海运业应上升为国家战略性服务产业——访中国船东协会常务副会长兼秘书长张守国

我国海运业的迅猛发展令全球瞩目。截至“十一五”末，我国水上运输船舶总规模已突破2亿载重吨。其中，海运船队达到1．15亿载重吨，居世界第四位；全国港口完成货物吞吐量突破100亿吨，集装箱吞吐量达1．64亿TEU（标准箱），均位居世界首位；海船船员69万人，居世界第—位。从“大而不强”走向真正的强大，中国海运业依然任重道远。近日，中国船东协会常务副会长兼秘书长张守国在接受本刊记者专访时特别强调：航运强国建设中加强“软实力”建设最为关键。     

美国施工区交通管理的关键技术和策略

施工期间的交通组织管理是项目成功的基本保证。通过对施工区基本交通分析技术入手,深入阐述了美国施工区交通管理的量化指标、管理程序,及公众信息、旅行者信息、事件管理、施工策略和需求管理等5大基本管理策略。对全面了解美国施工区交通组织和管理实践,提高我国道路施工期间的交通组织和管理水平具有重要的借鉴意义。     

An advanced risk analysis approach for container port safety evaluation

Risk analysis in seaports plays an increasingly important role in ensuring port operation reliability, maritime transportation safety and supply chain distribution resilience. However, the task is not straightforward given the challenges, including that port safety is affected by multiple factors related to design, installation, operation and maintenance and that traditional risk assessment methods such as quantitative risk analysis cannot sufficiently address uncertainty in failure data. This paper develops an advanced Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA) approach through incorporating Fuzzy Rule-Based Bayesian Networks (FRBN) to evaluate the criticality of the hazardous events (HEs) in a container terminal. The rational use of the Degrees of Belief (DoB) in a fuzzy rule base (FRB) facilitates the implementation of the new method in Container Terminal Risk Evaluation (CTRE) in practice. Compared to conventional FMEA methods, the new approach integrates FRB and BN in a complementary manner, in which the former provides a realistic and flexible way to describe input failure information while the latter allows easy updating of risk estimation results and facilitates real-time safety evaluation and dynamic risk-based decision support in container terminals. The proposed approach can also be tailored for wider application in other engineering and management systems, especially when instant risk ranking is required by the stakeholders to measure, predict and improve their system safety and reliability performance.     

Manpower supply and demand of ocean deck officers in Taiwan

This study adopted a 5-year moving average to calculate the transition probability of deck officers in Taiwan from 1993–1998 at different levels in the hierarchy. An absorbing Markov transition matrix was also constructed to forecast the terms of seniority and the annual supply of deck officers. In addition, this work applied the GM (1,1) model of Grey theory to forecast the annual demand of deck officers, and used cross analysis to investigate the manpower supply and demand of ocean deck officers in Taiwan. Results in this study can provide a valuable reference for pertinent authorities when determining the manpower policy of shipping companies in Taiwan.     

适用于高速铁路的计算机联锁测试平台设计

因高速铁路和客运专线的建设需要,计算机联锁系统增加了新的控制功能和外部接口,如正线车站的点灯和灭灯功能,以及与列控系统的安全通信接口等。计算机联锁的新增功能和通信接口直接影响着整个系统的安全性和可靠性。因此,研究科学的、全面的测试方法,设计适合高速铁路的计算机联锁测试平台,对提高计算机联锁系统的安全性、可靠性具有重要的意义。重点对测试平台的结构、测试案例、测试方法等进行了叙述。     

适用于高速铁路的TYJL-ADX型联锁系统的研究与实现

通过对既有TYJL-ADX型计算机联锁系统的分析、结合中国高速铁路对联锁系统的技术需求,说明了在原系统的基础上开发适用于高速铁路的联锁系统的必要性,详细阐述了具体的实现原则及方法,新系统的结构、主要功能,最后总结了新系统的实际应用情况。     

Color image segmentation by edge linking and region grouping

A novel method toward color image segmentation is proposed based on edge linking and region grouping. Firstly, the edges extracted by the Canny detector are linked to form regions. Each of the end points of edges is connected by a direct line to the nearest pixel on another edge segment within a sub-window. A new distance is defined based on the feature that the edge tends to preserve its original direction. By sampling the lines to the image, the image is over-segmented to labeled regions. Secondly, the labeled regions are grouped both locally and globally. A decision tree is constructed to decide the importance of properties that affect the merging procedure. Finally, the result is refined by user’s selection of regions that compose the desired object. Experiments show that the method can effectively segment the object and is much faster than the state-of-the-art color image segmentation methods.     

Evolving competition between Hong Kong and Shenzhen ports

Shenzhen Port (SZP), once a negligible local port, has risen dramatically to a world-leading container port and an “equal” player with Hong Kong Port (HKP). Will this market share reallocation continue, or will equilibrium be eventually realized for HKP to prosper continuously? We examine the relationship between these two ports to answer this question. We propose a new transformation method to describe the growth of container cargo transport demand, define the quantitative measures of the competition relationship and port competitiveness, and present a rigorous analytical framework with econometric tests and models to understand the true relationship between HKP and SZP. Direct empirical tests suggest that SZP complements HKP; however, the two ports exhibit strong competition when the effect of demand growth is excluded. Considering transshipment separately, we find that the impact of SZP on HKP is negative in transshipment but complementary in direct shipment. We may conclude that HKP does not affect SZP, whereas SZP has competitive power over HKP. These results are consistent with the findings of some previous theoretical studies.     

基于联合仿真的多级等推力液压缸研究

对多级等推力液压缸的原理进行说明,并采用基于ADAMS与Matlab/Simulink联合仿真方案对其进行仿真,通过把建好的虚拟样机导入到ADAMS建立动力学模型,同时针对多级等推力液压缸内部容腔进行数学建模,从而模拟出内部的液压流动,并利用Matlab/Simulink根据数学模型建立起液压模型,通过ADAMS与Matlab的接口对多级等推力液压缸进行联合仿真.     

酒后驾驶行为对驾驶安全性影响研究

酒后驾驶是造成机动车道路伤害的危险因素,对道路交通安全的影响非常严重。本文通过一系列适宜性检测试验,比较饮酒前与饮酒后以及随饮酒量的逐步变化酒精对受试者驾驶能力的影响。研究发现,饮酒后受试者心理活动受到影响,反应变差,感知变差,手和脚的动作变迟缓,处置判断错误率上升,并随着饮酒量的逐渐增加,驾驶技能逐渐恶化。