Approximate method for reliability assessment of complex phased mission systems

Phased-mission systems (PMSs) have wide applications in engineering practices, such as manmade satellites. Certain critical parts in the system, such as cold standby, hot standby and functional standby, are designed in redundancy architecture to achieve high reliability performance. State-space models such as Markov process have been used extensively in previous studies for reliability evaluation of PMSs with dynamic behaviors. The most popular way to deal with the dynamic behaviors is Markov process, but it is well known that Markov process is limited to exponential distribution. In practice, however, the lifetime of most machinery products can follow non-exponential distributions like the Weibull distribution which cannot be handled by the Markov process. In order to solve this kind of problem, we present a semi-Markov model combined with an approximation algorithm to analyze PMS reliability subjected to non-exponential failures. Furthermore, the accuracy of the approximation algorithm is investigated by comparing to an accurate solution, and a typical PMS (attitude and orbit control system) is analyzed to demonstrate the implementation of the method.     

Fault diagnosis for wind turbine based on improved extreme learning machine

A fault diagnosis method based on improved extreme learning machine (IELM) is proposed to solve the weakness (weak generalization ability, low diagnostic rate) of traditional fault diagnosis with feedforward neural network algorithm. This method fuses signal feature vectors, extracts six parameters as the principal component analysis (PCA) variables, and calculates correlation coefficient matrix among the variables. The weight values of control parameters in the extreme learning model are dynamically adjusted according to the test samples’ constantly changing. Consequently, the weight fixed drawback in the original model can be remedied. A fault simulation experiment platform for wind turbine drive system is built, eight kinds of fault modes are diagnosed by the improved extreme learning model, and the result is compared with that of other machine learning methods. The experiment indicates that the method can enhance the accuracy and generalization ability of diagnosis, and increase the computing speed. It is convenient for engineering application.     

Calculation of strain amplification matrix for strain invariant failure theory based on representative volume element models with periodical boundary condition

Strain invariant failure theory (SIFT) is a micro-mechanics-based failure theory for multi-scale failure analysis of composite materials originally proposed by Gosse and Christensen. In this paper, the approach for obtaining strain amplification matrix which is a key step for the execution of SIFT is improved by adopting representative volume element (RVE) finite element models considering periodical boundary condition, based on which more actual deformation mode is reflected. The deformation modes and strain data at the characteristic points of the centroid cell of multi-cell RVE model are analyzed and taken as a reference. It can be concluded that more reasonable deformation mode and relationship between the micro-mechanical and macro-mechanical strain states are obtained by employing the new model. Finally, numerical examples are provided to illustrate the determination of strain amplification factors within the RVEs considering periodical boundary condition at the characteristic points.     

上海市历史城区震后应急救援路网评价与优化

随着我国城市化进程加快,自然灾害问题也日渐凸显,作为主要自然灾害之一的地震正在严重影响着我国城市的公共安全.城市交通系统是城市重要的生命线,因此研究震后城市应急救援道路网络连通可靠度具有重要的现实意义.历史城区由于其建筑多为老旧平房,抗震性能差,而且城区道路空间局促,在遭遇地震时路网更易堵塞.本文以上海豫园区域路网为例,基于瓦砾堆积模型对震后路段通行概率进行计算,采用蒙特卡洛模拟方法对路网节点连接可靠度进行计算,对震后路网路段单元和节点的可靠性进行评估,并在此基础上判别关键路段和优化应急医疗救援路径.     

FFA如何实现套期保值

2008年国内市场上集中出现一系列的衍生品交易亏损事件.如东航、国航燃油套保亏损,中信泰富澳元套保巨亏,深南电原油套保面临巨大风险,中国远洋的FFA亏损等.这些是继前几年"国储铜"和"中航油"事件之后,衍生品交易再度集中走进人们的视野.     

Oracle备份策略在舰船电子信息系统中的应用探索

从舰船电子信息系统的发展趋势出发,分析进行数据库备份的必要性。介绍舰船电子信息系统所采用的Oracle数据库的备份技术,给出备份方案的设计与实现方法,为未来数据库备份在舰船电子信息系统中的应用进行有益的尝试。     

航空通信跳频电台同址干扰分析与对策

深入研究航空通信跳频电台间复杂、严重的同址干扰,建立阻塞干扰和减敏干扰的判断模型。通过对典型航空通信跳频电台间同址干扰进行计算和仿真得到其量化关系,在此基础上提出系统解决跳频电台同址干扰的具体措施,为多部跳频电台同址配置时的电磁兼容问题和抗同址干扰能力的提升提供可靠的理论依据。     

基于偏最小二乘的两栖突击车作战效能预测

针对两柄突击车作战效能和偏最小二乘的特点,提出了基于偏最小二乘预测作战效能的方法。介绍了偏最小二乘回归的具体过程,在此基础上．对某型两栖突击车的作战效能进行了预测。得到了可靠的作战效能系数。     

基于Delphi环境的GPS数据监测与采集

文章介绍了在Delphi环境下实现GPS数据监测采集的关键技术。GPS接收机通过串口与计算机进行通信,其数据格式为NMEA0183,程序利用MSComm控件实现数据接收,对数据进行处理后实时显示给用户,并将用户位置、时间、速度和航向等信息保存到数据库中,为监测开发GPS数据处理软件和其它导航系统定位信息输入提供依据和数据来源。     

基于多基线GPS舰船姿态测量系统研究

利用GPS对载体姿态进行测量是GPS应用的一个新领域。文章针对如何利用GPS载波相位信号实现舰船姿态测量进行了研究,并在此基础上进行了实验验证,测试结果表明该系统性能良好。