我国农村客运服务满意度影响因素分析 ——以北京市昌平区和贵州省黔南州为例

为了对比研究不同影响因素对农村客运服务满意度的影响程度,通过对北京市昌平区和贵州省黔南州农村客运服务的调查,本文选取受教育水平、乘车频率、出行目的、候车时间、步行距离、票价等6个影响因素做重点分析,并建立多元有序Logistic模型.研究结果表明,同一影响因素对不同经济社会发展水平地区的影响效果不同.在农村客运服务满意度方面：服务可达性比服务经济性的影响更大,供给侧影响因素比需求侧影响因素的影响更大,乘客异质性只具有间接影响作用.所以,本文建议根据不同区域的实际情况,从科学规划线网布局、加大政府投入力度、创新市场运营方式等方面,有针对性地制定相关政策,不断提高农村客运服务的供给效率和满意度.     

Simulation Study on Multi-Rate Time-Frequency Analysis of Non-Stationary Signals

A new time-frequency analysis method is proposed in this study using a multi-rate signal decomposition technique for the analysis of non-stationary signals. The method uses a multi-rate filter bank for an improved non-stationary signal decomposition treatment, and uses the Wigner-Ville distribution (WVD) analysis for signal reconstruction. The method presented in this study can effectively resolves the time and frequency resolution issue for non-stationary signal analysis and the cross-term issue typically encountered in time-frequency analysis. The feasibility and accuracy of the proposed method are evaluated and verified in a numerical simulation.     

Reliability Modeling and Maintenance Policy Optimization for Deteriorating System Under Random Shock

Performance degradation and random shock are commonly regarded as two dependent competing risks for system failures. One method based on effective service age is proposed to jointly model the cumulative effect of random shock and system degradation, and the reliability model of degradation system under Nonhomogeneous Poisson processes (NHPP) shocks is derived. Under the assumption that preventive maintenance (PM) is imperfective and the corrective maintenance (CM) is minimal repair, one maintenance policy which combines PM and CM is presented. Moreover, the two decision variables, PM interval and the number of PMs before replacement, are determined by a multi-objective maintenance optimization method which simultaneously maximizes the system availability and minimizes the system long-run expect cost rate. Finally, the performance of the proposed maintenance optimization policy is demonstrated via a numerical example.     

Optimal Threshold Policies for Robust Data Center Control

With the simultaneous rise of energy costs and demand for cloud computing, efficient control of data centers becomes crucial. In the data center control problem, one needs to plan at every time step how many servers to switch on or off in order to meet stochastic job arrivals while trying to minimize electricity consumption. This problem becomes particularly challenging when servers can be of various types and jobs from different classes can only be served by certain types of server, as it is often the case in real data centers. We model this problem as a robust Markov decision process (i.e., the transition function is not assumed to be known precisely). We give sufficient conditions (which seem to be reasonable and satisfied in practice) guaranteeing that an optimal threshold policy exists. This property can then be exploited in the design of an efficient solving method, which we provide. Finally, we present some experimental results demonstrating the practicability of our approach and compare with a previous related approach based on model predictive control.     

机场航空业务发展对区域对外开放的影响研究——以广州白云机场为例

大型机场的建设与发展能够带动其他产业生产和交换的国际化,加快区域对外开放进程.为定量分析机场航空业务对区域对外开放产生的影响,首先构建区域对外开放评价指标体系,采用熵值法计算指标权重,通过加权求和测算区域对外开放的综合指数.以诸多影响因素作为解释变量,采用主成分-回归分析方法建立主成分多元对数回归分析模型.以广州白云国际机场和广州市做实证分析,结果表明白云机场旅客吞吐量和货运吞吐量各增加1％,广州市对外开放指数分别增加0.34％ 和0.42％,机场发展对区域对外开放具有积极正向影响,为机场的规划扩建与发展提供参考依据.     

基于不同火源位置的分岔隧道临界风速数值研究

分岔隧道越来越多地出现在城市地下互通中,但当前对分岔隧道的研究却很少.因此,探究分岔隧道火灾的规律为工程实践提供一定的参考就显得格外重要.基于FDS(Fire Dynamic Simulator)研究了火源位置与分岔角度对临界风速的影响,结果表明:当火源在分岔点之后时,分岔隧道临界风速与单管直线隧道的临界风速相比差距不...     

从先行先试到先行示范——深圳特区40年综合交通体系发展历史实践与未来展望

在中国工业化、城镇化、现代化的不同发展阶段,深圳作为改革开放试验田,在交通领域积极探索适配特定历史阶段特征的交通发展模式.系统梳理得出深圳交通模式先行先试的深层次逻辑:1)领先于全国探索交通供给路径问题,打破政府单一来源的交通供给模式,丰富交通供给路径选择;2)准确识别交通体系结构性演变趋势和发展节奏,始终坚持将集约化...     

不确定条件下机场群系统均衡配流模型研究

为探索客流在机场群的分布规律,以整个航空出行链为视角,综合考虑空中交通、地面交通和旅客出行选择偏好,构建机场群系统均衡配流模型.以路径时间、机场停留时间、出行票价和旅客类型为主要参考属性,提出机场群系统旅客出行成本模型.由于路径时间与流量相关且存在不确定性,基于预算超出时间对路径时间的均值与方差进行统一度量.综合路径时间、出行票价、机场停留时间与旅客类型,基于Logit模型建立旅客对航空出行路径的选择模型,将机场群系统的客流均衡条件转换为变分不等式.基于投影收缩算法对变分不等式求解,从而得出客流在机场群间的均衡分布状态.算例结果表明,机场群系统均衡配流模型有效建立了客流分布状态,调整路径时间、机场服务水平、票价等因素均可促进客流在机场群间的均衡分布.     

现浇连续箱粱支架的预压控制方法

介绍了高速公路现浇连续箱梁施工工艺及施工难点,提出了一种高速公路现浇连续箱梁模板支架实用预压控制方法,并结合实例对该方法进行了验证.     

长途汽车客运站布局规划浅析

在对长途汽车客运站布局基本模式、基本原则进行分析的基础上,讨论了布局包括选址和评价的研究方法,并结合某市客运站调整进行了实证研究。