Developing an integrated scobit-based activity participation and time allocation model to explore influence of childcare on women’s time use behaviour

Focusing on the influence of childcare on women’s time use behaviour, this paper develops an integrated model of activity participation and time allocation, where the former is represented based on a scobit model and the latter based on a multi-linear utility function under the utility-maximizing principle. The integration of the scobit model with the time allocation model is done by applying Lee’s transformation. Especially, the scobit model is adopted to relax the assumption, made in the Logit or Probit model, that individuals having indifferent preferences over participation and non-participation are most sensitive to changes in explanatory variables. Using a large-scale time use data (66,839 persons) collected in Japan, the effectiveness of the proposed integrated model is empirically confirmed. It is revealed that the probabilities of participating in compulsory-contracted activities and discretionary activities with the highest sensitivity to changes in explanatory variables are 65 and 81%, respectively. Variances of social childcare variables explain about half of the total variance of the time use for discretionary activities; however, for compulsory-contracted activities, social childcare variables explain only less than 1% of the total variance of activity participation and less than 10% of total variable of time allocation.     

适于TBM施工的HSP法实时预报技术设计与实现

为实现TBM施工隧道的实时地质预报,以TBM刀盘滚刀破岩震动作为震源的HSP法地质预报技术为基础,通过分析TBM施工工艺与机身结构特点,对HSP系统硬件和软件进行优化设计,使其小型化、自动化和智能化,并搭载于TBM上进行智能控制。在TBM掘进过程中,首先,通过隧道轮廓位置的检波器连续或高频次地采集地震反射波信号; 然后,经系统软件对数据的自动处理,实时获取掌子面前方地层反射特征参数图谱; 其次,通过智能识别技术完成对不良地质反射界面的有效拾取与判识; 最后,实现不良地质的探测。通过对适于TBM施工的HSP法实时预报技术进行优化设计,实时探查前方地层不良地质(体)位置、规模与性质,为TBM的高效施工起到一定的推助作用。     

Design and Practice of Cloud Computing Platform for TBM Operation Information北大核心CSCD

The problems of TBM construction data loss, information barriers and absence of data mining have con⁃ strained the advancement of basic technologies in TBM field. Aimed at building a cloud computation platform for TBM operation information, a new concept of 3B, i. e. Born by digit, Born in format and Born to the cloud, was pre⁃ sented, the issues of information acquisition, transmission and storage during TBM operation were solved, and massive heterogeneous information intelligent transmission system and big data warehouse of TBM group were established. A structure model of cloud computation platform was designed by taking Hadoop system as ecosphere, and a cloud computation platform was built to deploy related algorithm, realizing on-line monitoring and data sharing, further⁃ more the data law mining of interaction of rock mass versus TBM machine was conducted based on big data tech⁃ nique, exploring the development direction of the information platform. © 2018, Editorial Office of "Modern Tunnelling Technology". All right reserved.     

对公路路基路面工程安全设计的相关分析

如果公路存在路基质量不合格、路面断裂等问题,可能会直接影响驾驶的安全性,严重削弱公路自身所具有的交通功能,所以在进行公路路基路面工程设计的过程中,要着重考虑安全问题,有意识的通过优化设计将安全隐患降至最低。在此背景下,本文针对公路路基路面工程的安全设计问题展开研究,为公路设计工作的开展提供参考。     

间隙单元在独立舱式液货船强度计算中的应用

独立舱式液货船一般采用垂向支撑垫块连接独立舱和主船体结构。针对某型独立舱式液货船,采用通用的NASTRAN间隙单元来模拟各种装载工况下垂向垫块的支撑作用,并将计算结果与常规做法采用的杆单元模拟结果进行了比较,表明了在独立舱式液货船的直接计算中采用间隙单元模拟垂向支撑垫块的可行性和准确性,同时也能够提高计算效率。研究了间隙单元刚度对计算结果的影响,结论是垫块的刚度整体提高对支反力的影响较小,整体降低对支反力影响较大。     

油船底边舱下折角结构加强多方案优化设计

协调共同规范(CSR-H)对油船货舱区底边舱下折角细网格直接强度分析和精细网格疲劳强度分析提出了强制要求。以某大型油船货舱底边舱下折角有限元计算为例,探讨了四种货舱区底边舱下折角结构加强方案,为后续符合CSR-H规范的油船底边舱下折角结构设计提供参考。     

锂离子电池电极/电解液界面膜研究进展

电极/电解液界面膜(通常也称为固体电解质界面膜或SEI膜)是指电极与电解液界面通过电化学和化学反应生成的一种界面膜,界面膜的稳定性对电池循环寿命和安全性至关重要。本文简述了电极/电解液界面膜的研究进展,重点介绍了电极/电解液界面膜的研究历史、形成机理以及相关表征技术的发展,并对电极/电解液界面膜的研究方向作了进一步展望。     

超大型油轮系缆力实测研究

为满足超大型船舶在开敞式码头不利的环境要素下安全系泊作业,该文从影响超大型油轮(VLCC)系缆力因素的实际出发,利用构建的系缆力实测平台对VLCC进行有针对性的现场系缆力实际测量。将得到的系缆力实测数据利用一定的数据处理方法进行处理,得出超大型船舶系缆力在特定现实环境要素下的受力曲线,分析出不同于前人理论研究和操作经验的观点和结论,并针对各条结论提出建议,供船舶和工程人员参考。     

铝合金耐压结构设计分析与试验验证

根据水下潜器总体性能要求,按照最小重量原则,结合规范和有限元方法设计工作潜深为500m的铝合金带加强筋形式的圆柱耐压舱,并通过压力筒加压试验,对Ansys有限元静力分析的精确度进行了验证,为耐压结构设计与校核提供重要参考.     

B-60型干舷散货船甲板货装载设计

随着航运市场的持续低迷,BDI指数持续走低,全球散货船市场深受运力过剩和货运需求不足影响,越来越多的船东希望在散货船增加甲板货装载,以拓展散货船的利润空间,提高船舶经济效益。在散货船甲板装货,必将对船舶甲板载荷、稳性性能、视线等产生影响,需要在原有船舶设计的基础上,增加对甲板载荷、稳性计算等方面的考核。以某B-60型干舷散货船为例,详细阐述散货船装载甲板货的设计分析。