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421.
[目的]针对“适配于螺旋桨的船尾线型+泵喷推进器”构成的船舶泵喷推进系统,提出一种基于统计学习的实船快速性预报新方法。[方法]以某大型水面船舶泵喷推进系统为对象,通过神经网络学习典型推进泵的推力系数图谱曲线,综合运用船-桨配合时的K_(T)-J曲线和船体-喷泵配合时的推力特性曲线,建立“仅需船舶阻力曲线就能实现船舶泵喷推进系统实船快速性预报”的新方法,并基于船模阻力试验、泵喷模型敞水试验及船体-泵喷自航试验的测量换算结果对实船推进性能的预报结果开展精度校验。[结果]校验结果表明:在航速18~30 kn范围内,船舶泵喷推进系统的自航转速、推力和功率的预报误差可控制在5.4%以内,其中设计航速附近的误差甚至小于2%;船体-泵喷的相互作用程度介于船-桨与船体-喷泵之间且幅值相对较小,推力减额系数为趋向于0的极小值,故船舶泵喷推进系统是介于桨轴推进系统和喷水推进系统之间的产物。[结论]该预报方法有利于提升船舶泵喷推进系统实船快速性预报的能力,可为新型舰艇泵类推进系统总体设计/研究提供参考。  相似文献   
422.

Previous choice studies have proposed a way to condition the utility of each alternative in a choice set on experience with the alternatives accumulated over previous periods, defined either as a mode used or not in a most recent trip, or the mode chosen in their most recent trip and the number of similar one-way trips made during the last week. The paper found that the overall statistical performance of the mixed logit model improved significantly, suggesting that this conditioning idea has merit. Experience was treated as an exogenous influence linked to the scale of the random component, and to that extent it captures some amount of the heterogeneity in unobserved effects, purging them of potential endogeneity. The current paper continues to investigate the matter of endogeneity versus exogeneity. The proposed approach implements the control function method through the experience conditioning feature in a choice model. We develop two choice models, both using stated preference data. The paper extends the received contribution in that we allow for the endogenous variable to have an impact on the attributes through a two stage method, called the Multiple Indicator Solution, originally implemented in a different context and for a single (quality) attribute, in which stage two is the popular control function method. In the first stage, the entire utility expression associated with all observed attributes is conditioned on the prior experience with an alternative. Hence, we are capturing possible correlates associated with each and every attribute and not just one selected attribute. We find evidence of potential endogeneity. The purging exercise however, results in both statistical similarities and differences in time and cost choice elasticities and mean estimates of the value of travel time savings. We are able to identify a very practical method to correct for possible endogeneity under experience conditioning that will encourage researchers and practitioners to use such an approach in more advanced non-linear discrete choice models as a matter of routine.

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Journal of Marine Science and Technology - The development of an offshore deepwater oilfield is a complex and risky task. One core problem in this project is the selection of a production system...  相似文献   
425.
Surveys of behavior could benefit from information about people’s relative ranking of choice alternatives. Rank ordered data are often collected in stated preference surveys where respondents are asked to rank hypothetical alternatives (rather than choose a single alternative) to better understand their relative preferences. Despite the widespread interest in collecting data on and modeling people’s preferences for choice alternatives, rank-ordered data are rarely collected in travel surveys and very little progress has been made in the ability to rigorously model such data and obtain reliable parameter estimates. This paper presents a rank ordered probit modeling approach that overcomes limitations associated with prior approaches in analyzing rank ordered data. The efficacy of the rank ordered probit modeling methodology is demonstrated through an application of the model to understand preferences for alternative configurations of autonomous vehicles (AV) using the 2015 Puget Sound Regional Travel Study survey data set. The methodology offers behaviorally intuitive model results with a variety of socio-economic and demographic characteristics, including age, gender, household income, education, employment and household structure, significantly influencing preference for alternative configurations of AV adoption, ownership, and shared usage. The ability to estimate rank ordered probit models offers a pathway for better utilizing rank ordered data to understand preferences and recognize that choices may not be absolute in many instances.  相似文献   
426.
基于襄阳汉江沉管隧道的工程设计实践,针对该隧道强冲刷、强透水地层深厚、防洪要求高等特点,对隧道平纵布置、管节及接头止水结构、干坞选型及结构、沉管基础及回填、沉管最终接头及对接端止水结构等进行了研究。结果表明:(1)内河沉管隧道采用长距离双轴线干坞布置方式,通过格形地下连续墙、超深落底式帷幕、地下连续墙预应力锚索垂直支护和混凝土封底组合技术解决了强透水地层深基坑支护及隔水难题;(2)采用全断面顺浇技术进行整体式管节预制,实现了管节接头止水设施的全国产化;(3)在内河沉管隧道采用高精度浮式整平先铺卵石基础,并提出了强冲刷区管顶防冲保护解决方案;(4)采用了不设独立止推构造的陆域最终接头,并针对工程需求设置了大直径锁口钢管桩配合外侧止水墙的对接端支护结构及分片整体吊装双壁钢围堰二次止水结构。  相似文献   
427.
本文对8一节点四边形轴对称杂交/混合元AXHM16进行了系列考核:(1)考查AXHM16是否含有零能变形模式,以查明它的含秩状况;(2)通过受内压作用的厚壁球壳考题,观察AXHM16的转轴不变性和其它性能表现。事实表明:AXHM16满足单元合理足秩的必要条件和充分条件,不含零能变形模式,单刚合足秩。数值考核表明:AXHM16具有很好的位移精度和应力精度,对坐标转轴的敏感程度并不明显,且在近乎相同的  相似文献   
428.
以重庆丰都庙包大桥为原型,制作了2片钢筋混凝土肋拱模型,首先采用"肋拱桥关键截面箱型转换加固技术"对其中1片进行加固处治,然后对加固前、后肋拱模型实施全过程破坏试验。通过对比分析加固前、后肋拱模型的应变、挠度、横向分布比率、裂缝及破坏模式等指标,得到以下结论:肋拱桥关键截面箱型转换加固后,新增设的钢筋混凝土箱型封闭层能与原肋拱协调变形、共同承担活载。  相似文献   
429.
IntroductionMobile Agents equipped with intelligence,of-fer new technology that helps automate NetworkManagement activities,which are increasingly be-coming complex due to exponential growth of in-ternet users,and thus demanding higher levels ofhuman manager expertise and involvement.Well-known network management protocols that areused to monitor and manage network devices in-clude Simple Network Management Protocol ( SN-MP) and Common Management Information Proto-col ( CMIP) ,SNMP be…  相似文献   
430.
测定30例PVG-PVG和40例LEW-PWG角膜移植术前、术后血清、房水和泪液Ig和C3含量。结果表明,泪液和房水IgG含量异常升高与角膜移植排斥反应显著相关。初步建立了大鼠角膜移植术后无排斥反应发生时泪液IgG含量变化的定量关系,提出预测角膜移植术后排斥反应发生的一种辅助方法。  相似文献   
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