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The need for acquiring the current-year traffic data is a problem for transport planners since such data may not be available
for on-going transport studies. A method is proposed in this paper to predict hourly traffic flows up to and into the near
future, using historical data collected from the Hong Kong Annual Traffic Census (ATC). Two parametric and two non-parametric
models have been employed and evaluated in this study. The results show that the non-parametric models (Non-Parametric Regression
(NPR) and Gaussian Maximum Likelihood (GML)) were more promising for predicting hourly traffic flows at the selected ATC station.
Further analysis encompassing 87 ATC stations revealed that the NPR is likely to react to unexpected changes more effectively
than the GML method, while the GML model performs better under steady traffic flows. Taking into consideration the dynamic
nature of the common traffic patterns in Hong Kong and the advantages/disadvantages of the various models, the NPR model is
recommended for predicting the hourly traffic flows in that region. 相似文献
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基于MapObjects的组件式GIS停车信息系统的建立,为解决由乱停车带来的道路混乱问题提供了一种新的解决办法。结合GIS的特点,设计了路网数据的数据存储结构表,实现了实时查询停车场信息以及通过最优停车场查找的方法获得最优停车场及其相关信息的可视化。 相似文献
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The fare of a transit line is one of the important decision variables for transit network design. It has been advocated as an efficient means of coordinating the transit passenger flows and of alleviating congestion in the transit network. This paper shows how transit fare can be optimized so as to balance the passenger flow on the transit network and to reduce the overload delays of passengers at transit stops. A bi‐level programming method is developed to optimize the transit fare under line capacity constraints. The upper‐level problem seeks to minimize the total network travel time, while the lower‐level problem is a stochastic user equilibrium transit assignment model with line capacity constraints. A heuristic solution algorithm based on sensitivity analysis is proposed. Numerical example is used to illustrate the application of the proposed model and solution algorithm. 相似文献
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钢丝绳是岸桥的主要工作部件之一,其使用状态关系到作业的安全性,而其使用周期直接影响到运营成本。世界各地的码头对不同品牌的钢丝绳的使用状况众说不一,即使同一品牌钢丝绳在不同码头的使用,管理情况也大不相同,难以确定其使用周期。这就需要码头设备管理人员进行大量的数据采集、分析,逐步找出各种钢丝绳的使用周期,做到既能保证安全,又能使成本降低。 相似文献
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目的 检测胃动素受体在大鼠中枢各核团的分布,探索胃动素的中枢作用机制.方法 本实验以成年SD大鼠为研究对象,采用免疫组织化学方法检测大鼠脑胃动素受体分布.结果 大鼠中枢胃动素受体主要分布于神经细胞的胞膜上,而胞质及核膜未见明显阳性染色;胃动素受体在大鼠摄食、记忆相关脑区的分布为:海马CA1(4.02±1.27)、CA2(3.43±2.21)、CA3(6.10±4.03)、CA4(3.25±1.32),下丘脑腹内侧核(Vmh,2.52±1.37)、下丘脑外侧区(Lh,4.50±2.61),杏仁内侧核(Me,5.14±2.27)、杏仁基底内侧核(Bm,2.14±1.93)、杏仁基底外侧核前部(Bla,3.98±1.86)、杏仁基底外侧核后部(Blp,4.01±2.45)、杏仁中央核(Ce,1.22±1.33)、杏仁外侧核(La,2.43±1.78),海马CA3区为胃动素受体分布最多的部位.结论 中枢胃动素受体是一种细胞膜受体;胃动素是一种神经调节递质,其受体广泛分布于脑内多个核团;胃动素作用于中枢的胃动素受体,在记忆、情绪、食欲、进食等方面可能起着广泛的调节作用. 相似文献
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Tin-cheung Chan Kin-che Lam 《Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment》2008,13(5):334-339
We investigate how two non-acoustic factors, information bias and riding frequency, can affect the annoyance response of an urban population to noise created by a new railway line. The study shows that information bias is asymmetrical. Respondents receiving only information on positive measures taken by the authority to reduce noise emission are more tolerant of the noise impact, but those receiving only critical views tend to be more annoyed because they feel that not all measures to reduce noise have been employed. Additionally people who use the line frequently are more tolerant to the noise impact than those who do not. Information bias seems to have a temporary masking effect over riding frequency lasting for a few weeks after railway opening. This suggest that whilst free flow of information provided by the authority can help alleviate annoyance response, encouraging the people affected to make use of the new infrastructure may be useful to reduce public resistance and noise annoyance. 相似文献