夏季中国海海流系统的高分辨率数值模拟

以最新的三维斜压海洋模式POM2K为基础，考虑了海底地形、边界水交换、海面风应力、海面热通量等多方面影响后，对中国海(渤、黄、东、南海)环流结构进行了高分辨率的数值模拟．结果显示：中国海的夏季环流在强季风强迫和黑潮驱动下，具有显著的西边界流特性；中国陆架海北部受黄海冷水团控制；黑潮在巴士海峡处有反气旋式弯曲，并与东北向的南海风生流发生较强的混合，形成的“巴士海峡混和水”是偏西向流和台湾暖流的海水源和重要驱动因子；南海北部存在一个拐角式逆时针旋涡；南海南部呈现双涡结构．     

开发区专业物流园区规划

物流园区规划是建设物流园区的重要内容，许多城市与地区都准备规划建设若干物流园区。由于物流园区的建设投入资金巨大，任何失误都将造成难以弥补的损失。因此，在物流园区的规划建设初期，研究物流园区的规划是十分必要的。对依托开发区的专业物流园区的规划进行了研究探讨，希望有助于这类专业物流园区建设的规划实施。     

脉冲功率超级电容储能系统容量计算方法

为满足高功率、快速充放电应用场合对供电电源的要求,本文基于超级电容器的串并联,设计了一套大容量脉冲功率储能系统。从装置对能量和功率两方面的特殊需求展开分析和计算,提出了快速确定电容单体连接方式及求取系统总电容值的算法,在此基础上搭建了储能系统的等效电路模型,结合实际负载功率对储能系统的放电特性进行了分析和预测,仿真结果证明了该设计方案的有效性与可行性。     

质子交换膜燃料电池电化学建模及仿真

从热力学和动力学理论出发,对燃料电池的工作原理进行研究。通过对活化极化、浓差极化、欧姆极化的数学描述,建立电化学仿真模型。结合试验数据,辨识模型中的参数,并用MATLAB/SIMULINK仿真平台对质子交换膜燃料电池进行仿真分析。结果表明:仿真结果与实验数据比较吻合,模型具有良好的稳态性能,能够有效应用于燃料电池系统理论和技术研究。     

三维竖轴潮流水轮机水动力性能研究

竖轴水轮机作为潮流能转换为电能的核心装置,其水动力性能的优劣将会直接影响到整体发电系统的效率。为了研究大型竖轴水轮机叶片安装角对水轮机水动力性能的影响,基于多参考系模型(MRF),采用Fluent软件对流场中的模型进行3D数值模拟。在转速和来流速度保持不变,改变安装角时,分析同种翼型5个不同安装角叶片对潮流能水轮机的水动力性能的影响。同时分析在同一安装角和旋转速度条件下,不同来流速度对水轮机水动力性能的影响。结果表明,叶片安装角对竖轴潮流水轮机的能量利用率影响较大,来流速度对水轮机叶片表面的静压力和输出功率具有一定的影响。研究结果对今后竖轴水轮机的设计和生产具有借鉴意义。     

水工黏土基固化材料力学性能试验研究

以港航工程整治过程中产生的黏性土为主要原料,采用传统水泥、石膏和矿粉等无机结合料为固化剂,通过半干法压制成型制备黏土基固化材料。研究结果表明：黏土基固化材料的最佳配合比为黏性土65%、水泥18%、矿粉12%、石膏2.0%、石灰3.0%,其28 d抗压、劈裂抗拉和浸水强度分别为25.6、2.5、24.1 MPa,可替代普通混凝土制备压载块等水工材料就地应用于港航工程,满足水工应用需要。     

The association between transit access and auto ownership: evidence from Guangzhou,China

In many developing countries, massive investment in transit infrastructure is concurrent with the proliferation of automobiles. Planners expect that investment can slow the growth of auto ownership. However, few studies have examined the relationships between transit access and auto ownership in developing countries, whereas research in developed countries offers mixed findings and the outcomes may not be applicable to developing countries. This study employs a random effect ordered probit model on data collected from Guangzhou residents in 2011–2012. We find that transit access is negatively associated with auto ownership, after controlling for demographics and other built environment variables. This result suggests that, although income is the dominant driver for auto ownership in growing developing countries, transit investment is a promising strategy to slow the growth of auto ownership. This study also highlights the importance of addressing spatial dependency in clustered data.     

Severity of pedestrian injuries due to traffic crashes at signalized intersections in Hong Kong: a Bayesian spatial logit model

The present study intended to (1) investigate the injury risk of pedestrian casualties involved in traffic crashes at signalized intersections in Hong Kong; (2) determine the effect of pedestrian volumes on the severity levels of pedestrian injuries; and (3) explore the role of spatial correlation in econometric crash‐severity models. The data from 1889 pedestrian‐related crashes at 318 signalized intersections between 2008 and 2012 were elaborately collected from the Traffic Accident Database System maintained by the Hong Kong Transport Department. To account for the cross‐intersection heterogeneity, a Bayesian hierarchical logit model with uncorrelated and spatially correlated random effects was developed. An intrinsic conditional autoregressive prior was specified for the spatial correlation term. Results revealed that (1) signalized intersections with greater pedestrian volumes generally exhibited a lower injury risk; (2) ignoring the spatial correlation potentially results in reduced model goodness‐of‐fit, an underestimation of variability and standard error of parameter estimates, as well as inconsistent, biased, and erroneous inference; (3) special attention should be paid to the following factors, which led to a significantly higher probability of pedestrians being killed or sustaining severe injury: pedestrian age greater than 65 years, casualties with head injuries, crashes that occurred on footpaths that were not obstructed/overcrowded, heedless or inattentive crossing, crashes on the two‐way carriageway, and those that occurred near tram or light‐rail transit stops. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

高速公路清障救援资源需求预测综述

清障救援资源是高速公路缓拥堵保畅通的重要保障,对维护路网运营安全具有重要意义.本文在梳理了国内外道路清障救援资源需求分析方法的基础上,分析了目前研究所取得成果与不足,并提出了相应的研究展望.     

道路运输安全管理研究

做好道路运输安全管理工作,既是推动道路运输行业科学发展、健康发展的客观要求和必然选择,也是道路运输行业管理的难点和焦点.通过道路行车事故案例统计分析,文中归纳了我国道路运输行车事故规律特征,并梳理了分析当前道路运输安全管理存在的突出问题.在道路运输安全管理工作基础上,提出了未来我国道路运输安全管理思路.