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101.
This paper establishes a link between an activity-based model for the Greater Toronto Area (GTA), dynamic traffic assignment,
emission modelling, and air quality simulation. This provides agent-based output that allows vehicle emissions to be tracked
back to individuals and households who are producing them. In addition, roadway emissions are dispersed and the resulting
ambient air concentrations are linked with individual time-activity patterns in order to assess population exposure to air
pollution. This framework is applied to evaluate the effects of a range of policy interventions and 2031 scenarios on the
generation of vehicle emissions and greenhouse gases in the GTA. Results show that the predicted increase of approximately
2.6 million people and 1.3 million jobs in the region by 2031 compared to 2001 levels poses a major challenge in achieving
meaningful reductions in GHGs and air pollution. 相似文献
102.
This paper examines the location choice associated with discretionary activities (in-home vs. out-of-home). These substitution
patterns are important in terms of travel demand as in-home activities do not necessitate travel while out-of-home activities
incur travel. Mixed logit models are estimated using an activity dataset (2003 CHASE data) to analyze the factors associated
with this choice at the individual activity-level. Results suggest that the attributes of an activity significantly contribute
to understanding the likelihood of engaging in out-of-home activities. Activity type interaction terms reveal the varying
influence that socio-demographics, activity attributes and travel have over four different activity types modeled. The results
reveal that the location choice (in-home vs. out-of-home) is sensitive to travel characteristics. As the travel time and cost
increases, an individual is less likely to engage in an activity out-of-home. Compared to passive and social activities, the
location of active activities is more sensitive to changes in travel attributes. 相似文献
103.
Joseph Y.J. Chow Amelia C. Regan 《Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice》2011,45(8):765-778
A real option portfolio management framework is proposed to make use of an adaptive network design problem developed using stochastic dynamic programming methodologies. The framework is extended from Smit’s and Trigeorgis’ option portfolio framework to incorporate network synergies. The adaptive planning framework is defined and tested on a case study with time series origin-destination demand data. Historically, OD time series data is costly to obtain, and there has not been much need for it because most transportation models use a single time-invariant estimate based on deterministic forecasting of demand. Despite the high cost and institutional barriers of obtaining abundant OD time series data, we illustrate how having higher fidelity data along with an adaptive planning framework can result in a number of improved management strategies. An insertion heuristic is adopted to run the lower bound adaptive network design problem for a coarse Iran network with 834 nodes, 1121 links, and 10 years of time series data for 71,795 OD pairs. 相似文献
104.
西江航道桂平航运枢纽—长洲水利枢纽之间存在约34 km的水位未衔接段,而大藤峡水利枢纽建设选取的江口料场位于长洲枢纽库区回水末端和上游附近滩段。为研究库尾段采砂工程对上游通航水流条件的影响,须同步考虑上游来水和下游库区回水的变化,建立桂平三江口上游黔江河段16 km和桂平枢纽—长洲枢纽约156 km的长河段二维水流数学模型,分析采砂工程对航道通航水流条件的影响。结果表明,采砂工程实施后上游桂平航运枢纽引航道水位降落0.09 m,布岭沙弯道凸岸侧边滩挖除引起主流一定左偏。整体上,除设计流量外,库尾段采砂工程对航道水流条件影响较小。 相似文献
105.
为提出一种适用于隧道初期支护基面找平并且具有一定透水性能的砂浆,将纸纤维加入砂浆试块中对其性能进行改性。通过分析纸纤维的降解原理,并将不同掺量的纸纤维加入砂浆试块中,对其体积密度、吸水率、抗压强度等基本性能指标及微观结构进行测试和分析。由试验结果可知:在碱性环境中,纸纤维具有可降解的性能特点;纸纤维可以使普通砂浆试块的吸水率提升2~3倍,同时也会造成砂浆试块的体积密度和抗压强度降低;对砂浆试块吸水率和抗压强度进行线性拟合后发现其吸水率和抗压强度呈现负相关关系。研究结果表明,通过纸纤维对砂浆进行透水性能的提升是可行的,但是纸纤维掺量对砂浆其他性能的影响还有待进一步研究。 相似文献
106.
This paper proposes a non-linear dynamics model for articulated vehicles. This model is able to capture common low-speed behaviours of any articulated vehicles off-highway, such as operating for a corner or roundabout on a cambered or slippery surface. It can be used to assess the low-speed manoeuvrability of articulated vehicles under such manoeuvres and conditions. The vehicle model was validated by comparing its path tracking performance to that of the field tests. 相似文献
107.
108.
109.
Many French and European cities have developed a bike sharing system since 2005. This policy may be explained in a great part by the success of the Velo??v in Lyon, which contributed to improve the image of cycling in the city. If bicycles, however, appear to find a new place in the city, one can wonder whether this is really due to bike sharing systems? What are the real uses of bicycles in contemporary cities, with or without such a system? To answer these questions, the paper starts with a literature review on bicycle in the city, to draw lessons from recent experiences of bike sharing systems. It then discusses the two cases of Lyon and Lille, which never had a bike sharing system on its own. The evolution of bicycle use is measured with a comparison of household transportation surveys in Lyon (1995 and 1998) and Lille (1998 and 2006). In both cities, the analysis reveals a rise in the proportion of healthiest citizens among urban bikers, as well as a return of bikes in dense areas. Bike sharing systems are part of such tendencies. They support them, but should not become a panacea for policies supporting bike use in the city. 相似文献
110.
From a comparative study it is concluded that current design rules for the spherical pressure hull of manned submersible need to be updated and unified. In this paper, a series of spherical pressure hulls are calculated by nonlinear FEM. Based on these numerical results, the influence of critical arch length and the relationship of ultimate strength with t/R and structural imperfection are studied. Finally, empirical formulae for the ultimate strength of the titanium alloy spherical pressure hull of deep manned submersible based on numerical computations are given. The formulae can be used as the core equations to update current design rules. 相似文献