Maritime accident investigation and temporal determinants of maritime accidents: A case study

This paper presents the results of an investigation into temporal determinants of maritime accidents based on a data-set obtained from the proceedings of formal inquiries in the former German Democratic Republic (GDR). The results show that there is no statistically significant outcome between the probability for an accident and the time of watch. Thus the results do not confirm previous studies, which reported significant time of day effects.The outcome of this study indicates that marine inquiries can provide useful data for an analysis of underlying causes of maritime accidents. It is suggested that accident inquiries should be extended into the area of watch systems employed and should record the hours of work and of rest of the officers on the watch involved in a maritime accident.     

The role of professional associations in shipping

This article is in three parts. The first covers the historical development of qualifying associations. The second covers the particular role of maritime institutions that include The Royal Institution of Naval Architects, The Institute of Marine Engineering Science and Technology and The Nautical Institute. The third and final section considers the future for maritime professional associations in the context of international shipping.     

龙屯路立交钢管混凝土简支系杆拱桥主桥设计研究

柳州龙屯路立交桥主桥结构形式为跨径92.5 m下承式简支系杆钢管混凝土拱桥,通过分析结构体系的温度敏感性,本桥接近同类结构形式的极限跨度。主要介绍该桥的结构设计和结构静力计算情况,并对结构的合理拱轴系数进行分析研究。     

"讨债"期限的时效

“讨债难”的现象在水运企业、个体船户间司空见惯,人们对此已见怪不怪。经营业务中,经常遇到这样一种情况:甲方欠乙方的运费,由于种种原因到了合同约定的付款期限没有付清。后来虽经乙方多次上门催要,甲方仍未偿还,最后乙方不得不将甲方诉诸法庭。但结果却是:由于乙方因没有证     

Estimation of origin‐destination matrices for a multimodal public transit network

This paper presents a procedure for the estimation of origin‐destination (O‐D) matrices for a multimodal public transit network. The system consists of a number of favored public transit modes that are obtained from a modal split process in a traditional four‐step transportation model. The demand of each favored mode is assigned to the multimodal network, which is comprised of a set of connected links of different public transit modes. An entropy maximization procedure is proposed to simultaneously estimate the O‐D demand matrices of all favored modes, which are consistent with target data sets such as the boarding counts and line segment flows that are observed directly in the network. A case study of the Hong Kong multimodal transit network is used to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed methodology.     

A traffic flow simulator for short‐term travel time forecasting

This paper presents an off‐line forecasting system for short‐term travel time forecasting. These forecasts are based on the historical traffic count data provided by detectors installed on Annual Traffic Census (ATC) stations in Hong Kong. A traffic flow simulator (TFS) is developed for short‐term travel time forecasting (in terms of offline forecasting), in which the variation of perceived travel time error and the fluctuations of origin‐destination (O‐D) demand are considered explicitly. On the basis of prior O‐D demand and partial updated detector data, the TFS can estimate the link travel times and flows for the whole network together with their variances and covariances. The short‐term travel time forecasting by O‐D pair can also be assessed and the O‐D matrix can be updated simultaneously. The application of the proposed off‐line forecasting system is illustrated by a numerical example in Hong Kong.     

内燃机车牵引噪声源的噪声贡献量的统计能量分析(SEA)研究

以东风４型内燃机车为例，用简化了的内燃机车车体结构，建立了定置状态下３种输入情况的内燃机车的统计能量分析（ＳＥＡ）模型，得出了与机车在负荷试验台上进行试验时相符的模型，给出了机车各主要牵引噪声源对环境的噪声贡献量的计算方法，并实验验证了理论分析的结论．     

Multiphysic modelling of railway vehicles equipped with pneumatic suspensions

This article presents a multidisciplinary approach of railway pneumatic suspension modelling: both multibody and pneumatic aspects are taken into account. The work aims at obtaining a realistic model of the secondary suspension and coupling it with a multibody model of a train. Various components of the pneumatic circuit such as bellows, tanks, pipes and valves are taken into account. The article focuses on the bellow-pipe-tank subsystem for which several modelling approaches are presented and compared. Differences between differential and algebraic models are highlighted, and an application-dependent choice between them is suggested. A complete model of the pneumatic circuit is then obtained and coupled with a multibody model of the train. As a result, the behaviour of a suburban train equipped with a pneumatic secondary suspension is analysed, in particular undesired oscillating motions which affect the comfort. Topological modifications and improvements of the suspension are also investigated and discussed.     

浅析现代科技对测绘的影响

测绘技术是随着科技的发展而不断进步的,促进了测绘技术的一次次革命,到今天功能齐全的网络测绘技术,无不显示了科技对测绘技术的影响力。本文主要讨论了高科技测绘技术的特点,并在此基础上介绍了几个当今比较流行的信息测绘技术,然后讨论了信息技术带给测绘工业体制上改革,以及最终信息化测绘的发展方向。     

儿童慢型克山病的自然病程

为了探讨儿童慢型克山病的自然病程和预后危险因素，本文分析了长期随访的儿童慢型克山病６３例，结果表明：①儿童慢型克山病预后差，其１年存活率５０．５％、５年仅１５．８％；②自然慢性发病、有奔马律、心功能Ⅲ级以上，心电图心室增大，Ｘ线心胸比率重度扩大者，５年存活率低（Ｐ＜０．０５或０．０１）。