A reliability‐based traffic assignment model for multi‐modal transport network under demand uncertainty

In densely populated and congested urban areas, the travel times in congested multi‐modal transport networks are generally varied and stochastic in practice. These stochastic travel times may be raised from day‐to‐day demand fluctuations and would affect travelers' route and mode choice behaviors according to their different expectations of on‐time arrival. In view of these, this paper presents a reliability‐based user equilibrium traffic assignment model for congested multi‐modal transport networks under demand uncertainty. The stochastic bus frequency due to the unstable travel time of bus route is explicitly considered. By the proposed model, travelers' route and mode choice behaviors are intensively explored. In addition, a stochastic state‐augmented multi‐modal transport network is adopted in this paper to effectively model probable transfers and non‐linear fare structures. A numerical example is given to illustrate the merits of the proposed model. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

黄金周过饱和旅游流对旅游安全的影响及对策研究——以云南省为例

旅游安全是旅游经济稳定运行的重要保障,是影响旅游业可持续发展的核心因素.特别是受到旅游时间和交通成本的约束,旅游流在短时间内快速集聚,形成的过饱和旅游流将对旅游安全造成巨大隐患.在从内部因素和外部因素剖析黄金周过饱和旅游流形成机理的基础上,对黄金周过饱和旅游流的时空分布特征进行分析.以云南省为例,基于2013年＂十一＂黄金周期间的旅游客流统计,获取云南省过饱和旅游流的时空分布特征,从交通、景区、旅行社3个方面探讨过饱和旅游流对旅游安全的影响,并提出过饱和旅游流影响下的旅游安全管理对策.     

Real time traffic information and its impacts on route switching behavior of expressway drivers

Non‐quantifiable factors (e.g. perceived, attitudinal and preferential factors) have not been investigated fully in past transportation studies, which has raised questions on the predictive capabilities of the models. In this study, Structure Integration Models, with one of their sub‐models, Measurement Equation, are combined with latent variables, which are integrated with another sub‐model, Structural Equation. The estimated latent variables are used as explanatory variables in decision models. As a result, the explanatory and predictive capabilities of the models are enhanced. The models can then be used to describe the various behaviors of travelers of different types of transportation systems in a more accurate way. In this study, the Structure Integration Model was applied to study the impacts of real‐time traffic information on the route‐switching behavior of road users on the Sun Yat‐Sen expressway, Taiwan. At present, the real‐time traffic information provided on this expressway includes radio traffic reports and changeable message signs. The results of this study can facilitate the provision of traffic information on highways.     

公路隧道弃渣的危害及其处置对策分析

公路隧道在开挖时产生大量的弃渣,任意弃置将造成严重的生态环境破坏和水土流失等危害。文章介绍了隧道弃渣的几种危害;总结了隧道弃渣的处置对策,隧道弃渣可以在道路建设中被合理的利用,在弃渣弃置时应采取相应的环境保护措施,以减少弃渣的危害行为。     

水运工程施工项目管理及控制措施

叙述了水运工程施工项目管理中对组织机构、质量、成本、进度、安全、文明施工控制的主要方法和措施。     

“五隧合一”监控系统关键技术的应用探讨

该文介绍了上海市人民路、新建路、东西通道(浦东段)拓建工程等五条隧道建立"五隧合一"监控系统的必要性及其监控系统的特点,分别对"五隧合一"监控系统的硬件组成方案及软件方案进行了比较,同时阐述了当代隧道群监控技术的发展趋势。     

基于干预分析技术的交通事故灰色预测模型研究

加强对交通事故预测技术的研究,以便根据交通事故未来趋势变化提出有针对性的预防措施。在北京市交通事故数据的基础上,提出利用干预分析技术对传统的灰色预测模型进行修正,提高在政策干预等特殊事件影响下交通事故的预测准确度,为交通事故预防提供科学的依据。