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This paper provides statistical evidence in support of the view, widely held in the tanker industry, that there are systematic differences in the degree of risk involved in investing in tankers of different sizes, and in operating tankers in spot and time charter markets. The industry view, broadly supported by the results of this paper, is that larger vessels are 'risker' assets than smaller vessels, and operating vessels in the time-charter market is less risky than employing them on a spot basis. The results are obtained by using a method derived from the financial economics literature, which models both the conditional mean and variance of a variable, known as GARCH modelling. Only one other paper has applied this method to the tanker market, and these results provide confirmatory support of those findings. 相似文献
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目的 观察克山病病情消长趋势 ,为防治和病情相关因素探索提供依据。方法 按“克山病监测”标准 (1 997年 )实施。结果 监测期内全县未见新发急 (亚急 )型克山病 ;监测点潜在型年新发生率 2 6 9/万 ;全县农业人群中慢型患病率 1 6 7/万 ,年新发现率 0 83/万 ,死亡率0 6 0 /万 ;在店头和腰坪两个重病乡镇 ,慢型年新发现率为 1 5 /万~ 1 8/万。结论 以急 (亚急 )型有无新发病及潜在型和慢型年新发生 (现患 )率为评估标准时 ,近 5年来黄陵县克山病病情稳定在 80年代中后期水平 ;慢型克山病是当前的防治重点。 相似文献
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AlterationIntroductionThereisastrongini6ractionamongtemPetalrefield,strCssfield,andmicrosttuctutulaltOrationinm8terialsduringtheirhotworking[l'2].Especiallyduringthecoolingprocess,inwhichtemPeratorechangnsgreatly,intendionsbecomemorecomplexbecauseoftransformationoccurmnce.Duringthehotdeformation,thingswillaPpearsuchas:a.hotdeformation,relatedtostressfieId,changesessentiallytheshaPeofmaterialsandcausesthevariationofthecontactstatebetWeenthedieandsample,resultinginchangeofthethermalboundnyco… 相似文献
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康强 《铁道标准设计通讯》2009,(3)
对燕山大学斜拉桥跨越京秦电气化铁路顶推施工中的难点进行了分析,介绍了顶推方案的选择,同时对顶推施工工艺及关键技术进行了总结。箱梁质量大、跨越铁路顶推时间短、混凝土箱梁允许悬臂值小等是顶推施工中的难点,文中对顶推的关键部位,箱梁与导梁的连接接头进行了阐述。 相似文献
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A country can adopt one of two standards for traffic flow — cars may travel on the left or right side of the road. When drivers who are accustomed to driving on the right side of the road drive on the left side, and vice versa, the mental workload is likely increased due to the driver’s unfamiliarity with a new language, the position of the driver’s seat, different driving directions, and other factors that differ from those of their home country. One method of doing this is to make sure that the in-vehicle route guidance information (RGI) is not overly complicated — thereby assisting drivers in improving their safety. Consequently, the aim of this study was to facilitate mobility and improve safety for natural right-side drivers driving temporarily in left-side traffic. In this study, driver behavior and workload — given various types of RGI — were evaluated in a driving simulator with a variety of prescribable test conditions. This research was composed of two experiments. In the first, various types of in-vehicle route guidance systems were tested and evaluated in terms of their characteristics and associated driver behaviors (while driving). In the second experiment, systemic factors and effectiveness were evaluated by two combined systems, arrow and map-type information, based on the results of the first experiment. In light of both experiments, the various types of route guidance systems were discussed in terms of their results. A navigation system was proposed to alleviate some of the secondary tasks such as route selection. 相似文献
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To consider the resistance component due to hull geometry, the International Towing Tank Conference (ITTC) adopted the resistance
test method in 1978, introducing the form factor concept with two basic assumptions, i.e., the form factor of a model ship
is the same as that of a full-scale ship and the form factor is independent of ship speed. However, it is not only very difficult
to determine the form factor using the ITTC ’78 method, but also there have been questions regarding the basic assumptions.
Therefore, the authors carried out three basic studies on the form factor concept and proposed a new extrapolation procedure
for the prediction of full-scale ship resistance performance. The validity of the proposed procedure is being investigated
by comparing sea trial and model test results. The results of this investigation will be presented in the near future. 相似文献