A network option portfolio management framework for adaptive transportation planning

A real option portfolio management framework is proposed to make use of an adaptive network design problem developed using stochastic dynamic programming methodologies. The framework is extended from Smit’s and Trigeorgis’ option portfolio framework to incorporate network synergies. The adaptive planning framework is defined and tested on a case study with time series origin-destination demand data. Historically, OD time series data is costly to obtain, and there has not been much need for it because most transportation models use a single time-invariant estimate based on deterministic forecasting of demand. Despite the high cost and institutional barriers of obtaining abundant OD time series data, we illustrate how having higher fidelity data along with an adaptive planning framework can result in a number of improved management strategies. An insertion heuristic is adopted to run the lower bound adaptive network design problem for a coarse Iran network with 834 nodes, 1121 links, and 10 years of time series data for 71,795 OD pairs.     

Mobility, social exclusion and well-being: Exploring the links

Building on a growing research foundation, transport policy makers have begun to associate the ability to be mobile with having a role in the facilitation of social inclusion. However, the further connection to well-being is not as well understood. This paper explores the association between a person’s travel patterns, their risk of social exclusion and self-assessed well-being. Key influences on social exclusion are discussed, with trip making emerging as a significant influence. Trip making is not a significant direct influence on well-being but does exercise an indirect influence through the impact on risk of social exclusion. The modelling process enables a value for additional trips to be estimated, the value being about four times the values derived from conventional generated traffic approaches. Similar high values are found in separate metropolitan and regional case studies, confirming the significance of the results.     

GPS-based optimization of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles’ power demands in a cold weather city

Using the WPG03 duty cycle developed from global positioning data collected in Winnipeg, Canada, real world energy demands and costs are modeled. Three types of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles, four temperatures and two charging scenarios are compared to a vehicle with an internal combustion engine. Cold temperatures are shown to greatly affect vehicle operation energy costs, which is an important consideration for cold weather cities such as Winnipeg. The largest energy cost savings are obtained for smaller-battery plug-in hybrids that had the opportunity to charge during the day.     

基岩完整隧道衬砌环向裂缝成因分析及其防治措施

文章通过向莆铁路线七座完整基岩隧道二次衬砌环向裂缝的统计,对隧道衬砌开裂的原因进行了综合分析,阐述了混凝土结构裂缝的危害大小程度,以及设计及施工管理过程中对衬砌裂缝的控制途径,并对此提出了相应的处理措施和建议.     

考虑最短距离作业的港口拖轮作业调度优化

为了合理调度拖轮作业,有效提高拖轮的利用率,减少船舶等待时间,针对拖轮作业特点,用多处理器任务调度理论分析了拖轮作业调度问题.在考虑拖轮最短距离作业的前提下,以最小化最大完工时间为优化目标建立了拖轮作业调度模型.采用演化策略算法对拖轮作业调度问题进行优化,提出了一种基于轮盘赌概率分配的编、解码方法,并设计了三点交叉互换的重组算子和个体基因交叉互换的变异算子.算例结果表明:用演化策略算法的优化结果优于仿真结果和粒子群算法的计算结果.采用实数编码时,通过优化算法得到的最大完工时间最小值为356 min,比仿真结果减少了117 min;而采用整数编码时,最大完工时间最小值为369 min,比仿真结果减少了104 min.验证了最短距离作业原则的有效性.     

温差能驱动的水下滑翔机工作过程数值模拟

将焓法模型稍做变换后,用于求解温差能驱动水下滑翔机动力装置的相变过程,将温度场与液相分数场解耦,液相分数值由温度场确定.引入有效热导率来表示液相对流对相变过程的影响,计算结果与实验值吻合.对几种不同性质的材料进行了数值模拟分析,分别计算了比相变温度高5℃和10℃温差下,量纲一的量相界面的移动规律、液相分数随时间的变化情况,以及相变材料储能速率.结果表明,外界环境温度在5～30℃范围内,十六号凝胶性能优于其他材料.此外,以十六号凝胶为贮能材料,研究了对流换热系数、储能容器半径对相变过程的影响.     

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为改善过饱和状态交叉口群的交通控制效果,优化了交通控制目标和结构,制定了信号配时方案优化的实施框架. 在分析溢流、滞留排队和阻挡等拥堵诱因的基础上,根据优化过饱和状态交通控制的需求,选取关键路径上通过车辆数最大和平均排队最小作为优化目标. 在单点交叉口层和交叉口群层间增加关键路径层,优化交通控制结构. 结合过饱和状态交叉口群交通控制特性,提出信号配时方案优化的实施框架及分层优化措施. 南京市广州路交叉口群仿真验证结果表明, 按信号配时优化框架建立的配时算法,可显著增大交叉口群内关键路径的通过车辆数,降低平均排队长度,改善过饱和状态交叉口群交通运行状况.     

炎热天气对钢渣混凝土抗压强度的影响

将普通混凝土和钢渣质量分数为10％、30％和50％的混凝土试件分别放入40℃、50℃和60℃的热水中,测试了不同龄期试件的抗压强度和超声波脉冲速度,分析了炎热天气对钢渣混凝土抗压强度的影响.分析结果表明:在测试龄期内,各混凝土试件的抗压强度并不随着炎热天气的影响而发生削减;钢渣混凝土试件在第90 d达到最高抗压强度61...     

岩溶地区双隧道开挖围岩稳定性数值分析

结合广乐高速公路长基岭隧道施工工程,利用有限差分软件FLAC3D对2条隧道之间岩体中含有溶洞情况下的隧道围岩稳定性进行数值模拟研究。结果表明:隧道开挖后,隧道围岩分别向隧道内和溶洞内变形,且变形幅度随着溶洞尺寸的增大普遍变大;隧道围岩塑性区分布位置和范围随着溶洞尺寸的不同出现明显的变化;隧道底部围岩由于拉应力的出现可能使围岩产生过大的变形和岩体破坏,对其稳定性要给予特别的重视。所得结论可为同类隧道的设计、施工和研究提供有益的借鉴和参考。