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51.
In this paper, we perform a rigorous analysis on a link-based day-to-day traffic assignment model recently proposed in He et al. (2010). Several properties, including the invariance set and the constrained stability, of this dynamical process are established. An extension of the model to the asymmetric case is investigated and the stability result is also established under slightly more restrictive assumptions. Numerical experiments are conducted to demonstrate the findings. 相似文献
52.
As intelligent transportation systems (ITS) approach the realm of widespread deployment, there is an increasing need to robustly capture the variability of link travel time in real-time to generate reliable predictions of real-time traffic conditions. This study proposes an adaptive information fusion model to predict the short-term link travel time distribution by iteratively combining past information on link travel time on the current day with the real-time link travel time information available at discrete time points. The past link travel time information is represented as a discrete distribution. The real-time link travel time is represented as a range, and is characterized using information quality in terms of information accuracy and time delay. A nonlinear programming formulation is used to specify the adaptive information fusion model to update the short-term link travel time distribution by focusing on information quality. The model adapts good information by weighing it higher while shielding the effects of bad information by reducing its weight. Numerical experiments suggest that the proposed model adequately represents the short-term link travel time distribution in terms of accuracy and robustness, while ensuring consistency with ambient traffic flow conditions. Further, they illustrate that the mean of a representative short-term travel time distribution is not necessarily a good tracking indicator of the actual (ground truth) time-dependent travel time on that link. Parametric sensitivity analysis illustrates that information accuracy significantly influences the model, and dominates the effects of time delay and the consistency constraint parameter. The proposed information fusion model bridges key methodological gaps in the ITS deployment context related to information fusion and the need for short-term travel time distributions. 相似文献
53.
Focusing on the influence of childcare on women’s time use behaviour, this paper develops an integrated model of activity
participation and time allocation, where the former is represented based on a scobit model and the latter based on a multi-linear
utility function under the utility-maximizing principle. The integration of the scobit model with the time allocation model
is done by applying Lee’s transformation. Especially, the scobit model is adopted to relax the assumption, made in the Logit
or Probit model, that individuals having indifferent preferences over participation and non-participation are most sensitive
to changes in explanatory variables. Using a large-scale time use data (66,839 persons) collected in Japan, the effectiveness
of the proposed integrated model is empirically confirmed. It is revealed that the probabilities of participating in compulsory-contracted
activities and discretionary activities with the highest sensitivity to changes in explanatory variables are 65 and 81%, respectively.
Variances of social childcare variables explain about half of the total variance of the time use for discretionary activities;
however, for compulsory-contracted activities, social childcare variables explain only less than 1% of the total variance
of activity participation and less than 10% of total variable of time allocation. 相似文献
54.
针对某气田的气质条件,对气田集输管道材料选择进行了专题研究。分析CO2和Cl-的腐蚀机理,选取了碳钢、不锈钢及双相不锈钢材料进行了气体集输管道腐蚀环境耐蚀模拟试验。实验结果表明:碳钢平均腐蚀速率最快,双相不锈钢腐蚀速率最慢。选取了4种不锈钢进行耐点蚀性能试验与评价。结果显示:马氏体不锈钢2Cr13抗点腐蚀能力最差,25Cr双相不锈钢因其抗点蚀、坑蚀能力强,适宜于某气质腐蚀环境。最后,分别从防腐效果和经济角度论证了采用25Cr双相不锈钢作为内部集输管线的材料优于碳钢+缓蚀剂。 相似文献
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57.
目的探讨急性脑梗死患者血C反应蛋白(CRP)水平与颈动脉粥样硬化的关系。方法对52例急性脑梗死患者和30例对照组进行观察。采用速率散射比浊法测定血CRP含量;应用美国Acuson Sequoia 521彩色电脑声像仪检测颈动脉内膜-中膜厚度(IMT),观察颈动脉粥样斑块。结果急性脑梗死患者血CRP含量、颈动脉IMT和粥样斑块数较对照组明显增加;血CRP水平与临床神经功能缺损评分、吸烟指数、颈动脉IMT及斑块数呈正相关。结论CRP作为炎性指标可能在促进动脉粥样硬化的发生和发展中起了重要的作用;血CRP水平可作为急性脑梗死患者病情轻重和预后的评价指标。 相似文献
58.
铁路路网规划运量预测研究 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
铁路运输具有单路径固定性特征。借鉴公路四阶段法的成熟思路,本文采用定性与定量相结合的综合运量预测方法,对成都铁路局的中长期路网规划中的运量进行了预测,即运用SPSS软件定量预测出趋势运量和利用在跨越式发展背景下的专家意见定性预测出转移运量和诱增运量.最后,在此预测运量的基础上提出了成都铁路局在中长期的通道加强序列和重载高速的运输发展策略. 相似文献
59.
以某自升式海洋平台为研究对象,进行了空间KK型管节点在轴力作用下的疲劳性能的试验研究.通过对管节点模型的试验测试,得到了KK节点在轴力作用下沿着焊缝周围的热应力区内的热点应力分布及节点的应力集中系数,并采用S-N曲线法对KK型管节点的疲劳寿命进行估算.通过对比分析,指出了试验方法与规范计算方法在管节点疲劳性能分析上的差异性. 相似文献
60.
海上风机吊装运输船及其吊装方式的研究概况 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
介绍了国内外海上风电的发展情况和前景,风电场建设对风机吊装运输船的需求;阐述了海上风机吊装运输船的分类及风机安装方式的发展变化。 相似文献