Hybrid model for prediction of bus arrival times at next station

Effective prediction of bus arrival times is important to advanced traveler information systems (ATIS). Here a hybrid model, based on support vector machine (SVM) and Kalman filtering technique, is presented to predict bus arrival times. In the model, the SVM model predicts the baseline travel times on the basic of historical trips occurring data at given time‐of‐day, weather conditions, route segment, the travel times on the current segment, and the latest travel times on the predicted segment; the Kalman filtering‐based dynamic algorithm uses the latest bus arrival information, together with estimated baseline travel times, to predict arrival times at the next point. The predicted bus arrival times are examined by data of bus no. 7 in a satellite town of Dalian in China. Results show that the hybrid model proposed in this paper is feasible and applicable in bus arrival time forecasting area, and generally provides better performance than artificial neural network (ANN)–based methods. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

清管发射器研究与应用

对清管发射器的研究和应用进行了详细介绍,描述了近几年清管发射器研究与应用的状况,指出了它们的优缺点,并提出了改进的措施。其中,水下清管发射器是研究的热点和难点,包括水下密封、深水压力和温度测量、水下控制方法等问题,使得水下发射尤其是深水发射尚未得到广泛使用。随着科学技术的发展,这些问题都会逐渐得到解决。     

带时间窗的混和车辆路径问题的优化算法研究

文章针对带时间窗约束的混合车辆路径问题的特点,建立了带时间窗的混合车辆路径问题的数学模型,并设计了变邻域禁忌搜索算法对该问题进行求解。通过标准算例测试及与现有文献计算结果的比较,验证了该算法的有效性。     

大洪山生态文化旅游区空间发展模式研究

文章针对近域旅游区主导旅游资源相似和相异并存的特点,提出旅游区＂整合-竞合＂发展模式（3C模式）,并以大洪山生态文化旅游区组织与规划为例,提出基于游客行为的旅游线路组织模式及相应的旅游公路网布局结构与交通设计理念。     

地铁列车模拟器运动动感仿真系统研究

介绍了正在调式中的全功能地铁列车模拟器的运动动感仿真系统,对其组成、工作原理、功能和关键技术进行了分析。特别对运动动感仿真系统中列车运动行为仿真计算模块做了详细分析,提出了数学模型建模方法和求解算法。还介绍了六自由度运动系统的组成、工作原理、控制流程,并对动感实现的关键技术作了论述。     

地铁列车牵引控制单元微机检测系统总线时序转换的实现

针对上海轨道交通1号线DC01型电动列车牵引控制单元(TCU)电子插件板微机检测系统,详细介绍了系统中基于复杂可编程逻辑控制器件(CPLD)和Verilog HDL的ISA总线与TCU微机检测系统CPU板总线时序转换模板的设计及实现。时序转换的成功实现是TCU微机检测系统中带总线单板测试的基础。该时序转换模板也是整个检测装置的重要组成部分。     

跨坐式单轨交通预应力混凝土轨道梁制作技术

跨坐式单轨交通系统的预应力混凝土轨道梁既是承重梁又是车辆的轨道,其制作精度要求很高,必须采用专用的模板。介绍了重庆市单轨交通系统中的预应力混凝土轨道梁模板的构造,并阐述了在轨道梁制作过程中应重点做好钢筋制作、预应力管道定位、混凝土拌制、成型、养护及预应力筋张拉等工序的工作。     

Study on launch dynamics of the tank marching fire

As an army main battle equipment, it is required that the tank should have high firing accuracy and high first round hit probability during marching. The initial disturbance of the projectile is the premier factor that takes effect on the marching fire accuracy of the tank. And the marching fire accuracy of the tank depends on the launch dynamics behaviors of the tank. In this paper, the launch dynamics theory of a tank marching fire is studied, and its launch dynamics model is established. Based on the transfer matrix method for multibody system(MSTMM) and the automatic deduction theorem of overall transfer equations, the overall transfer equation and the overall transfer matrix of a tank multibody system are deduced; the launch dynamics equations of the tank marching fire are deduced, and the dynamic response of the tank system, the motion of projectile in barrel, the initial disturbance of the projectile and the vertical target dispersion are exactly simulated; meanwhile, the results of simulation are verified by tests. This work provides both theoretical foundation and simulation approaches for improving the marching fire accuracy of the tank.     

水准测量的桥面混凝土铺装层厚度控制方法

混凝土桥面铺装是桥面系的重要组成部分,直接影响到行车的安全性、舒适性、耐久性和投资效益,随着交通量和重型车辆的增加,特别是超载现象严重,桥面混凝土铺装层厚度不足成为了桥面早期损坏的一个重要诱因,通过对桥面铺装厚度采取厚度极值和代表值的双控措施,从施工测量方面提出一套有效的桥面混凝土铺装层厚度控制方法,具有积极的参考价值。     

基于可靠度理论的铁路隧道洞门极限状态设计方法

针对铁路隧道洞门结构稳定性极限状态功能函数具有非线性及其参数具有随机性的特点,提出了基于可靠度理论的铁路隧道洞门结构设计方法.通过分析铁路隧道洞门的极限状态,建立了其极限状态方程.基于可靠度理论,以时速140 km/h的单线电气化铁路隧道端墙式洞门可靠指标计算为例,根据采用同样方法对3种设计时速共16种形式、22种类别隧道洞门的可靠指标计算结果,确定各极限状态下的目标可靠指标,建立极限状态设计式,求解并优化抗力分项系数.研究结果表明:铁路隧道洞门主要有抗裂、抗压、倾覆、滑动和地基承载力不足5种极限状态;极限状态方程中基本随机变量的统计特征是铁路隧道洞门可靠度设计是否准确的关键,可靠指标的确定是洞门结构极限状态设计的核心;建立的极限状态设计方法可直接用于铁路隧道洞门结构设计.