Assessment of factors associated with travel time reliability and prediction: an empirical analysis using probabilistic reasoning approach

Significant efforts have been made in modeling a travel time distribution and establishing measures of travel time reliability (TTR). However, the literature on evaluating the factors affecting TTR is not well established. Accordingly, this paper presents an empirical analysis to determine potential factors that are associated with TTR. This study mainly applies the Bayesian Networks model to assess the probabilistic association between road geometry, traffic data, and TTR. The results from this model reveal that land use characteristics, intersection factors, and posted speed limits are directly associated with TTR. Evaluating the strength of the association between TTR and the directly related variables, the log odds ratio analysis indicates that the land use factor has the highest impact (0.83) followed by the intersection factor (0.57). The findings from this study can provide valuable resources to planners and traffic operators in their decision-making to improve TTR with quantitative evidence.     

基于SEM和XRD微观测试下单掺矿物掺合料透水混凝土性能分析

透水混凝土是海绵城市建设中广泛应用的路面材料,但其强度在一定程度上仍难以满足工程需求,而矿物掺合料可有效改善混凝土的力学性能,故在透水混凝土中掺加矿物掺合料成为新的增强措施.文中对比分析了单掺15%的粉煤灰、矿粉、硅灰在7 d、28 d和56 d养护龄期的基本性能,并通过扫描电镜(SEM)和X射线衍射(XRD)对透水混凝土胶结层的微观结构和化学组成进行分析.结果表明:掺入粉煤灰、矿粉、硅灰使透水混凝土的孔隙率和透水系数依次递减,其孔隙率和透水系数均随着养护龄期的增长而减小;但3种掺合料的掺入均可较大幅度地提升透水混凝土的中后期强度,其中以矿粉的改性效果最佳,其抗压强度可达31.8 MPa,满足轻型机动车路面的强度要求;微观测试表明,掺入15%矿粉的透水混凝土水化产物表面晶体排布整齐,水化反应更彻底,生成大量C-S-H凝胶,内部微孔被填充,结构变得致密,抗压强度最大,与宏观分析结果一致.     

基于Bodner-Partom模型的水泥乳化沥青混合料黏弹塑压实特性

为揭示水泥乳化沥青混合料压实过程中的黏弹塑性变形特性及其变形机理,结合现场路面压路机的施工工艺参数,采用万能试验机压缩试验模拟该混合料的压实过程。针对试验循环荷载力学响应曲线变形特征,引入有效平均应力构建混合料压实变形的Bodner-Partom本构模型。通过对应变-时间的非线性拟合识别出该混合料的B-P模型参数值,进而揭示压实过程中混合料的黏弹塑性动态流变特性及变形机理。试验结果表明：压缩试验可充分反映混合料压实过程中的力学响应变形特性;随着循环荷载次数的增加,混合料塑性和黏塑性变形减小而弹性和黏弹性变形增大。据混合料复压阶段的黏塑性变形规律导出试样空隙率的计算式,进而获得有效平均应力随试样空隙率的变化规律。B-P本构模型分析结果表明：黏性参数η随荷载作用次数的增加而逐渐增大,说明混合料在压实过程中黏性增强;应变率敏感系数n₁基本保持不变,表明压实过程中混合料温度相对稳定;参数值Z,D₀随荷载作用次数的增加分别呈递增、递减的规律,前者显示随着混合料被进一步压实其非弹性变形抵抗力增大,进而导致塑性和黏塑性应变逐渐减小,后者显示塑性应变率减小,表明单次循环荷载下塑性变形占总变形量的比例逐渐减小。B-P模型参数值可准确表征水泥乳化沥青混合料与时间和荷载相关的黏弹塑性流变特性,重构后的B-P本构模型可有效揭示混合料压实过程中的黏弹塑性变形机理,可为深入研究其压实流变性能和路面压实工艺奠定基础。     

The Alternative Motor Fuels Act, alternative-fuel vehicles, and greenhouse gas emissions

The corporate average fuel economy (CAFE) standard is the major policy tool to improve the fleet average miles per gallon of automobile manufacturers in the US. The Alternative Motor Fuels Act (AMFA) provides special treatment in calculating the fuel economy of alternative-fuel vehicles to give manufacturers CAFE incentives to produce more alternative-fuel vehicles. AMFA has as its goals an increase in the production of alternative-fuel vehicles and a decrease in gasoline consumption and greenhouse gas emissions. This paper examines theoretically the effects of the program set up under AMFA. It finds that, under some conditions, this program may actually increase the production of fuel-inefficient gasoline vehicles, gasoline consumption and greenhouse gas emissions.     

对城市轨道交通运营设施维修类项目招标工作的研究

城市轨道交通运营设施维修类项目是一项复杂的系统工程,其招标工作应当根据项目特点,有针对性地编制招标大纲,制订招标工作要点,使其在有关法律法规的约束下,公开、公平、公正地规范运作,达到社会效益与企业效益综合平衡的目的。     

Surface street traffic volume and single-family house price

This study investigates the relationship between surface street traffic volume and single-family house prices in a relatively small city in the US. Hedonic price models are estimated using data from 9670 transactions that occurred between January 1998 and March 2011. It is discovered that parcels fronting or adjacent to a high-traffic street sell, on average, at an 8.1% discount compared to similar parcels that are not so situated. Restricting the analysis to parcels on or adjacent to a high-traffic street, house price and traffic volume are found to be negatively related; a doubling of volume from any particular traffic count, ceteris paribus, reduces selling price by an average of 2.1%.     

Traffic noise abatement: How different pavements, vehicle speeds and traffic densities affect annoyance levels

In this paper, annoyance ratings from traffic noise recorded on cobblestones, dense asphalt, and open asphalt rubber pavements are assessed with regard to car speeds and traffic densities. It was found that cobblestones pavements are the most annoying; also while open asphalt rubber pavement imposes less annoyance than dense asphalt it is not significantly different. Higher car speeds always lead to greater annoyance, as does higher traffic densities. LAeq and LAmax correlate well with annoyance, but loudness is the best predictor. Roughness and sharpness exhibit inconsistent interactions.     

气田集输管道钢材的选择

针对某气田的气质条件,对气田集输管道材料选择进行了专题研究。分析CO2和Cl-的腐蚀机理,选取了碳钢、不锈钢及双相不锈钢材料进行了气体集输管道腐蚀环境耐蚀模拟试验。实验结果表明：碳钢平均腐蚀速率最快,双相不锈钢腐蚀速率最慢。选取了4种不锈钢进行耐点蚀性能试验与评价。结果显示：马氏体不锈钢2Cr13抗点腐蚀能力最差,25Cr双相不锈钢因其抗点蚀、坑蚀能力强,适宜于某气质腐蚀环境。最后,分别从防腐效果和经济角度论证了采用25Cr双相不锈钢作为内部集输管线的材料优于碳钢＋缓蚀剂。     

水面油膜及漂浮物回收分离装置的研制

针对水面油膜及漂浮物扩散面积大、浮层薄的特点,利用油及漂浮物与水的密度不同这一物理特性,设计一套具有良好水动力性能的水面油膜及漂浮物回收分离装置。载体平台在水面上能够抵御一定的风浪影响,快速、高效地吸收水面表层油膜及漂浮物。完成载体平台、控制系统、油膜及漂浮物回收分离系统的设计及建造,开展系统集成、调试、样机试验等工作,并验证了装置的性能。研究成果可为水面油膜及漂浮物的回收分离设备的研制和应用提供借鉴。     

压载荷下骨材贯穿孔孔边应力集中模型试验

以船舶双层底结构为研究对象开展模型试验,研究板材中的开孔在承受压力载荷作用下的孔边应力分布情况,分析压力载荷下不同开孔孔型以及不同补强结构对孔边应力分布情况的影响。在此基础上,开展相关仿真分析,将试验结果与有限元仿真结果进行对比,验证有限元仿真的准确性。