港珠澳大桥海中桥梁工程埋置式承台施工方案

港珠澳大桥海中非通航孔桥承台为埋置式(最大外形尺寸16m×12m),采用预制安装工艺,通过后浇混凝土与桩基连接。为克服桥址复杂的地质情况及自然条件,承台采用3种施工方案施工(大圆筒干法安装、分离式胶囊柔性止水、无内支撑结构双壁锁口钢套箱围堰),分别利用大圆筒、钢围堰和分离式胶囊止水结构(安装在承台和钢管桩结合处)、钢套箱围堰和封底混凝土创造干施工环境,进行墩台整体安装和后浇混凝土施工。大圆筒利用大型浮吊和八锤同步液压振动锤组进行海上打拔;分离式胶囊止水结构主要由环形托盘、内侧止水胶囊、顶面GINA止水带以及张拉收紧装置组成;双壁锁口钢套箱围堰采用分块拼装,整体下沉、整体拆除的工艺。从适用性、施工效果、便捷性及经济性等方面对比分析3种施工方案。实践表明,3种施工方案均能较好地克服恶劣海况的影响,有较好的适应性和施工效益,能在预定时间内完成承台施工。     

桥梁沉井基础施工风险主成分分析法

提出了桥梁沉井基础施工风险主成分分析法,并将该方法应用于武汉鹦鹉洲长江大桥北锚沉井基础施工风险分析中.通过构建北锚沉井基础风险因素和施工工序对应关系矩阵,获得了北锚沉井基础的风险因素在3个降维后的施工工序(主成分)中的排名情况.结果表明,沉井施工对周围建筑物产生影响和井底流沙在沉井接高下沉中风险较大;井壁强度不足在钢壳制作中风险较大;前期组织不完善在前期准备中风险较大.     

文昌脐带缆J型牵拉入位操作的水动力分析

参考863文昌脐带缆截面设计及具体工作环境参数,利用水动力分析软件Orcaflex建立了文昌缆J型管牵拉入位的水动力分析模型,计算了脐带缆在牵拉入位过程中的水动力响应。并结合有水动力分析结果,给出了该脐带缆的相关力学性能和在牵拉入位中应注意的事项,对实际工程实践有一定的指导意义。     

载重80t不锈钢及全钢运煤敞车的研制

为适应铁路快速发展战略的要求，提高铁路货车的运煤能力，株洲车辆厂研制了载重80t不锈钢及全钢运煤敞车。现介绍这种新型运煤敞车的技术参数及尺寸、基本结构、研制过程及其效益分析。     

Confidence bounds on structural reliability estimations for offshore platforms

Second-order estimates to measure platform reliability are generated and used to provide an additional space to select safety margins appropriate to the owner's perception or for risk-averse managers. The aleatory and epistemic uncertainties in the parameters of an offshore platform are explicitly considered in the reliability analysis and the platform structural reliability becomes a random variable, assessing then the beneficial effects of a reduction on these uncertainties. One of these benefits is for risk-aversive managers who often demand additional room to make conservative decisions regarding reliability estimations. Proposed here is a procedure to generate the frequency diagram of platform reliability with the use of confidence bounds to support reliability and cost decisions based on percentiles instead of mean values. The concepts are illustrated through a typical offshore platform in Mexico. The frequency diagram of the platform reliability index is built for several alternative designs and three levels of epistemic uncertainty. The results may be applied for decision making on new designs and also on the assessment and optimal inspection, retrofit, and decommissioning of existing platforms.     

基于条件期望的港口货物吞吐量预测模型的建立与分析

为了有效预测港口货物总吞吐量的大小,利用条件数学期望提出了港口货物总吞吐量的预测模型.由于货物总吞吐量的变化与到达港口的货运船数目以及装卸设备的工作效率有密切关系,构造一个关于到达港口的货运船数目以及装卸设备的工作能力组合而成的复合变量,货物总吞吐量是这些复合变量所表示的货物装卸量的和.应用全概理论,得到货物总吞吐量的概率分布.在此基础上,将未来货物总吞吐量看作已完成吞吐量的条件期望.利用增长函数得出港口货物吞吐量的预测模型.以山东地区某港口的货物吞吐量变化规律进行了案例分析.理论分析和案例分析均表明该模型是预测港口货物总吞吐量的有效方法.     

货车脱轨自动制动阀可靠性的探讨及建议

根据脱轨制动阀的作用原理，结合生产中遇到的情况，探讨影响运用可靠性方面的问题，并提出一些建议。     

Using system dynamics in maritime economics: an endogenous decision model for shipowners in the dry bulk sector

In this paper, we consider the benefits of applying system dynamics in maritime economics. We build an endogenous shipowners' model for the dry bulk sector, incorporating both the decision process of individual shipowners and traditional shipping market conditions. The aim is to arrive at a simulation tool that can be used for a variety of applications, both for teaching/learning and for research purposes. Within the endogenous shipping model, we can distinguish between the strategic and the tactical choices shipowners face. As an application, we focus explicitly on a strategic decision-making process that is relevant to any shipowner, i.e. the sale of a vessel. System dynamics seems to be a tool well-suited for the detailed modelling of strategic and operational behaviour in the maritime business.     

城市公交中途站合理规模研究

泊位数与可容纳公交线路数的确定是公交中途站优化设计的重要部分，但国内外相关研究还不成熟。根据武汉市实际交通状况，改进了排队论计算模型，提出确定公交中途站泊位数与可容纳线路数关系的计算方法。以武汉市调查数据为基础，对可超越前车进出站和依次进出站两种情况的可容纳线路数进行计算，建议可超越前车进出站时，泊位数不超过4个，可容纳线路数为17～20条；依次进出站时，直线式中途站泊位数不超过3个，可容纳线路数为9～11条，港湾式中途站泊位数不超过4个，可容纳线路数为13～16条。     

浅析《物权法》的颁布对船舶物权及登记的影响

在结合《物权法》中与船舶物权相关的规定的基础上,分析了《物权法》的颁行对我国船舶物权及登记制度的影响,并提出了相关立法建议。