complexity of the choice task. Nonetheless, analysts typically proceed to estimate discrete choice models as if all attributes have influenced the outcome to some degree. The cognitive processes used to evaluate trade-offs are complex with boundaries often placed on the task to assist the respondent. These boundaries can include prioritising attributes and ignoring specific attributes. In this paper we investigate the implications of bounding the information processing task by attribute elimination through ignoring one or more attributes. Using a sample of car commuters in Sydney we estimate mixed logit models that assume all attributes are candidate contributors, and models that assume certain attributes are ignored, the latter based on supplementary information provided by respondents. We compare the value of travel time savings under the alternative attribute processing regimes. Assuming that all attributes are not ignored and duly processed, leads to estimates of parameters which produce significantly different willingness to pay (WTP) to that obtained when the exclusion rule is invoked.     

Paratransit — Existing issues and future directions

Paratransit services bridge the gap between static fixed route transit and the flexible automobile travel. Paratransit services provide personalized public trapsportation by responding to the needs of individual markets and users. Unfortunately, fragmentation of the paratransit sector and institutional and regulatory constraints have prevented or complicated realization of paratransit's full potential. The orientation in this paper is not primarily to identify promising paratransit applications. Rather, it is to examine basic characteristics of paratransit services, fundamental issues unique to paratransit, existing problems that are constraining paratransit development, and ways to overcome or minimize existing difficulties. A taxonomy of paratransit services is proposed so that these systems can be better related to each other. The institutional environment of paratransit is examined from the viewpoints of planning, operations and regulation. A primary focus is on integration of various paratransit services and of paratransit and conventional fixed route services. Several proposals are made relating to improvements in existing services, new service concepts, new institutional arrangements and service integration.     

Approximate procedures for planning public transit systems: A review and some examples

The approximate analytical models of public transit systems are reviewed. First, the derivation and formation of the standard model form is presented. Once the model is explained in general terms some practical planning applications are considered and evaluated. The model type presents an invaluable tool to the transit planner but a few operational problems need to be considered. Further benefits to the planning professionals would be realized if researchers were to devote more effort to sensitivity analysis as a means of determining which system parameters have the greatest impact upon the operation of the transit system.     

Noisy demand and mode choice

Mode choice under stochastically varying demand is studied via a dynamic mathematical model which describes the behavioural interactions between population groups. The model is developed by assuming competing attractivity functions for automobile and public transit which motivate their use subject to an overall demand for transportation. When this demand is allowed to vary stochastically, a set of stochastic differential equations describing the model are obtained. These are solved for their steady-state values. It is found that noisy demand can structure the system qualitatively differently than when the demand is fixed. The noise is found to generally reduce the level of public transit ridership, but it also changes the values of the threshold at which new regimes occur and, most interestingly, it induces new steady-state solutions for ridership at critical values of the variance of demand. In the latter case, noise becomes a source of new possibilities in the system by triggering a steady-state solution not present in the noise-free environment.     

Bridge sampling for evaluating structural impact of trucks

In this paper, a method for designing a statistically valid sample of bridges is proposed. The need for such a sampling procedure arises from the impracticality of a detailed analysis of the structural effects of new candidate truck configurations on the whole bridge inventory. In this study, a set of bridges from the national inventory was determined for the purpose of selecting a bridge sample. This set of bridges is referred to as the population. The selection of bridges for inclusion in the population was based on the status of the bridge, type of service, structural material, structural system type and functional class. The stratified sampling method was used in the determination of the required sample sizes. According to this method, the population was first divided into sub-populations, or strata. These sub-populations were non-overlapping. In turn, each strata was divided into sub-strata. The characteristics of each sub-stratum were estimated and combined to determine the characterics of the strata. Then the characteristics of the strata were combined to determine the characteristics of the bridge population. A comparison of the results based on the sample and bridge population was conducted in order to verify the validity of the proposed sampling procedure.     

One billion new city dwellers — How will they travel?

Preface This paper is an adaptation of the first Reuben Smeed Memorial Lecture given at University College London on 12 March. This series of lectures has been promoted by the late Reuben Smeed's former friends, colleagues and admirers as a tribute to him for his contributions to traffic science and engineering over a quarter of a century. Reuben Smeed's unique combination of imagination, rigorous objectivity and determination, coupled with his humour and warmth brought him rare distinction as a researcher and teacher. The subject of the paper is wide ranging and complex and it has not been possible to treat all parts of it with the thoroughness that Reuben Smeed would have sought. However there is little doubt that it would have appealed to him as one well worth tackling.     

Behavioural intentions as predictors of very specific behaviour

This paper proposes an alternative approach to understanding travel behaviour —the study of behavioural intentions. The communality of this and the revealed behaviour approach are outlined and the use of controlled experimental methods illustrated in an analysis of empirical data on behavioural intentions of citizens with respect to changes in the levels of transport service, and the introduction of an area licensing scheme for travel in a central city area in Australia.This research was completed while Jordan Louviere was at Cambridge Systematics Inc., Boston, Massachusetts, U.S.A.