Risk- and reliability-based approaches are increasingly being applied in assisting inspection and maintenance planning. One of the keys to such approaches is properly predicting the hull girder strength (HG) of gradually degradated hull structures. The development has been limited by the lack of data on aging ships—validation of the developed methods has not been possible. To fill the gap of knowledge on hull strength of ships in service, this paper presents a database of as-gauged hull structures and a statistical study of the time-variant HG of tankers. The expanded data set was collected from 2195 as-gauged girth belts (transverse sections) of 211 single-hull tankers that were 12–32 years old. It was intended to (1) provide actual data on hull girder section modulus (HGSM) of tankers, (2) investigate the general trends of the change in the HG over ships’ service life, and (3) propose formulations for presenting time-variant HGSM and coating life.
The data set demonstrated a high variation of HGSM that changed over time. The mean value and standard deviation of HGSM loss were derived as functions of time. The probability density function (pdf) of coating life was also derived. Comparisons were made between previous studies on HG and the current data set. It was found that almost all previous studies showed much greater HG loss than what this database revealed. The refinement of existing calculations appears to be needed. The data set and statistical study were expected to form the basis for validating formulations of HG that are key components in risk- and reliability-based approaches. 相似文献
The paper presents a study on the incorporated probability that a tanker fleet meets a given permissible value of hull girder
strength loss. The analysis was based on a database of hull girder section modulus (HGSM) for as-gauged girth belts of tankers.
It was found that its mean value is below 5% over the entire life span of the analyzed tanker fleet. The Weibull probabilistic
distribution was found to best represent the time-varying HGSM loss. A method was developed for calculating the incorporated
safety of a fleet. As an example, the IMO requirement for a maximum HGSM reduction of 10% relative to its required value was
analyzed, accounting for time-variant HGSM loss and including a probabilistic model for coating longevity.
The views expressed in the paper are those of the authors and not necessary those of ABS. 相似文献